reports
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2024 02 27
Cash bond markets are overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 6.033% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 5.103%, while CDS markets are slightly overstating credit risk with a CDS of 152bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 83bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate BehaviorTM analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. As a...
Molina Healthcare Inc: 1 director
A director at Molina Healthcare Inc sold 1,000 shares at 401.050USD and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2024 01 09
Credit markets are overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 5.895% and a CDS of 143bps, relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.665% and an Intrinsic CDS of 76bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. As a positive, most management members are material owners of MOH equity...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Back at Support Our expectations since late September remain unchanged; equities are not yet out of the woods, but as long as the S&P 500 is above 4165-4200, most signs point to this being a normal pullback within the ongoing bullish trend in SPX. Similarly, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is testing support at $350-$355 (the 4-month bull flag/falling wedge pattern). The Russell 2000 is also approaching 1+ year support at 1640. Breakdowns would be our cue to get defensive, as it would ...
URBN URBAN OUTFITTERS INC.
TLYS TILLYS
MOH MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC.
GPS GAP INC.
ENSG ENSIGN GROUP INC.
CTRN CITI TRENDS INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
ANF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO. CLASS A
AEO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC.
ACHC ACADIA HEALTHCARE COMPANY INC.
GES GUESS? INC.
NHC NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP.
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2023 10 09
Cash bond markets are materially overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 7.387% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 5.587%, while CDS markets are overstating credit risk with a CDS of 176bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 78bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. As ...
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2023 07 03
Cash bond markets are materially overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 6.496% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.816%, while CDS markets are overstating credit risk with a CDS of 194bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 85bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. Tha...
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2023 04 12
Cash bond markets are materially overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 6.138% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.428%, while CDS markets are overstating credit risk with a CDS of 195bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 91bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. Tha...
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2022 12 20
Credit markets are overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 5.940% and a CDS of 201bps, relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.560% and an Intrinsic CDS of 84bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. That said, most management members are material owners of MOH equit...
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2022 09 28
Credit markets are materially overstating MOH's credit risk with a YTW of 6.156% and a CDS of 228bps, relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.536% and an Intrinsic CDS of 78bps. Furthermore, Moody's is grossly overstating MOH's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative Ba3 credit rating eight notches below Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. That said, most management members are material owners of MOH...
- Valens Research
- Valens Research
MOH - Valens Credit Report - 2022 07 12
Credit markets are materially overstating credit risk, with a cash bond YTW of 6.241% and a CDS of 279bps relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 3.941% and an Intrinsic CDS of 100bps. Meanwhile, Moody's is grossly overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Ba3 credit rating eight notches lower than Valens' IG3+ (A1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. That said, management members are material owners of MOH equity re...
- Valens Research
Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 04 19
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) has a dominant and growing market position for backup power generation and storage, a trend that is likely to grow for years. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is not pricing in these tailwinds, and Generac's potential to grow and expand returns faster signal the potential for equity upside. Generac owns a 75% market share for household backup generators, a market with low penetration and accelerating demand. With households and businesses relying on...
- Valens Research
MOH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 04 18
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) currently trades near corporate but above historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 23.5x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E%u2019). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to 22%, accompanied by 5% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 24% in 2023, accompanied by 5% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $378, representing app...
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