The fifth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum was held virtually, gathering 62 Iberian issuers and close to 200 institutional investors, making it one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences of the year. The event generated 47 feedbacks, 6 target price revisions (including 4 downgrades), and a rating downgrade for Ence. The main topics of discussion were the impact of US tariffs and a weak USD on industrial companies, concerns about final demand in Europe and the US, and the sustainability of Spain’s ec...
We are downgrading our rating on Ence after sharply lowering our estimates on continued pulp price weakness, our more cautious view on future price trends and disappointing H1 2025 results (-43% y-o-y). Ence’s diversification strategy in advanced pulp/fluff grades and biomethane/renewable industrial heating could take time to rekindle the group’s earnings power while its cash flow profile is likely to remain under pressure in the medium term, justifying our Underperform rating and new TP of € 2....
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, BANKING SECTOR, INDRA, PHARMA SECTOR. Rate cuts lose steam European stock markets fell, as the strong US employment data and the latest comments from the Fed have cooled the likelihood of seeing the amount of rate cuts the market expects (fed fund futures through Dec’25 rising to 3.76%). Thus, in the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Retail, whereas Pharma and Construction suffered the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone August’s M...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, INDRA, SECTOR BANCARIO, SECTOR FARMA. EUROPA: INTESA SAN PAOLO, UNICREDIT. Las bajadas de tipos pierden fuerza Caídas en las bolsas europeas, ya que la fortaleza en los datos de empleo americanos y los últimos comentarios desde la Fed enfrían las probabilidades de ver las bajadas de tipos que el mercado espera (futuros de los fed funds a dic’25 corrigen al alza hasta el 3,76%). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y Ret...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, IBERDROLA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: TOTALENERGIES. Falta de catalizadores para llegar a nuevos máximos En una jornada sin catalizadores, las bolsas europeas cerraron mixtas después de que D. Trump reafirmase su apoyo a la defensa de la OTAN. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron cíclicos ligados a las materias primas como R. Básicos y Energía pero también el subsector industrial de Defensa mientras que Construcción y S. Financieros terminaron...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, INDRA. The Fed follows the script It was a session of little movement and mixed performance on European stock markets, pending the Fed meeting. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Retail were the sectors rising the most, whereas Energy and Basic Materials posted the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final inflation fell -0.1% vs. the preliminary figure to 2.0% YoY, with the core figure unchanged at 2.3%. In the UK, August’s inflat...
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