reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Buy the Pullback Our outlook remains bullish following the S&P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside constructive market dynamics; the path of least resistance is higher. We have discussed for the past two weeks (since our 10/22/24 Compass) how we would treat any pre-election pullback as a buying opportunity, and we are finally getting a pullback. We expect to see support on the SPX at 5600-5670, and we will remain bullish as long as 5600 support holds. Once past the election, s...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bullish Outlook Focused on Large- and Mid-Caps Considering constructive market dynamics and the recent S&P 500 (SPX) breakout above 5783 following several months of consolidation, we upgraded our outlook to bullish as of last week's U.S. Macro Vision report (10/15/24). Since late-July, we have been neutral on the SPX, preferring to buy near 5100-5200 support and sell near 5670-5783 resistance until there is a break in either direction. The verdict of the market is the only one that matters, and...
EME EMCOR GROUP
LII LENNOX INTERNATIONAL INC.
WLDN WILLDAN GROUP
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
MTZ MASTEC INC.
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
GLDD GREAT LAKES DREDGE & DOCK CORPORATION
KBR KBR INC.
AGX ARGAN INC.
ARCAY ARCADIS N.V.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
BV BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
PRIM PRIME ENERGY P.E. LTD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bull Trap Still Brewing? The S&P 500 (SPX) continues to hold below 5783, which is the upper-end of an important target/resistance area (5670-5783) we have discussed since our 8/13/24 Compass, just after the SPX hit our 5100-5191 "expected pullback zone." 5670 was the prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670. The current "breakout" above 5670 is an extraordinarily weak one, which usually suggests a false breakout/bull trap is brewing; the SPX has spent nearly three weeks abov...
EME EMCOR GROUP
WLDN WILLDAN GROUP
TRN TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC.
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
NWPX NORTHWEST PIPE CO.
MTZ MASTEC INC.
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
GLDD GREAT LAKES DREDGE & DOCK CORPORATION
KBR KBR INC.
PRIM PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPORATION
AGX ARGAN INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
ARCAY ARCADIS N.V.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
BV BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS
BW BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
TISI TEAM INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
AAON AAON INC.
XHR XENIA HOTELS & RESORTS INC.
WLDN WILLDAN GROUP
TSLA TESLA INC
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
RYAM RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC
RLJ RLJ LODGING TRUST
PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
POWL POWELL INDUSTRIES INC.
PLCE CHILDREN'S PLACE INC.
MTZ MASTEC INC.
MOD MODINE MANUFACTURING COMPANY
INN SUMMIT HOTEL PROPERTIES INC.
CLDT CHATHAM LODGING TRUST
AAOI APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC.
DRI DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC.
ITT ITT INC.
AGX ARGAN INC.
TG TREDEGAR CORP.
PNRG PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES
TAYD TAYLOR DEVICES INC.
TPB TURNING POINT BRANDS
USLM U.S. LIME & MINERALS
WLFC WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORP.
USAP UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY PRODUCTS INC.
PK PARK HOTELS & RESORTS INC.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
BELFA BEL FUSE INC. CL A
AXR AMREP
SITM SITIME
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
VRDN VIRIDIAN THERAPEUTICS INC
COMM BMO GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS INDEX ETF
JXN JACKSON FINANCIAL INC
PCT PURECYCLE TECHNOLOGIES INC
COHR COHERENT CORP
MBC_w MASTERBRAND INC
CRVO CERVOMED INC
DAVE DAVE INC
SOC SABLE OFFSHORE CORP
FTCO FORTITUDE GOLD
DOGZ DOGNESS INTERNATIONAL CORP
Quanta Services Inc: 1 director
A director at Quanta Services Inc sold 23,357 shares at 270.512USD and the significance rating of the trade was 90/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight Our bullish outlook we initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the S&P 500 (implying 7-10% downside) and market dynamics remain healthy. To be clear, we are not calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&P 500, and we simply want to be prepared for anything. Shorter-term, we remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100...
EME EMCOR GROUP
URI UNITED RENTALS INC.
WLK WESTLAKE CHEMICAL CORPORATION
WLDN WILLDAN GROUP
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
MTZ MASTEC INC.
MTRX MATRIX SERVICE COMPANY
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
HRI HERC HOLDINGS INC.
KBR KBR INC.
MYRG MYR GROUP INC.
AGX ARGAN INC.
VVV VALVOLINE INC.
HEES H&E EQUIPMENT SERVICES INC.
ARCAY ARCADIS N.V.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
ALTG ALTA EQUIP GROUP INC
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
PRIM PRIME ENERGY P.E. LTD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) and Treasury Yields Roll Over The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. This is a hallmark of bull markets; we will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change. In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact. Gold and Silver Breaking Out as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) a...
SUM SUMMIT MATERIALS INC. CLASS A
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
MTZ MASTEC INC.
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
MLM MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC.
KBR KBR INC.
MYRG MYR GROUP INC.
ORN ORION GROUP HOLDINGS
PRIM PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPORATION
USLM U.S. LIME & MINERALS
ARCAY ARCADIS N.V.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...
EME EMCOR GROUP
TPC TUTOR PERINI CORPORATION
STRL STERLING CONSTRUCTION COMPANY INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
PSX PHILLIPS 66
PBF PBF ENERGY INC. CLASS A
NVEE NV5 GLOBAL INC.
MUSA MURPHY USA INC.
MPC MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
CVI CVR ENERGY INC.
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
MYRG MYR GROUP INC.
PRIM PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPORATION
VLO VALERO ENERGY CORPORATION
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
ARCAY ARCADIS N.V.
ROAD CONSTRUCTION PARTNERS
PSN PARSONS
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
DINO HOLLYFRONTIER CORP
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Pause/Pullback Continues But Oversold Bounce Likely Support levels discussed in our 8/8/23 Compass broke, leading to a change in character and a deeper pullback. Supports we were watching included the 50-day MA and 4460-4475 on the S&P 500, $371.50 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and $190-193 on the Russell 2000 (IWM); as long as these indexes are below these levels, we believe the pause/pullback that we discussed in our 8/15/23 Compass is likely to continue. Longer-term support on the S&P 500 is at 4...
IMO. IMPERIAL OIL LIMITED
SU. SUNCOR ENERGY INC.
PXD PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
MRO MARATHON OIL CORPORATION
EURN EURONAV NV
EOG EOG RESOURCES INC.
CVE CENOVUS ENERGY INC.
COG CABOT OIL & GAS CORPORATION
CNO CNO FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
ORN ORION GROUP HOLDINGS
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
OVV OVINTIV INC
J JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
DXY Break Below $101 Suggests Breakouts Likely Coming for Equal-Weight SPX, Dow, and Russell 2000 Ever since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder, our view has been that we cannot be bearish unless a key support level breaks (at the time, that was 4050 on the S&P 500). The S&P 500 is now above 4300-4325 -- a level that, in January this year, we had anticipated would cap upside for 2023. It is increasingly likely that 4300-4325 will act as major support moving forward, and we are bullish as long as the S&...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
U.S. Dollar, 10-Year Treasury Yield, Commodities. Over the past two weeks we have discussed the multitude of signals that either suggest (1) the bear market is over, or (2) this rally is likely to continue. Nothing has changed in terms of these expectations. Chief among the reasons we expect the rally to continue are the breakdowns in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, which we view as possible early topping signals. Commodities and WTI crude oil have continued to consolidate, tho...
EME EMCOR GROUP
RS RELIANCE STEEL & ALUMINUM CO.
NUE NUCOR CORPORATION
ZEUS OLYMPIC STEEL INC.
WOR WORTHINGTON INDUSTRIES INC.
STLD STEEL DYNAMICS INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
PENN PENN NATIONAL GAMING INC.
MCRI MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC.
FWRD FORWARD AIR CORPORATION
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
CMC COMMERCIAL METALS COMPANY
CHDN CHURCHILL DOWNS INCORPORATED
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
RRR RED ROCK RESORTS INC. CLASS A
LSTR LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC.
X UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bear Market Rally Continues The market remains in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM), as discussed in last week's Compass (Oct. 25). Longer-term, this is still a bear market until the S&P 500 and IWM can break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs, and markets could easily test their lows again. With that said, there are signs that suggest breakouts above YTD downtrends/200-day MAs could be coming. Catalysts inc...
EME EMCOR GROUP
TITN TITAN MACHINERY
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
LNN LINDSAY CORPORATION
HAL HALLIBURTON COMPANY
I3N CHART INDUSTRIES INC.
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
DE DEERE & COMPANY
AGCO AGCO CORPORATION
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
FI FRANK'S INTERNATIONAL NV
TTI TETRA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
VMI VALMONT INDUSTRIES INC.
WFT.. WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PLC
PUMP PROPETRO HOLDING CORP.
SOI SOLARIS OILFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE
BKR BAKER HUGHES COMPANY CLASS A
WTTR SELECT ENERGY SERVICES INC. CLASS A
NINE NINE ENERGY SERVICE INC
WHD CACTUS INC
REEMF RARE ELEMENT RESOURCES
NEX NEXTIER OILFIELD SOLUTIONS INC.
CHX CHAMPIONX CORPORATION
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Another Bear Market Rally Begins The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&P 600 Small Caps) showing bullish 2+ month inflections. As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their respective 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their respective 200-day MAs. Bullish 2+ Month Inflections. As ...
EME EMCOR GROUP
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
HAL HALLIBURTON COMPANY
I3N CHART INDUSTRIES INC.
EURN EURONAV NV
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC.
GLOP GASLOG PARTNERS LP
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
TK TEEKAY CORPORATION
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
FI FRANK'S INTERNATIONAL NV
TTI TETRA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
WFT.. WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PLC
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
PUMP PROPETRO HOLDING CORP.
SOI SOLARIS OILFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE
BKR BAKER HUGHES COMPANY CLASS A
WTTR SELECT ENERGY SERVICES INC. CLASS A
WHD CACTUS INC
REEMF RARE ELEMENT RESOURCES
NEX NEXTIER OILFIELD SOLUTIONS INC.
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
CHX CHAMPIONX CORPORATION
NOV NOV INC.
Moody's assigns P-3 rating to Quanta's new commercial paper program
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") assigned a first time Prime-3 commercial paper rating to Quanta Services, Inc. ("Quanta"). Concurrently, Moody's affirmed Quanta's Baa3 senior unsecured ratings. The rating outlook remains stable. "We expect Quanta will use the new commercial paper program fo...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
VUZI VUZIX CORP
ROL ROLLINS INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
MVIS MICROVISION INC.
MUSA MURPHY USA INC.
LTRX LANTRONIX INC.
LAZ LAZARD LTD CLASS A
FRGI FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP INC.
FIX COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC.
F FORD MOTOR COMPANY
EXTR EXTREME NETWORKS INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
CSL CARLISLE COMPANIES INCORPORATED
CROX CROCS INC.
COMM COMMSCOPE HOLDING CO. INC.
VSEC VSE CORP
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
HCCI HERITAGE CRYSTAL CLEAN
PGTI PGT INNOVATIONS INC.
BELFB BEL FUSE INC. CL B
FNKO FUNKO CLASS A
RYTM RHYTHM PHARMACEUTICALS
SIGA SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SITC SITE CENTERS CORP.
INMD INMODE
ARRY ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES
JAKK JAKKS PACIFIC INC.
SHLS SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP
SKYT SKYWATER TECHNOLOGY
NEXT INC.
NOTV NEXT CAPITAL
STEM INOTIV INC
PTLO STEM INC
CSIOY PORTILLOS INC
FLNC CASIO COMPUTER CO
FLUENCE ENERGY INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
CELC, RELY, STRY, FNKO, CVGW, TH, NAPA, NOC, DGII, RXST, OWLT, ESTE, AMPY, CIVI, WTI, SD, OAS, WLL, VOC, ROCC, LPI, SM, CVI, DK, PBF, RCKT, RXRX, CRSP, APYX, AMLX, IMPL, KDNY, IDYA, MIRM, YMAB, CYTK, HPK, RCMT, PWR, VTNR, In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term pa...
SM SM ENERGY COMPANY
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
PBF PBF ENERGY INC. CLASS A
DGII DIGI INTERNATIONAL INC.
CYTK CYTOKINETICS INCORPORATED
CVI CVR ENERGY INC.
CVGW CALAVO GROWERS INC.
VOC VOC ENERGY TRUST
NOC NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION
WTI W&T OFFSHORE INC.
CRSP CRISPR THERAPEUTICS AG
SD SANDRIDGE ENERGY INC.
ESTE EARTHSTONE ENERGY
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
CELC CELCUITY
FNKO FUNKO CLASS A
RCKT ROCKET PHARMACEUTICALS
PVAC PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION
RCMT RCM TECHNOLOGIES
YMAB Y-MABS THERAPEUTICS
MIRM MIRUM PHARMACEUTICALS
TH TARGET HOSPITALITY CORP (A)
AMPY AMPLIFY ENERGY
APYX APYX MEDICAL
IDYA IDEAYA BIOSCIENCES
LPI LAREDO PETROLEUM INC.
WLL WHITING PETROLEUM CORP.
KDNY CHINOOK THERAPEUTICS INC
HPK HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (A)
OAS OASIS PETROLEUM
IMPL INC.
RXST IMPEL NEUROPHARMA INC
RELY RXSIGHT INC
CIVI REMITLY GLOBAL INC
NAPA CIVITAS RESOURCES INC
RXRX DUCKHORN PORTFOLIO INC (THE)
OWLT RECURSION PHARMACEUTICALS INC
AMLX OWLET INC
STRY AMYLYX PHARMACEUTICALS INC
STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Downgrading Technology To Underweight Our outlook remains bearish at the index level considering we have yet to see any developments that suggest a bottom is in, and the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM), and Russell Micro Cap (IWC) indexes remain in downtrends. Sector Relative Strength Rankings. We are downgrading Technology to underweight; RS is trading within multi-month downtrends and is breaking below major support on the cap- and equal-weighted Sectors (XLK, RYT) -- reduce ex...
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
PEG PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC
NI NISOURCE INC
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
FE FIRSTENERGY CORP.
ED CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC.
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
D DOMINION ENERGY INC
CF CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC.
AVD AMERICAN VANGUARD
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
TRN TERNA S.P.A.
GATX GATX CORPORATION
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
GNE GENIE ENERGY LTD. CL B
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
ICL ICL GROUP LTD.
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
TNX TANZANIAN GOLD
IPI INTREPID POTASH
SOM SOMEC
IWC ISHARES MICRO-CAP ETF
UAN ARCADIAN PARTNERS LP
OOO BETASHARES CRUDE OIL INDEX ETF - CURRENCY HEDGED SYNTHETIC
Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Quanta...
Announcement of Periodic Review: Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Quanta Services, Inc.. Global Credit Research- 08 Dec 2021. New York, December 08, 2021-- Moody's Investors Service has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Quanta Services, Inc. and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical unit.
QUANTA SERVICES sees an upgrade to Slightly Positive due to a better f...
The general evaluation of QUANTA SERVICES (US), a company active in the Heavy Construction industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date November 16, 2021, the closing pric...
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