reports
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air Baltic, Aggreko, PHM Group, Rekeep, Hapag-Lloyd, Bite, Applus, Iliad, Digi Communications, Kem One, Axactor, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Premier Foods, CBR Fashion, Telecom Italia, Boparan, Altice France (SFR), Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Casino Guichard-Perrachon
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
MRK MERCK KGAA
EOAN E.ON SE
ALO ALSTOM SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
MRK MERCK KGAA
EOAN E.ON SE
ALO ALSTOM SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Stephane Beyazian
Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...
>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...
- Stephane Beyazian
Deutsche Telekom : Q3 2024: Germany not much impacted by higher compet...
>Q3 2024: solid figures with adjusted EBITDAaL +6% y-o-y - Q3 2024 sales are up 4% like-for-like y-o-y to € 28,501m in line with consensus (ODDO BHF € 28,028m, consensus € 28,470m). Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDAaL is up 6% y-o-y to € 11,096m or 1% above consensus (ODDO BHF € 10,972m, consensus € 11,045m). FCFaL are up 28% year-to-date to € 15bn, helped by lower cash capex (-10% year-to-date).Deutsche Telekom is overall confirming guidance: (i) adjusted EBITDAaL of € 4...
- Stephane Beyazian
Deutsche Telekom : Q3 2024: Germany not much impacted by higher compet...
>Q3 2024: solid figures with adjusted EBITDAaL +6% y-o-y - Q3 2024 sales are up 4% like-for-like y-o-y to € 28,501m in line with consensus (ODDO BHF € 28,028m, consensus € 28,470m). Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDAaL is up 6% y-o-y to € 11,096m or 1% above consensus (ODDO BHF € 10,972m, consensus € 11,045m). FCFaL are up 28% year-to-date to € 15bn, helped by lower cash capex (-10% year-to-date).Deutsche Telekom is overall confirming guidance: (i) adjusted EBITDAaL of € 4...
- James Ratzer
- Stephane Beyazian
Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...
>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...
- Stephane Beyazian
Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...
>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Alvaro del Pozo
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 28.501 M euros (+3,4% vs +3,7% BS(e) y +3,4% consenso); EBITDA: 11.096 M euros (+5,8% vs +5,5% BS(e) y +5,6% consenso); BDI: 2.335 M euros (+3,0% vs +5,3% BS(e) y +5,6% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 84.837 M euros (+78,2% vs +78,3% BS(e) y +78,1% consenso); EBITDA: 32.388 M euros (+6,2% vs +6,1% BS(e) y +6,2% consenso); BDI: 7.050 M euros (+15,3% vs +16,2% BS(e) y +16,3% consenso).
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 14 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y P...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Tanvi Arora
- Ben Rickett
- James Ratzer
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Trung Nguyen
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: PHM Group, Rekeep, Air Baltic, Telecom Italia, Digi Communications, Huhtamaki, Boels, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Arxada, Ardagh, Softbank Group, Samvardhana Motherson, Borr Drilling, Iceland Foods
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
A-rated TMT credit investments/Better credits at similar spreads
In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Swisscom and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. As spread curves trade rather flat, we prefer notes in the belly of the curves. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality
In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.
- James Ratzer
Telefonica (Neutral, €4.5, +7%) Q3 24 – Revenue, EBITDA and FCF beat
Telefonica’s Q3 results are solid, being marginally ahead of consensus across the board. In particular, strong KPIs in Spain and high organic growth in Brazil stands out, and with all guidance reiterated, we believe there could be some upside to consensus estimates.
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