NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Strong week for European peripheral nations and the US European peripheral nation indices rose up to +2.0% over the week and the S&P 500 hit a new 2024 high, benefiting from the disappointing macro data and the falling debt yields. Within the STOXX 600, Telecoms and Real Estate led the gains last week, whereas Energy and Travel & Leisure ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the euro zone the 2.4% YoY growth from April’s gene...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ASML. Buena semana para la periferia europea y EE.UU. Semana de avances de hasta el +2,0% en la periferia europea y de nuevos máximos anuales en el S&P 500, beneficiadas por la decepción en los datos macro y el recorte en la rentabilidad de la deuda. Dentro del STOXX 600, lideraron las ganancias semanales los sectores Telecos e Inmobiliario (c. +3,0%) mientras que Energía y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con l...
We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...
We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...
Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...
Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...
>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...
>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Las bolsas siguen de fiesta Nueva jornada de avances, con el Ibex liderando y consolidando má...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets continue to rally It was a new session of gains, with the Ibex standing out and consolidating 2015 highs, and with sovereign yields tightening significantly after the US inflatio...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A transition session for stock markets In a session without macroeconomic references and with the earnings season being the only catalyst, most European indices (with t...
Telefonica’s Q1 results leave us feeling more confident about its longer-term growth trajectory and believe that there could be further upside to estimates from the new Digi wholesale agreement and consensus fully factoring in the headcount reduction deal.
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.14 Bn (+0.9% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +0.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 3.205 Bn (+2.7% vs. +1.7% BS(e) and +1.7% consensus); EBIT: € 1.042 Bn (+7.4% vs. +4.4% BS(e) and +5.7% consensus); Net Profit: € 532.0 M (+78.5% vs. -31.9% BS(e) and +30.2% consensus);
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 10.140 M euros (+0,9% vs +0,5% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); EBITDA: 3.205 M euros (+2,7% vs +1,7% BS(e) y +1,7% consenso); EBIT: 1.042 M euros (+7,4% vs +4,4% BS(e) y +5,7% consenso); BDI: 532,0 M euros (+78,5% vs -31,9% BS(e) y +30,2% consenso).
>Un T1 2024 en ligne avec les attentes - Telefonica publie un CA du T1 2024 en hausse de 2% à 10 140 M€ (1% au-dessus du consensus de 10 057 M€), porté par le Brésil (croissance de 10%). L’EBITDA ressort en hausse de 2% à 3 205 M€ (1% au-dessus du css de 3 174 M€) mais l’EBITDAaL simplement en ligne. Le FCF au T1 2024 ressort en négatif de 44 M€ (vs consensus de gain de 111 M€). Les objectifs 2024 sont confirmés. Pour 2024, Telefonica vise une croissance du CA de...
>Q1 2024 in line with forecasts - Telefonica has published Q1 2024 revenue growth of 2% to € 10,140m (1% above the consensus € 10,057m), driven by Brazil (growth of 10%). EBITDA was up 2% to € 3,205m (1% above the consensus at € 3,174m) but EBITDAaL was simply in line. FCF in Q1 2024 showed a loss of € 44m (vs consensus forecast for a gain of € 111m). The targets for 2024 are confirmed. For 2024, Telefonica is targeting revenue growth of 1%, +1-2% for EBITDA, > +...
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