reports
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 27 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, LVMH. China sigue animando los mercados Nueva jornada de rebote tras las caídas del día anterior y con los estímulos de China como principal protagonista. El Ibex por su parte superó los 11.900 puntos marcando máximos de 2010. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y R. Básicos frente a Energía que fue el peor con caídas superiores al -3,0%. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la M...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 27 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. China continues to spur the markets Another rally following the previous day’s drops, and with stimulus measures in China in the spotlight, where in addition to those already known, there could be capital injections in the country’s main banks over the coming days. The IBEX rose above 11,900 points, hitting a high since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Basic Materials vs. Energy, which was the worst pe...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int'l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. In late-July (7/25/24 Int'l Compass) we discussed expectations for a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and we believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from our selected 7/17/24 starting point, until the market decides which way this...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : A gradual weaning
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : More than ever the sector benchmark… but everything comes ...
Iberdrola is the strategic benchmark in the universe of integrated utilities. Since 2001, the group has pursued a resilient strategy of profitable growth (renewables and networks), geographic expansion and attractive shareholder returns (TSR average annual of 17.9%). But based on the strong share's performance and the low residual upside on our target price of € 15.30, we have lowered our rating to Neutral vs Outperform. - >Upside limited to around 10% - Iberdrola’s c...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : Plus que jamais la référence sectorielle… mais tout à un p...
Iberdrola est la référence stratégique dans le secteur des utilities intégrées. Depuis 2001, le groupe poursuit une stratégie résiliente de croissance rentable (renouvelable et réseaux), d’expansion géographique et de rémunération attractive des actionnaires (TSR annuel moyen 17.9%). Toutefois, la forte performance du titre et le faible potentiel résiduel à notre objectif de cours de 15.3 €, nous amènent à abaisser l’opinion à Neutre vs Surperformance. - >Un potentiel de r...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 17 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, UNICREDIT. El BCE se muestra más cauto y el Ibex bate un nuevo máximo del año Las bolsas europeas cerraron a la baja acompañadas de comentarios más cautos desde el BCE. En el STOXX 600 los mayores avances fueron en Retail y Hogar mientras que Tecnología y Autos terminaron con las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona los costes laborales y los salarios del 2T’24 se moderaron hasta el 4,7% y 4,5%...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 17 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. The ECB is more cautious European stock markets ended with corrections, with more cautious comments from the ECB. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Household led gains, whereas Technology and Autos posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 labour costs and wages moderated to 4.7% and 4.5%, respectively (from 5.0% and 5.2% previously). From the ECB, the chief economist P. Lane was in favour of gradually easing the monetary restric...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 13 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CHANGES IBEX, IBERDROLA, OHLA. ECB follows the script Another session of gains in Europe that was largely unaffected by the ECB, which lowered rates as expected. The IBEX again led the advance, closing above 11,400 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors closed with gains, led by Basic Materials and Technology, with Utilities and Pharma being the worst performers with slight drops. On the macro side, the ECB lowered the deposit facility rate by -25bps and the margin...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 13 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, IBERDROLA, OHLA. EUROPA: VINCI. El BCE sigue su curso Nueva jornada de ganancias en Europa sin verse muy afectadas por un BCE que bajó los tipos como esperado. El Ibex lideró nuevamente los avances hasta cerrar al filo de los 11.400 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 casi todos los sectores cerraron con ganancias, lideradas por Recursos Básicos y Tecnología frente al peor comportamiento de Utilities y Farma que mostraron modestas caí...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Curtailments in Brazil, limited impact on Iberdrola, Enel and E...
>Recap of the announcement made by Votalia on 20 August - On 20 August, Voltalia announced that the Brazilian transmission network operator was imposing a sizeable curtailment on some parts of the network which will impact group 2024 EBITDA to the tune of € 40m, if these measures to reduce inflow continue over the next few months and if the group is not compensated financially. The curtailment on production volumes for Voltalia in the northeast portion of the network ...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Les effacements au Brésil, peu d’impacts sur Iberdrola, Enel et...
>Rappel des faits annoncés par Voltalia le 20 août dernier - Le 20 août dernier, Voltalia a annoncé que l’opérateur du réseau de transmission brésilien impose actuellement des écrêtements prononcés dans certaines parties du réseau qui impacterait l’EBITDA 2024 du groupe à hauteur de 40 M€, si ces mesures de réduction d’injection se prolongeaient au cours des prochains mois et si le groupe n’était pas compensé financièrement. Le volume d’écrêtement de la production de ...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 09 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. Volatilidad ante el dato de empleo en EE.UU. Finalmente el empleo no agrícola en EE.UU. salió algo peor de lo esperado el viernes y no fue suficiente para impulsar a unas bolsas que terminaron cayeron fuertemente firmando pérdidas semanales cercanas al -4,0%. En el STOXX 600 la mayoría de los sectores cerraron la semana con caídas (16/20), lideradas por Tecnología y R. Básicos frente a los defensivos Inmo...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 09 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, TELEFÓNICA. Volatility with the US employment data In the end, the US non-farm employment data came in slightly worse than expected and was not enough to drive the markets, which ended up falling sharply (and closed with weekly losses near -4.0%). In the STOXX 600, most sectors (16/20) ended the week with losses, led by Technology and Basic Materials, with defensive sectors like Real Estate and Utilities being the best performers. On the macro side, in the euro zone the...
Iberdrola S.A.: 1 director
A director at Iberdrola S.A. sold 20,757 shares at 12.850EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 04 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. New doubts on the horizon The main indices saw profit taking in early September, one of the worst months of the year for stock markets from a statistical standpoint, to some extent exhausted following the rally seen since the 5th of August. Thus, in the STOXX 600, defensive sectors such as Household and Food were the best performers whereas cyclical industries with high beta such as Basic Resources and Energy (weak demand and possible end to the disputes that h...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 04 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. Nuevas dudas en el horizonte Recogida de beneficios en los principales índices que llegan a septiembre, uno de los peores meses del año para las bolsas desde el punto de vista estadístico, con cierto agotamiento tras el rally acumulado desde el 5 de agosto pasado. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron defensivos como Hogar y Alimentación mientras que los cíclicos de elevada beta como R. Básicos y Energ...
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