Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW Ev...
China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s new: JD’s reported 2Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could remain resilient while food delivery could remain a meaningful drag to margins in the near term. We lower our PT from US$70 to US$42 on lowered margin outlook. Our updated PT of US$42 implies a 15.0x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
JD’s 2Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 22% yoy to Rmb356.7b, 6% above our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.3%. Non-GAAP net profit was down 49% yoy to Rmb7.4b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$42.00).
JD.com Announces Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Results BEIJING, Aug. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. Second Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB356.7 billion (US$149.8 billion) for the second quarter of 2025, an increase of 22.4% from the second quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareh...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: EUROPA: PROSUS. Las crecientes expectativas de bajadas de tipos impulsan a las bolsas Al buen dato de inflación en EE.UU. ayer se unen hoy los comentarios del Secretario del Tesoro, Scott Bessent, demandando nuevamente recortes de los tipos de interés de más de 150 p.b. este año, empezando con -50 p.b. en septiembre (por su parte R. Bostic, miembro de la Fed, dijo que veía apropiado bajar -25 p.b. en 2025 y que gracias a la fortaleza del mercado laboral la...
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 2Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Rev growth momentum could continue in 3Q partly driven by resiliency across key business segments. We up our PT from HKD650 to HKD750 on top-line strength. Our updated PT of HKD750 implies a 22.5x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent’s 2Q25 results came in better than expected. Revenue grew 14.5% yoy to Rmb184.5b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.6ppt yoy to 56.9%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.5% yoy to Rmb69.2b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1.3ppt yoy to 37.5% on the back of a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 13% yoy, 3.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$736.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply July's M1 growth accelerated to 5.6% yoy (+1.0ppt), exceeding the 5.2% yoy consensus forecast. M2 growth rose to 8.8% yoy (+0.5ppt), surpassing the 8.3% yoy consensus forecast. However, new bank loans turned negative at -Rmb0.05t, falling well short of expectations (Rmb0.3t). New TSF also disappointed at Rmb1.16t. While outstanding TSF growth improved to 9.0% yoy (+0.1ppt), outstanding bank loans growth weakened to 6.9% yoy (-0.2ppt), suggesting weak priva...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Credit demand remains weak, though money supply improved. Results Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/BUY/HK$6.92/Target: HK$10.00) 1H25: Earnings beat estimates on margins. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY. Raise target price to HK$10.00 Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$586.00/Target: HK$736.00) 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monetisation in online games...
Tencent will release its 2Q25 results on 13 Aug 25. We forecast its 2Q25 revenue growing 11.5% yoy, driven by resilient game grossing and online ad revenue growth. We like Tencent as it is a key proxy for benefitting from the online games sector’s countercyclical resilience feature and the accelerating adoption of AI which has played a role in enhancing cost efficiency and boosting game development productivity. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$650.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China & Hong Kong Property The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mai...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai projects points to further consolidation towards SOEs; potential easing of capital transfer will be key focus for Hong Kong market. Results Launch Tech (2488 HK/NOT RATED/HK$12.03): 1H25: Robust overseas and software business growth; step-up in dividend. Update Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$559.00/Target: HK$650.00): 2Q25 results preview: Strong game pipeline and AI-powered adtech as key catalysts. INDONESIA ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
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