What’s new: Baidu’s reported 1Q24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Baidu Core ads could remain challenging in the near-term, while AI Cloud rev growth could accelerate in 2Q and 3Q partly driven by generative-AI related revs. We lower our PT from USD200 to USD170 (16.0x FY24E P/E) partly due to limited visibility in ad recovery. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Baidu’s 1Q24 results were within expectations. Revenue grew 1% yoy to Rmb31.5b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin remained flattish yoy at 51.5%, within consensus expectations. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb6.7b, up 4% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 21%. Non-GAAP net profit improved by 22% yoy to Rmb7b on one-off gains, exceeding consensus estimates by 26%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$126.00 (US$140.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV retail sales volume grew 5% yoy and 18% wow in the week ending 12 May 24 on delayed booking of sales registered during the Labour Day holiday. PEVs’ market share rebounded to 45% during the week, due to government subsidies and price cuts. The US raised tariffs on Chinese EVs and lithium-ion EV batteries, but we see limited impact. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Yadea. Top SELLs: Li Auto and XPeng. Downgrade GWM from BUY t...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound on delayed booking of sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Yadea. Top SELLs: Li Auto and XPeng. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$108.40/Target: HK$126.00): 1Q24: Earnings beat; subdued ad revenue growth stemming from soft macro. JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$132.40/Target: HK$151.00): 1Q24: Solid earnings beat; high single-digit revenue growth on track. Update Grand Pharmaceutical Group (512 HK/NOT RATED/HK$5.05): Nuc...
BIDU will report 1Q24 results on May 16th before the markets open with an 8am ET conference call. We are neutral on BIDU’s performance in 1Q24, and its advertising business is in line with China's economy. We believe China’s economy has reached a bottom and should begin its slow recovery soon. While advertising may not see meaningful improvements right away, we do expect gradual improvement as the year progresses. We are positive about BIDU’s long-term outlook, as the company continues to invest...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
What’s new: Baidu’s reported 4Q23 top-line results were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Near-term visibility remains limited amid uncertainties in macro. Margins could remain stable as investments in AI-related initiatives could be offset by continued business optimization. We maintain our PT at USD200. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Economics 2024/25 Budget: Tough Balancing Act. Sector Property: Government removes all cooling measures on Hong Kong property; upgrade sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$106.60/Target: HK$128.00): 4Q23: Solid earnings growth; all eyes on AI-powered ads and Ernie Bot in 2024. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$42.05/Target: HK$56.00): 4Q23: Market share shrank within expectations; expanding share in 2024. Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$78.00 /Tar...
Baidu’s 4Q23 results were within expectations. Revenue grew 6% yoy to Rmb35b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 50.2%, within consensus expectations. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb7.1b, up 9% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 20%. Non-GAAP net profit improved by 44% yoy to Rmb7.8b on one-off gains, exceeding consensus estimates by 22%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$128.00 (US$142.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics 2024/25 Budget Tough Balancing Act. Sector Property Government removes all cooling measures on Hong Kong property; upgrade sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$106.60/Target: HK$128.00) 4Q23: Solid earnings growth; all eyes on AI-powered ads and Ernie Bot in 2024. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$42.05/Target: HK$56.00) 4Q23: Market share shrank within expectations; expanding share in 2024. Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$78....
We are positive about BIDU’s AI performance in 4Q23, and its advertising business is in line with China's economy. China’s economy did not show better growth in 2023 after the government ceased all Covid restrictions. While there were some improvements in the economy in 4Q23, the recovery was still below expectations. As a result, advertising growth may not grow as well as expected in 4Q23. However, BIDU continues to invest in AI with Ernie 4.0, which was launched in October 2023. We are positiv...
4Q23 results will be released in mid-Mar 24. We forecast 4Q23 revenue to grow 7% yoy, mainly anchored by incremental contributions from ad and AI Cloud revenue growth, empowered by AI application. Management expects AI-related ad revenue in 4Q23 to hit hundreds of millions in renminbi, with a low to mid single-digit revenue contribution to AI Cloud. Baidu also expects quarterly revenue from generative AI to surpass Rmb1b in 2024. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$135.00 (US$138.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI PMI bounces back; not out of the woods yet. Update Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$103.40/Target: HK$135.00) 4Q23 results preview: AIGC monetisation to foster ads and AI Cloud. PICC Property and Casualty (2328 HK/HOLD/HK$9.72/Target: HK$10.00) Sunshine after the rain. TRADERS’ CORNER Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (293 HK): Trading buy range: HK$7.50-7.90 China Resources Power Holdings (836 HK): Trading buy range: HK$15.00-15.40
Baidu Responds to Recent Media Reports on Ernie Bot BEIJING, Jan. 15, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU and HKEX: 9888 (HKD Counter) and 89888 (RMB Counter)) ("Baidu" or the "Company"), a leading AI company with strong Internet foundation, has become aware of media reports regarding an academic paper that mentioned several large language models ("LLM") such as GPT3.5, GPT-3.5-turbo, GPT4, HTML-T5, and Baidu's ERNIE Bot and would like to offer the following clarifications. ERNIE Bot is available to and used by the general public. The academic paper, published by scholars ...
What’s new: Baidu’s reported 3Q23 results were above consensus and our expectations. Ads and cloud rev growth in 4Q could fare better than 3Q partly due to easier comps and incremental contribution from generative AI. Margins could remain stable as the incremental contribution from generative AI could partly offset investments related to procurement of chips. We maintain our PT at USD200.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.