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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Strong week for European peripheral nations and the US European peripheral nation indices rose up to +2.0% over the week and the S&P 500 hit a new 2024 high, benefiting from the disappointing macro data and the falling debt yields. Within the STOXX 600, Telecoms and Real Estate led the gains last week, whereas Energy and Travel & Leisure ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the euro zone the 2.4% YoY growth from April’s gene...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ASML. Buena semana para la periferia europea y EE.UU. Semana de avances de hasta el +2,0% en la periferia europea y de nuevos máximos anuales en el S&P 500, beneficiadas por la decepción en los datos macro y el recorte en la rentabilidad de la deuda. Dentro del STOXX 600, lideraron las ganancias semanales los sectores Telecos e Inmobiliario (c. +3,0%) mientras que Energía y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con l...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/17/2024

Growth momentum remains solid, and the publication of Q1 sales bodes well for the future (12.5% organic growth, including 27% for Aerospace). Margins are set to pick up in 2024 (by an estimated 110bp), with the underlying operating profit expected to jump 33%. With good visibility for Aerospace, medium-term potential for Automotive and profitable growth for Medical, we estimate the potential for margin improvement at no less than 500bp in the medium term. We are raising our underlying...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 17/05/2024

La dynamique de croissance reste solide et la publication du CA T1 est de bon augure (croissance organique de 12.5% dont 27% pour l’Aerospace). 2024 devrait voir un redressement des marges (+110 pb estimés) pour un ROC attendu en hausse de 33%. A l’appui d’une bonne visibilité pour l’aéronautique, d’un potentiel MT pour l’automobile et d’une croissance profitable pour le Médical, nous estimons le potentiel d’amélioration des marges à au moins 500 pb à MT. Nous relevons nos estimations...

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

FCC : Spin-off of Real estate and Cement divisions

>New shares to be listed before end-2024 - FCC has announced that it will spin-off its Real estate and Cement businesses and give the shares back to its shareholders, all subject to the shares in the new vehicle being listed in Spain. The rationale for such a deal is boosting the company’s strategic focus while providing more visibility and financial flexibility to shareholders who will have the new shares in the new vehicle while maintaining the shares in FCC, compri...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, OHLA. European stock markets pause for a break European stock markets saw moderate corrections after several sessions of gains that led the Stoxx 600 to record highs and the Ibex to 2015 highs above 11,300 pints. In the STOXX 600, Insurance and Basic Resources were the best performers vs. the losses of Autos and industrials. On the macro side, in the US, April’s industrial output stagnated, contrary to expectatio...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, MERLIN PROPERTIES, GRIFOLS, OHLA, SECTOR BANCARIO ESPAÑA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Respiro en las bolsas europeas Jornada de pérdidas moderadas en Europa, tras varios días de subidas que han llevado al STOXX 600 a máximos históricos y al Ibex a máximos de 2015, superando los 11.300 puntos. Dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y R. Básicos mostraron el mejor comportamiento frente a las pérdidas de Autos e Industriales. Desde la macro, en la E...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets continue to rally It was a new session of gains, with the Ibex standing out and consolidating 2015 highs, and with sovereign yields tightening significantly after the US inflatio...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 14 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A transition session for stock markets In a session without macroeconomic references and with the earnings season being the only catalyst, most European indices (with t...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/EDP, Enel, Telefonica, Equinix

EDP: 1Q24 EBITDA down on lower power prices. Enel 1Q24 beats estimates on strong renewables. Telefonica reports soft 1Q24 results. Equinix reports strong 1Q24 results.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Telefonica (Buy, €4.50, +7%) Q1 24: Digi and downsizing drives potent...

Telefonica’s Q1 results leave us feeling more confident about its longer-term growth trajectory and believe that there could be further upside to estimates from the new Digi wholesale agreement and consensus fully factoring in the headcount reduction deal.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.14 Bn (+0.9% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +0.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 3.205 Bn (+2.7% vs. +1.7% BS(e) and +1.7% consensus); EBIT: € 1.042 Bn (+7.4% vs. +4.4% BS(e) and +5.7% consensus); Net Profit: € 532.0 M (+78.5% vs. -31.9% BS(e) and +30.2% consensus);

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 10.140 M euros (+0,9% vs +0,5% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); EBITDA: 3.205 M euros (+2,7% vs +1,7% BS(e) y +1,7% consenso); EBIT: 1.042 M euros (+7,4% vs +4,4% BS(e) y +5,7% consenso); BDI: 532,0 M euros (+78,5% vs -31,9% BS(e) y +30,2% consenso).

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telefonica : Le Brésil tire toujours l’activité

>Un T1 2024 en ligne avec les attentes - Telefonica publie un CA du T1 2024 en hausse de 2% à 10 140 M€ (1% au-dessus du consensus de 10 057 M€), porté par le Brésil (croissance de 10%). L’EBITDA ressort en hausse de 2% à 3 205 M€ (1% au-dessus du css de 3 174 M€) mais l’EBITDAaL simplement en ligne. Le FCF au T1 2024 ressort en négatif de 44 M€ (vs consensus de gain de 111 M€). Les objectifs 2024 sont confirmés. Pour 2024, Telefonica vise une croissance du CA de...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telefonica : Brazil continues to drive performance

>Q1 2024 in line with forecasts - Telefonica has published Q1 2024 revenue growth of 2% to € 10,140m (1% above the consensus € 10,057m), driven by Brazil (growth of 10%). EBITDA was up 2% to € 3,205m (1% above the consensus at € 3,174m) but EBITDAaL was simply in line. FCF in Q1 2024 showed a loss of € 44m (vs consensus forecast for a gain of € 111m). The targets for 2024 are confirmed. For 2024, Telefonica is targeting revenue growth of 1%, +1-2% for EBITDA, > +...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 09 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS ...

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, CAF, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Europe continues to rally Another session of gains in Europe (except in Italy, which fell slightly), driven by the results campaign and despite the fact that sovereign debt yields widened after several days of tighte...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 09 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, REPSOL, SECTOR BANCARIO, TELEFONICA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Europa sigue al alza Continuaron una jornada más las subidas en Europa (a excepción de Italia que recortó de forma moderada) impulsadas por la campaña de...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

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