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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Quanta Services Inc: 1 director

A director at Quanta Services Inc sold 23,357 shares at 270.512USD and the significance rating of the trade was 90/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+25)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight Our bullish outlook we initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the S&P 500 (implying 7-10% downside) and market dynamics remain healthy. To be clear, we are not calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&P 500, and we simply want to be prepared for anything. Shorter-term, we remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) and Treasury Yields Roll Over The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. This is a hallmark of bull markets; we will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change. In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact. Gold and Silver Breaking Out as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) a...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+24)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Pause/Pullback Continues But Oversold Bounce Likely Support levels discussed in our 8/8/23 Compass broke, leading to a change in character and a deeper pullback. Supports we were watching included the 50-day MA and 4460-4475 on the S&P 500, $371.50 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and $190-193 on the Russell 2000 (IWM); as long as these indexes are below these levels, we believe the pause/pullback that we discussed in our 8/15/23 Compass is likely to continue. Longer-term support on the S&P 500 is at 4...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

DXY Break Below $101 Suggests Breakouts Likely Coming for Equal-Weight SPX, Dow, and Russell 2000 Ever since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder, our view has been that we cannot be bearish unless a key support level breaks (at the time, that was 4050 on the S&P 500). The S&P 500 is now above 4300-4325 -- a level that, in January this year, we had anticipated would cap upside for 2023. It is increasingly likely that 4300-4325 will act as major support moving forward, and we are bullish as long as the S&...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+19)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

U.S. Dollar, 10-Year Treasury Yield, Commodities. Over the past two weeks we have discussed the multitude of signals that either suggest (1) the bear market is over, or (2) this rally is likely to continue. Nothing has changed in terms of these expectations. Chief among the reasons we expect the rally to continue are the breakdowns in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, which we view as possible early topping signals. Commodities and WTI crude oil have continued to consolidate, tho...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+24)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Bear Market Rally Continues The market remains in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM), as discussed in last week's Compass (Oct. 25). Longer-term, this is still a bear market until the S&P 500 and IWM can break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs, and markets could easily test their lows again. With that said, there are signs that suggest breakouts above YTD downtrends/200-day MAs could be coming. Catalysts inc...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+29)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Another Bear Market Rally Begins The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&P 600 Small Caps) showing bullish 2+ month inflections. As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their respective 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their respective 200-day MAs. Bullish 2+ Month Inflections. As ...

Quanta Services, Inc.: Update following affirmation of ratings

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its large scale, consistent generation of free cash flow and excellent liquidity profile, balanced by its modest exposure to fixed price contracts.

Moody's assigns P-3 rating to Quanta's new commercial paper program

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's")  assigned a first time Prime-3 commercial paper rating to Quanta Services, Inc. ("Quanta"). Concurrently, Moody's affirmed Quanta's Baa3 senior unsecured ratings. The rating outlook remains stable. "We expect Quanta will use the new commercial paper program fo...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

CELC, RELY, STRY, FNKO, CVGW, TH, NAPA, NOC, DGII, RXST, OWLT, ESTE, AMPY, CIVI, WTI, SD, OAS, WLL, VOC, ROCC, LPI, SM, CVI, DK, PBF, RCKT, RXRX, CRSP, APYX, AMLX, IMPL, KDNY, IDYA, MIRM, YMAB, CYTK, HPK, RCMT, PWR, VTNR, In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term pa...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Technology To Underweight Our outlook remains bearish at the index level considering we have yet to see any developments that suggest a bottom is in, and the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM), and Russell Micro Cap (IWC) indexes remain in downtrends. Sector Relative Strength Rankings. We are downgrading Technology to underweight; RS is trading within multi-month downtrends and is breaking below major support on the cap- and equal-weighted Sectors (XLK, RYT) -- reduce ex...

Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Quanta...

Announcement of Periodic Review: Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Quanta Services, Inc.. Global Credit Research- 08 Dec 2021. New York, December 08, 2021-- Moody's Investors Service has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Quanta Services, Inc. and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical unit.

QUANTA SERVICES sees an upgrade to Slightly Positive due to a better f...

The general evaluation of QUANTA SERVICES (US), a company active in the Heavy Construction industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date November 16, 2021, the closing pric...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - D2021 10 12

LPL Financial (LPLA) has created a powerful platform to empower independent and smaller scale wealth advisors to compete with the big players like Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley. Uniform Accounting highlights the company's operational improvements that the market is missing, indicating equity upside. AMD Q2 2021 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to expand, but management may have concerns about data center revenue growth, EPYC processors, and operating c...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

PWR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 10 05

Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 23.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about credit loss headwinds, higher project costs, and growth opportunities. Specifically, management may have concerns about credit loss headwinds related to the Limetree Refining bankruptcy and higher project costs due to COVID protocols in Canad...

Quanta Services, Inc.: Update to credit considerations

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its good performance track record with mostly blue-chip customers, constrained by its exposure to fixed price contracts.

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