Tencent’s 4Q25 earnings came in better than expected. Revenue grew 15.4% yoy to Rmb192.9b, 2-3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.3ppt yoy to 56.4%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.4% yoy to Rmb72.6b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1ppt yoy to 37.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 19.5% yoy, 6.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$757.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/HK$60.25/Target: HK$105.00) FYG’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit missed expectations at Rmb2,248m (+11.3% yoy/-0.5% qoq), due to forex losses. Stripping out one-off items, adjusted net profit met estimates at Rmb2,427m (+36.2% yoy/+4.0% qoq) on a yoy margin expansion. Its earnings outlook remains brilliant, backed by: a) continuous market share gain overseas, b) ASP increase on product mix optimisation, and c) its aluminium trim business. Maintain 20...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/HK$60.25/Target: HK$105.00) FYG’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit missed expectations at Rmb2,248m (+11.3% yoy/-0.5% qoq), due to forex losses. Stripping out one-off items, adjusted net profit met estimates at Rmb2,427m (+36.2% yoy/+4.0% qoq) on a yoy margin expansion. Its earnings outlook remains brilliant, backed by: a) continuous market share gain overseas, b) ASP increase from optimisation of product mix, and c) its aluminium trim business. M...
We continue to view Tencent as a core holding for investors seeking exposure to AI applications. Tencent launched WorkBuddy on 9 March, an AI agent developed by the Tencent Cloud CodeBuddy team, alongside QQ Open Platform’s integration with OpenClaw. AI applications are also increasingly delivering both cost reductions and revenue uplift across Tencent ecosystems, enabling new monetisation opportunities, with gaming and advertising among the earliest beneficiaries. Maintain BUY with an unchanged...
Top Stories Company Results | Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/NOT RATED/Rmb56.22) In 2025, CBC achieved revenue of Rmb14,722m (+1% yoy) and core net profit of Rmb1,188m (-3% yoy). Sales volume increased 1% yoy and ASP remained largely flat. On-premise channels showed a slight improvement during the CNY holiday, but still remained under pressure. In contrast, off-premise channels performed well. While there has been a surge of small players in emerging channels, this is seen as a positive developme...
Greater China Company Results | Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/NOT RATED/Rmb56.22) In 2025, CBC achieved revenue of Rmb14,722m (+1% yoy) and core net profit of Rmb1,188m (-3% yoy). Sales volume increased 1% yoy and ASP remained largely flat. On-premise channels showed a slight improvement during the CNY holiday, but still remained under pressure. In contrast, off-premise channels performed well. While there has been a surge of small players in emerging channels, this is seen as a positive developm...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: OHLA, SANTANDER, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO. EUROPA: AIRBUS, PROSUS, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Brent termina por debajo de los 100 dólares Fuerte volatilidad en los mercados de la mano de las subidas del Brent pero qu...
What’s new: JD’s reported 4Q25 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 1Q and FY26. We lower our PT from US$42 to US$35 as core retail could remain challenging in the near term. Our updated PT of US$35 implies 13.4x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
JD’s 4Q25 results beat expectations. Revenue increased 1.5% yoy to Rmb352.3b, largely in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped to a Rmb3.1m loss from a Rmb10.5b profit in 4Q24. Non-GAAP net profit was down 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 0.3%, better than consensus and our estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$133.00 (US$35.00).
Top Stories Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the g...
JD.com Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results, and Annual Dividend BEIJING, March 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months and the full year ended December 31, 2025 and an annual cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2025. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB352.3 billion (US$150.4 billion) for the fourth quarter o...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: REPSOL EUROPA: ADIDAS, BAYER, PROSUS Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Oleada de ventas donde sólo se salvó el crudo Jornada de fuertes caídas en la mayoría de los índices mundiales (algo más contenidas en EE.UU.), con el temor a ...
Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list.
Greater China Economics | China Investors expect the NPC to set a 2026 real GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, with policy support led primarily by fiscal measures while monetary easing remains complementary. The official deficit is likely capped at 4%, though augmented fiscal expansion via special bond issuance will provide additional support. The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to prioritise hard-tech self-reliance, advanced manufacturing and curbing industrial involution, with only target...
JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on March 5, 2026 BEIJING, Feb. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on Thursday, March 5, 2026, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on March 5, 2026, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on March 5, 2026) to discuss the...
Highlights To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To-B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) roll-out of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Over time, we expect fur...
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
We expect Tencent’s revenue growth to remain solid at 13% yoy in 4Q25 despite macro headwinds and the ad-spend tax, continuing to benefit from inventory release and AI empowerment. We opine that near- to mid-term catalysts would include: a) multiple flagship new game launches in 2026, b) continued improvement in ad placement efficiency driven by AI, and c) the launch of AI-powered Mini Program code development tools on WeChat. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$800.00.
Top Stories Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcar...
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