A director at SAP SE bought 581 shares at 221.650EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing ...
Fondo de armario con yield interesante. SOBREPONDERAR A pesar de la buena evolución que lleva el valor en 2024 (+26% en absoluto; +8% vs Ibex 35 y vs -7%/-10% de sus comparables ADP y Fraport) la debilidad reciente tras los Rdos. 9meses’24 (-4% en absoluto; -1% vs Ibex 35) ha incrementado el potencial que se ve impulsado con la fortaleza del tráfico de pasajeros, donde no se atisba ningún cambio de tendencia. Ante esa sólida evolución (+9,4% hasta octubre’24) y unas buenas perspectivas hemos rev...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...
In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Swisscom and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. As spread curves trade rather flat, we prefer notes in the belly of the curves. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.
Enagas reported 9M24 results last week. Following this, we have changed our opinion on Enagas from negative to neutral. The Spanish utility sold its stake in Tallgrass in July 2024, reducing its indebtedness. Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor's have upgraded Enagas to BBB+ and Moody's now has the issuer on a positive outlook (rating at Baa2). What restrains us from being positive on Enagas is the coming regulatory review and possibly further lower remuneration on Spanish gas pipelines. We also s...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 1.143 Bn (+5.8% vs. -0.7% BS(e) and +0.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 290.8 M (-13.2% vs. -10.8% BS(e) and -11.1% consensus); EBIT: € 270.35 M (+1.3% vs. -0.9% BS(e) and -6.7% consensus); Net Profit: € 22.0 M (-21.4% vs. -12.7% BS(e) and -25.0% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 3.262 Bn (+0.6% vs. -1.6% BS(e) and -1.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 947.8 M (-3.3% vs. -2.5% BS(e) and -2.6% consensus); EBIT: € 870.0 M (+2.8% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +0.3% consensus); Net P...
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 1.143 M euros (+5,8% vs -0,7% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); EBITDA: 290,8 M euros (-13,2% vs -10,8% BS(e) y -11,1% consenso); EBIT: 270,35 M euros (+1,3% vs -0,9% BS(e) y -6,7% consenso); BDI: 22,0 M euros (-21,4% vs -12,7% BS(e) y -25,0% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 3.262 M euros (+0,6% vs -1,6% BS(e) y -1,1% consenso); EBITDA: 947,8 M euros (-3,3% vs -2,5% BS(e) y -2,6% consenso); EBIT: 870,0 M euros (+2,8% vs +2,2% BS(e) y +0,3% consenso); BDI: 74,...
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 1.65 Bn (+14.1% vs. +14.0% BS(e) and +14.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.108 Bn (+17.4% vs. +16.4% BS(e) and +17.6% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 4.397 Bn (+16.3% vs. +16.3% BS(e) and +16.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.663 Bn (+26.0% vs. +25.5% BS(e) and +26.1% consensus);
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
>Results completely in line... - Aena reported Q3 2024 results in line with both our estimates and the consensus: revenues and EBITDA were 0.8% and 1.0% (or € 13m and € 11m) ahead of our estimates and 0.6% or 0.2% below the company-compiled consensus. The Spanish network main divisions reported results in line (€ 23m or 1.6% and € 13m or 1.3% above revenues and EBITDA respectively), with the minimum beat driven by the aviation (€ 6m above at EBITDA level) and the comm...
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 1.650 M euros (+14,1% vs +14,0% BS(e) y +14,5% consenso); EBITDA: 1.108 M euros (+17,4% vs +16,4% BS(e) y +17,6% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 4.397 M euros (+16,3% vs +16,3% BS(e) y +16,5% consenso); EBITDA: 2.663 M euros (+26,0% vs +25,5% BS(e) y +26,1% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Market moved by earnings releases European stock markets closed with slight drops, highly conditioned by the business results calendar and penalised by the new rise in...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BASF, KERING, SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El mercado al son de los beneficios empresariales ...
Last week, we organised an Expert Access event on multiple sclerosis (MS) with the participation of Dr Géraldine Androdias, a neurologist at Lyon University Hospital. Dr Androdias presented the key points of the ECTRIMS 2024 conference, as well as new trends in treating the illness. We note an unmet need in the primary progressive and secondary progressive forms, a real interest for the BTKi class with the greater penetration of the blood-brain barrier, and expectations for the anti-C...
Nous avons organisé la semaine dernière un Expert Access autour de la sclérose en plaques (SEP) avec la participation du Dr Géraldine Androdias, médecin neurologue au CHU de Lyon. Le Dr Androdias a présenté les points saillants du congrès de l’ECTRIMS 2024 ainsi que les nouvelles tendances dans la prise en charge de la maladie. Nous retenons un besoin insatisfait dans les formes progressives et secondairement progressives, un vrai intérêt de la classe des BTKi avec le passage accru de...
>9M results slightly above estimates on good cost control and affiliates contribution - Good results, slightly above our estimates (+5% at the EBITDA level with sales in line) reflecting the good cost performance and a sound contribution from affiliates. The EBITDA margin reached 86.2% compared to our conservative 82% estimate. Sales were in line with our estimates with the regulatory impact (€ 33m: reduction in the remuneration of continuity of supply) largely offse...
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