reports
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Rafael Bonardell
AENA: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 1.65 Bn (+14.1% vs. +14.0% BS(e) and +14.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.108 Bn (+17.4% vs. +16.4% BS(e) and +17.6% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 4.397 Bn (+16.3% vs. +16.3% BS(e) and +16.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.663 Bn (+26.0% vs. +25.5% BS(e) and +26.1% consensus);
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Ana Arjona-Martinez
- Yan Derocles
AENA : Q3 results showing no surprises; target price increase on the b...
>Results completely in line... - Aena reported Q3 2024 results in line with both our estimates and the consensus: revenues and EBITDA were 0.8% and 1.0% (or € 13m and € 11m) ahead of our estimates and 0.6% or 0.2% below the company-compiled consensus. The Spanish network main divisions reported results in line (€ 23m or 1.6% and € 13m or 1.3% above revenues and EBITDA respectively), with the minimum beat driven by the aviation (€ 6m above at EBITDA level) and the comm...
- Rafael Bonardell
AENA: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 1.650 M euros (+14,1% vs +14,0% BS(e) y +14,5% consenso); EBITDA: 1.108 M euros (+17,4% vs +16,4% BS(e) y +17,6% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 4.397 M euros (+16,3% vs +16,3% BS(e) y +16,5% consenso); EBITDA: 2.663 M euros (+26,0% vs +25,5% BS(e) y +26,1% consenso).
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 30 OCTOBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Market moved by earnings releases European stock markets closed with slight drops, highly conditioned by the business results calendar and penalised by the new rise in...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 30 0CTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BASF, KERING, SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El mercado al son de los beneficios empresariales ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 22 OCTOBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVI...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, BANKING SECTOR, ENAGÁS, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results season takes centre stage A poor start to a week marked by the flood of company earnings in Europe and the US. The proximity of the US presidential election adds uncertainty and puts pressure on US debt. In the ST...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 22 0CTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACA...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENAGÁS, SACYR, SECTOR BANCOS ESPAÑA. EUROPA: SAP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La campaña de resultados toma protagonismo Mal comienzo para una semana marcada por el aluvión de resultados empresariales en Europa y EE.UU...
- Ignacio Romero
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 17 OCTOBER + 3Q'24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO SANJOSÉ, TALGO. The Ibex near 12,000 points Mixed session ahead of the ECB meeting, marked by the earnings release, with the Ibex standing out again (after climbing 9 of the 10 last sessions), hitting highs from the past 14 years. In the STOXX 600, Travel&Leisure and Retail were the best-performing sectors vs. the drops of Technology and Consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the US import prices fell more than expected. In Japan, September’s exports fell unexpectedly. In Chi...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 17 0CTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO SANJOSÉ, TALGO. EUROPA: NOKIA, PERNOD RICARD. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex al filo de los 12.000 puntos La jornada previa a la reunión del BCE fue mixta y marcada por la presentación de resultados empresariales,...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 09 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, CAIXABANK, VISCOFAN. Lacking drivers In a session of few macro references, European stock markets managed to reel in the losses from the opening bell with the boost from the US and the falling oil prices. The IBEX, which closed with slight gains, was once again the best-performing index in the euro zone. In the STOXX 600, most of the sectors closed with losses (15/20), led by Basic Materials and Consumer Goods, whereas the defensive Telecoms and Utilities were the best perfor...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : Trajectoire clarifiée et beaucoup de potentiel, mais il faut...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC à 20.50 € maintenus - A l’issue du roadshow management que nous avons organisé à Paris, nous confirmons notre recommandation Surperformance et notre objectif de cours de 20.50 €, sur la base d’un DCF (16.5 €) et d’une somme des parties (24.4 €). Comme attendu, cet évènement a été l’opportunité de recaler la séquence de mise en service des capacités installées qui correspond aux guidances du groupe en termes d’EBITDA pour 2024 et 2025. La ...
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : Trajectory clarified and plenty of potential, but patience i...
>Outperform rating and € 20.50 target price maintained - Following the roadshow with management that we organised in Paris, we confirm our Outperform rating and our € 20.50 target price, based on a DCF model (€ 16.5) and an SOTP approach (€ 24.4). As expected, this event was an opportunity to adjust the sequence for installed commissioning which corresponds to the group’s guidance in terms of EBITDA for 2024 and 2025. The expected growth in installed capacity will onl...
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/01/2024
Like Astérix in the album of the same name, Michel Barnier has a cauldron to fill. Two measures to manage this have “leaked” in the press in the last few days: a reduction in the CIR research tax credit and an exceptional tax increase on large companies. We measured the sensitivity to these two measures of the 90 and 80 companies most concerned in our coverage universe. 20 companies have a CIR >5% of their EBIT and 22 companies would see their EPS fall by more than 5% due to the addit...
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 01/10/2024
Comme Astérix dans l’album éponyme, Barnier a un chaudron à remplir. Deux mesures pour y parvenir ont « fuité » ces derniers jours dans la presse : rabotage du CIR (Crédit d’impôt Recherche) et hausse « exceptionnelle » de l’impôt des sociétés sur les grands groupes. Nous avons mesuré la sensibilité des 90 et 80 sociétés les plus concernées dans notre univers de couverture à ces deux mesures. 20 sociétés ont un CIR > 5% de leur EBIT et 22 sociétés verraient leurs BPA baisser de plus d...
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : 2024 MW trajectory to be clarified in our next roadshow
>Outperform rating maintained and target price adjusted to € 20.50 vs € 21.1 - Following the release of H1 2024 results, which on a reported basis came in slightly higher than we anticipated, but excluding capital gains on disposals slightly undershot our expectations, the group has not really made any announcements on the year end in terms of installed capacity, given the administrative environment in Spain which remains complicated, preferring to highlight its new ...
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