A director at Kraft Heinz Co sold 45,000 shares at 33.453USD and the significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
Upgrading Staples and Health Care to Market Weight As the saying goes, "sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market." That appears to be exactly what is going on as we kick off 2024. Leadership areas that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back rather hard -- and on above average volume. This includes areas such as Technology (XLK), semiconductors (SMH), software (IGV), and the ARKK, IPO, and BITQ ETFs. This tells us a pause/pullback is likely...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Many Indexes and Sectors Testing Resistance Note: This Compass is an abbreviated report. We will resume our normal report layout next week. In our previous Compass (Jan. 24), we discussed our belief that equities were still in the midst of a rally/short squeeze, but that the rally is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area (the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range) on the S&P 500. And, as you will see below, countless other indexes and Sectors are testing important resistance levels. We c...
Upgrading Staples and Health Care to Overweight Since late November we have been discussing our expectations for a pullback, while recommending shifting exposure to defensives (Staples, Utilities, Health Care) and/or taking profits. The pullback is finally happening following breaks below 3910 support on the S&P 500, $177.50 support on the Russell 2000 (IWM), and $279 support on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). These levels are now resistance, while major resistance remains at their 200-day MAs/YTD downt...
Failed Breakouts, Banks Crumbling -- Get Defensive Despite a dramatic one-day reaction to Powell's speech on Wednesday (+3.15% on SPX), the S&P 500 finished the week with just a 1.1% gain. Moreover, not much has changed in terms of the charts as we look through all stocks in the Russell 3000 (something we do each week). In fact, there was some deterioration within banks (KRE, KBE), a trend that continued yesterday. Additionally, the S&P 500 has been unable to sustain a breakout above its 200-da...
Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom While panic selling has occurred during a few sessions over the past month (back-to-back 80%+ NYSE downside volume days, and two other 90%+ downside volume days), we maintained that buying demand, or panic buying, was needed before we could signal that a bottom had been made. We finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE. There is hope that this panic buying could signal that a major bottom i...
United Rentals (URI) has consolidated its way to the top spot in the equipment rental industry about to benefit from strong macro tailwinds. Uniform Accounting shows how profitable the business is, and it shows that the market's expectations are far too bearish. That makes United Rentals a compelling buy. United Rentals has acquired its way to a 15% market share in the equipment rentals industry. After expanding into specialty rentals, it has consistently generated 12%-15% Uniform ROA while con...
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) currently trades below corporate but around historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 23.5x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fade to 37%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Similarly, analysts also expect Uniform ROA to compress to 42% in 2022, accompanied by immaterial Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $36, represen...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
KRAFT HEINZ (US), a company active in the Food Products industry, sees its general evaluation downgraded to Neutral on account of a double requalification. The independent financial analyst theScreener just removed a fundamental star(s) for a 2 over 4-star rating. As such, market behaviour has also deteriorated and is evaluated as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the loss of a star(s) and the increased risk justifies the general evaluation downgrade, which passes to Neutral. As of the...
Penn National Gaming (PENN) is positioned to benefit from its smart positioning and the sports betting boom happening in the U.S. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market isn't pricing in the company's potential profitability expansion as it continues growing its market share, suggesting equity upside. As sports betting becomes legalized around the country, the legal market has the opportunity to potentially double from its current size. Penn, with its regionally diverse footprint and powe...
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) currently trades near corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 19.5x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fade to 37%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Similarly, analysts also expect Uniform ROA to compress to 42% in 2022, accompanied by immaterial Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $36, representing a m...
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