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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

DT vs. BT: 160% total return over 10 years. Which one? DT (Buy, €32, +...

It’s been a busy day and we have now wrapped on the BT full-year results meeting and the DT earnings call and share our key takeaways from the day on the similarities and differences between the two.

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Slow start for FCF in Q1 (+4%) but 2024 guidance co...

>EBITDAaL above (Europe), FCF below (WCR) - Q1 2024 revenues up 0.4% y-o-y at € 27.942bn (consensus € 27.993bn), with an increase of 2.9% for service revenues driven by TMUS (+2%) and Europe (+7%). Q1 EBITDAaL came in 5% higher at € 10.473bn (ahead of cons. of € 10.249bn) or +6% on a comparable basis. FCFaL up 3.6% at € 3.708bn (cons. € 3.879bn), with weaker growth driven by capex down by just 2% and a weaker WCR than expected. However, for 2024, the group confir...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Démarrage lent des FCF au T1 (+4%) mais objectif 20...

>EBITDAaL au-dessus (Europe), FCF en-dessous (BFR) - CA du T1 2024 en hausse de 0,4% sur un an à 27 942 M€ (consensus 27 993 M€), dont une hausse de 2,9% sur le CA de services tiré par TMUS (+2%) et l'Europe (+7%). L’EBITDAaL du T1 ressort en hausse de 5% à 10 473 M€ (au-dessus du cons. de 10 249 M€) ou +6% à base comparable. Les FCFaL sont en hausse de 3,6% à 3 708 M€ (cons. 3 879 M€), en croissance plus faible en raison des investissements seulement en baisse de 2% ...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €32, +44%) Q1 24: Financial strength over KPI s...

Big picture: all guidance has been reiterated and domestic & European EBITDA has beaten expectations and the underlying dynamics in the German market are likely to remain strong.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

DEUTSCHE TELEKOM: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 27.942 M euros (+0,4% vs -0,3% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); EBITDA: 10.473 M euros (+5,1% vs +3,2% BS(e) y +2,9% consenso); BDI: 2.238 M euros (+14,2% vs -3,9% BS(e) y -4,2% consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Las bolsas siguen de fiesta Nueva jornada de avances, con el Ibex liderando y consolidando má...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

German spectrum auction Evidence of pragmatic telecoms regulation

BNetzA’s latest proposal for the German spectrum auction might well now be close to the final outcome, and delays the uncertainty of an auction and potential large cash outflows until 2030 for all German operators. This seems a further example of pragmatic regulation in the European telecoms sector.

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Premiers (petits) pas de T-Mobile dans la fibre

>Résultats T1 2024 : T-Mobile maintient sa surperformance - T-Mobile continue de surperformer avec l’ajout de 532 000 contrats mobile (vs AT&T 349 000 et Verizon -68,000), 4% de croissance de CA de service au T1 2024 (vs concurrents 3.3%), 8% de croissance EBITDA et 39% de croissance FCF. T-Mobile relève de 2-4% ses objectifs d’abonnés pour 2024, d’EBITDA et de FCF de ~100 M€ soit ~0.3%.T-Mobile, détenu à 51% par Deutsche Telekom et qui représente plus de 95% de ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Initial (baby) steps by T-Mobile in fibre

>Q1 2024 results: T-Mobile continuing to outperform - T-Mobile continues to outperform, with 532,000 mobile contract adds (vs AT&T 349,000 and Verizon 68,000), 4% service revenue growth in Q1 2024 (vs competitors at 3.3%), 8% EBITDA growth and 39% FCF growth: T-Mobile upgraded its subscriber targets by 2-4% for 2024, for EBITDA and for FCF with ~€ 100m or ~0.3%.T-Mobile, which is 51%-owned by Deutsche Telekom and accounts for over 95% of FCF growth, reported its...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €14, +28%) Q1 24: Good results; French KPIs not a w...

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with EBITDA c+0.4% ahead of consensus. Guidance has all been reiterated, and cost synergy numbers for Spain have been lifted (with new additional revenue synergy numbers given, that are based on intra-company churn switching data, which makes it plausible some could be delivered in our view).

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

German FTTH/ altnet deep-dive update Dynamics still supportive for th...

We update our forecasts for the German FTTH/ broadband market. Although we now forecast slower broadband market growth in Germany than previously, we believe the dynamic remains attractive for the larger players: DT & Vodafone

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

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