reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...
Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
AMD ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
AVGO ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
SOH1 ASML
BESI BROADCOM INC.
SOITEC
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?
Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?
Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘M...
Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘Materials-to-Fab’ Center TEMPE, Ariz., Oct. 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. and Arizona State University (ASU) today marked the official opening of the Materials-to-Fab Center, a shared world-class $270 million research, development and prototyping facility inside the university’s at in Tempe. A ribbon-cutting event was held at the Center as semiconductor industry leaders from around the globe gathered in nearby Phoenix for the SEMICON West conference. Applied Materials executives, including Dr. P...
ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer
ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer Marco Pieters appointed ASML Chief Technology Officer ASML Supervisory Board intends to reappoint CFO Roger Dassen and COO Frédéric Schneider-Maunoury, and to appoint CTO Marco Pieters to the Board of Management as of the April 2026 AGM VELDHOVEN, The Netherlands, October 9, 2025 – ASML Holding NV (ASML) today announced the appointment of Marco Pieters as Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, reporting to President and Chief Executive Officer, Christophe Fouquet. With over 25 years of...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...
We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back
Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge ...
Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge AI Performance Kinex™ is the industry’s first integrated die-to-wafer hybrid bonding system; enables production of higher performance, lower power advanced logic and memory chips Xtera™ system enables higher performance Gate-All-Around transistors at 2nm and beyond by depositing void-free, uniform epitaxial layersPROVision™ 10 eBeam metrology system improves yield of complex 3D chips by providing sub-nanometer resolution, fast throughput and deep imaging SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Ma...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Japan Market Strategy: Market Implications from Takaichi's Suprise...
The Japanese stock market’s take on the surprise victory of Sanae Takaichi in the LDP Presidential race suggested that it wasn’t so much a repeat of the “Koizumi Boom” from 20 years ago, but rather a brand new “Takaichi Boom”, and we saw the Nikkei 225 jump +4.8% to just under 48,000. Pelham Smithers compares and contrasts the impact and flags “Takaichi Stocks”. Importantly, market valuations suggest further upside.
6702 FUJITSU LIMITED
5631 JAPAN STEEL WORKS LTD.
7013 IHI CORPORATION
1812 KAJIMA CORPORATION
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
7011 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
1801 TAISEI CORP
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral
The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 02 OCTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR BANCARIO. EUROPA: ASML, INFORME ANUAL, NOKIA. Subidas en bolsa con malos datos A pesar de un comienzo con dudas, las bolsas europeas terminaron con ganancias después de que los malos datos desde EE.UU. apoyen bajadas de tipos por parte de la Fed. Sobre el shutdown pocos avances, el gobierno federal habría congelado 26.000 M dólares para los estados de tendencia demócrata (18.000 M dólares en infraestructuras para la ciudad de Nueva York). E...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
4689 Z HOLDINGS CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
6952 CASIO COMPUTER CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7762 CITIZEN WATCH CO LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9433 KDDI CORPORATION
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6752 PANASONIC CORPORATION
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
8729 SONY FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
9616 KYORITSU MAINTENANCE CO. LTD.
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
6753 SHARP CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3697 SHIFT
6857 JP ADVANEST
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
36350 KOEI TECMO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3630 JT DENSAN SYSTEM CO LTD (3630 JT)
4194 VISIONAL
4483 JMDC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
AST VISIONAL INC
5032 JT ASTREE CIE ASSURANCE & REASSURANCE
5253 JT ANYCOLOR INC
9616 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
8473 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
215A SBI HOLDINGS [STRATEGIC BUSINESS INNOVATOR GROUP] (8473 JT)
285A JT TIMEE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered...
Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered Photonics Applied is leveraging its leadership in materials engineering to provide the highest quality waveguides for augmented reality glasses SANTA CLARA, Calif. and SINGAPORE, Sept. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced a strategic collaboration with GlobalFoundries (GF) to establish a state-of-the-art waveguide fabrication facility at GF Singapore to accelerate the emerging photonics inflection driven by AI. The collaboration marks a significant milestone in the evolution of photon...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
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