China automaker stocks plummeted 10-11% this week on: a) the price war triggered by BYD, and b) worries over the financial soundness of auto OEMs raised by GWM’s Chairman Wei Jianjun’s critics and the Ministry of Commerce’s probe into “zero-mileage second-hand cars”. We deem these concerns valid but the risks remain manageable as long as sales keep growing. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. Cut target price of BYD from HK$510.00 to HK$490.00.
GreenRoc Strategic Materials Plc (AIM: GROC.L) is unusually well positioned to become a key supplier of high-purity, battery-grade graphite into Western markets increasingly focused on critical material security. GROC’s flagship Greenland Amitsoq Graphite Project, has amongst the highest known in-situ graphite grades globally at 20.41% TGC, potential purity is 99.95% (a purity essential to the EV battery value chain looking for lower cost natural graphite vs. synthetic graphite). GROC.L’s Thule ...
Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) to Overweight A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began on April 22nd, which is when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25 Compass) as the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support. We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below). Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback a...
Blencowe Resources Plc (Standard: BRES.L) is positioned to become a globally significant, low-cost producer of battery-grade graphite, for energy storage (55%) and traditional secure cash flows (45%) markets. Its flagship Ugandan Orom-Cross Graphite Project has an exceptional resource profile—long LoM, 6% TGC, free-dig ore, and low AISC scaling. BRES.L’s DFS is at its end stage and pilot scale testing is completed. BRES.L is developing a number of key strategic relationships across offtake and f...
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1...
Xiaomi’s 1Q25 net profit was a solid beat at Rmb10.7b, with an all-round beat for both revenue/margins across segments. The IoT business had an outstanding quarter, with a historically high margin of 25.2% (+4.4ppt vs estimates) thanks to an improved product mix. For the EV business, the continued increase in deliveries will help drive the segment towards profitability. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$69.90.
Today, we are publishing the Ride-sharing & Delivery section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry, Service Provider and Semicap Equipment. ...
Xiaomi officially launched its new in-house developed SoCs, the XRING O1 and T1. These SoCs are featured in newly-released devices such as Mi15S Pro, Mi Pad 7 Ultra and Watch S4. Alongside these devices, Xiaomi has also announced its new YU7 SUV model. Notably, all three variants feature similar self-driving hardware, including LiDAR sensors and NVIDIA chipset with 700 TOPS. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$66.00.
China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy but dipped 1.0% mom and 14% wow in the 20th week of 2025, with PEV market share rising to a ytd high of 56.3%. Geely Galaxy’s sales dipped 4.0% wow, but its sales will be driven by the launch of new models such as the Starshine 8 and the flagship SUV M9. XPeng posted upbeat 1Q25 results and aims to turn profitable by 4Q25, driven by a strong product cycle and tech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy but dipped 1.0% mom and 14% wow in the 20th week of 2025, with PEV market share rising to a ytd high of 56.3%. Geely Galaxy’s sales dipped 4.0% wow, but its sales will be driven by the launch of new models such as the Starshine 8 and the flagship SUV M9. XPeng posted upbeat 1Q25 results and aims to turn profitable by 4Q25, driven by a strong product cycle and tech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, G...
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