On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, AENA, AMADEUS, CIE AUTOMOTIVE, EBRO FOODS, NATURGY, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. Awaiting new drivers Most European indices, with the exception of peripheral markets, ended with slight corrections in a session without macroeconomic data. In the STOXX 600, almost all sectors (16/20) ended with gains, led by Basic Resources and Telecommunications vs. the bigger drops of Technology and Construction. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s final inflation was cut one...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, AENA, AMADEUS, CIE AUTOMOTIVE, EBRO FOODS, NATURGY, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA A la espera de nuevos catalizadores Poco movimiento en Europa en una jornada descargada de datos macro que terminó con tímidas pérdidas en la mayoría de los índices salvo para la periferia. En el STOXX 600, casi todos los sectores (16/20) terminaron con ganancias, lideradas por R. Básicos y Telecomunicaciones frente a las mayores caídas de Tecnología y Construc...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.40p per share: Equity raise from blue chip new investors bolsters balance sheet ahead of busy 2026 – Corcel has raised £3 mm of new equity at a price of 0.35 p per share from two blue chip new investors. Following the raise, Corcel’s cash balance is expected to reach ~£6 mm by YE25. In addition, Sintana Energy will pay Corcel ~US$2 mm in cash upon closing the acquisition of a 5% interest in KON‑16. ...
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, INDRA, NATURGY. The FED cut rates, as expected With the Ibex remaining near highs, the lack of definition continued for European stock markets, awaiting the Fed’s decision. In the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Banks led the gains whereas Autos and Construction (after an equity research firm cut Vinci’s recommendation) were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the US, as expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bps to 3.5%-3.75% (with 1 member in favour of cutting -5...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, INDRA, NATURGY. EUROPA: MUNICH RE. La FED cumple con el recorte de tipos Con el Ibex manteniéndose cerca de sus máximos las bolsas europeas continuaron una jornada más con cierta indefinición a la espera de catalizadores. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y Bancos mientras que Autos y Construcción (afectado por la rebaja de recomendación a Vinci por parte de una casa de análisis) fueron los que más cayeron. Por el lado m...
NEWS SUMMARY: CHANGES IBEX 35, GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, INDRA, SACYR. Stock markets on stand by European stock markets saw a second session of stability, awaiting the Fed’s decision to be made public tomorrow. In the STOXX 600, Insurance and Household led the gains whereas Pharma and Constructions were the worst performers. On the macro side, the ECB will propose merging the systemic risk buffer and the countercyclical capital buffer instead of reducing the capital buffers demanded of banks. I...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAMBIOS IBEX, GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, INDRA, SACYR. Bolsas en stand by Segunda sesión de estabilidad en las bolsas europeas, a la espera de la decisión de la Fed de mañana. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Seguros y Hogar mientras que Farma y Construcción quedaron con las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, desde el BCE se propondrá fusionar el colchón de riesgo sistémico y el colchón de capital anticíclico en lugar de reducir los...
NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, MAPFRE, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. Between monetary policy and a possible Ukraine-Russia peace treaty With the only US macro reference being the Fed’s Beige Book, the markets saw a transitional week due to Black Friday. European markets ended the week with gains, rallying from support levels and seeking 2025 highs, with the Ukraine-Russia peace talks continuing to be in the spotlight. In the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Construction led the gains, with Food and Household Goods ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, MAPFRE, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Entre la política monetaria y una posible paz en Ucrania/Rusia Los mercados vivieron una semana de transición por el Black Friday y ante escasas referencias macroeconómicas. A la espera de las negociaciones de Paz entre Ucrania y Rusia las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana con ganancias, buscando los máximos del año. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Recursos Básicos seguido de...
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Another positive result at Mateguafa Attic – The M-6 vertical well has encountered 30 ft of net oil pay in the Carbonera C9 formation (previously named Guadalupe). This compares favourably with the results of the M-5 well that encountered ~ 26 feet of net oil pay in the same formation. This result provides a strong foundation for the first horizontal well at Mateguafa (M-HZ7), already spudded and expected to come onstream in Decemb...
Celanese’s CFR downgraded by Moody’s with the outlook still negative|Plan to transfer all Auchan supermarkets to the Intermarché and Netto brands via a franchise agreement.|Mobilux: Q1 earnings down sharply but no leverage impact thanks to strong cash generation|Forvia: bids expected this week for the Interiors division, with a valuation of € 1.8-2.0bn|
Celanese’s CFR downgraded by Moody’s with the outlook still negative|Projet de passage de tous les supermarchés Auchan sous enseigne Intermarché et Netto via un contrat de franchise|Mobilux : des résultats T1 en net repli mais sans impact levier grâce à une forte génération de cash|Forvia : des offres attendues cette semaine pour la division Interiors, avec une valorisation de 1.8-2.0 mds EUR|
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR, TELEFÓNICA. Stock markets remain confident that the Fed will end up cutting rates European stock markets rose, welcoming higher rate cut expectations in the Fed’s next meeting, especially after the weakness of the US data released yesterday. In the STOXX 600, Construction and Retail were the best performers whereas cyclicals sectors such as Technology and Energy posted the biggest drop. On the macro side, in the US September’s retail sa...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ENI, UNICREDIT. Confianza en que la Fed terminará bajando tipos Avances en las bolsas europeas, que siguen celebrando las mayores expectativas de bajadas de tipos para la próxima reunión de la Fed, especialmente después de la debilidad de los datos estadounidenses de hoy. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción y Retail mientras que cíclicos como Tecnología y En...
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