NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ARCELORMITTAL, METROVACESA, REDEIA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex falls back below 11,000 points European stock markets posted losses ahead of the Fed meeting, where the IBEX was once again the worst performer. Within the STOXX 600 sectors, the biggest gains came in Real Esta...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ARCELORMITTAL, METROVACESA, REDEIA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, ING. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex pierde otra vez los 11.000 puntos Jornada de caídas en las bolsas europeas previo a la reunión de la Fed donde el Ibex volvió...
>Outperform rating maintained – target price raised to € 2.8 (vs € 2.7) - Mapfre turned in another broadly solid set of performances in Q1 2024, both operationally and balance sheet-wise (solvency, etc.) and in synch with the new medium-term strategic plan recently unveiled (March 2024) – net income came in at € 216m (+2% vs consensus), with good-quality performances from its two businesses (non-life +63% vs cons thanks to the financial result, life +7% vs cons). The ...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 2.8 € (vs 2.7 €) - Mapfre délivre au T1 2024 une performance de nouveau globalement solide à la fois sur l’opérationnel et l’évolution de son bilan (solvabilité…) et en phase avec le nouveau plan stratégique MT récemment dévoilé (mars 2024). Le RN s’établit ainsi à 216 M€ (soit +2% vs cons) avec une performance de bonne facture des 2 activités (Non-vie +63% vs cons grâce notamment au résultat financier, Vie +7% vs css). L...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. The Ibex near 11,000 points European stock markets continued to gain ground in an increasing session with low trading volume. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Media and Household saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain, the production price index slowed down to -8.2% vs. -3.9% prev. From the ECB, F. Panetta (Bank of Italy’s governor) admitted that the moderation of inflation brings closer the beginning o...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. El Ibex testea los 11.000 puntos Las bolsas de Europa continuaron ganando altura en una jornada de menos a más y con bajo nivel de negociación. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las subidas Energía y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Media y Hogar fueron los peores con caídas cercanas al medio punto. Por el lado macro, en España el índice de precios de producción se contrajo hasta el -8,2% vs -3,9% ant. Desde el BCE, F. Panetta...
We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...
Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...
>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 2.7 (vs € 2.6) - After the recent publication of Q4/FY 2023 results supported the relatively robust trends on the operational/balance sheet fronts, Mapfre presented its new medium-term strategic plan to shareholders at the AGM on 15 March 2023. Whilst the new plan contains no real surprises/new elements, it at least has the merit of ensuring welcomed continuity and is broadly reassuring on the group’s outlook. W...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 2.7 € (vs 2.6 €) - Après la publication récente de résultats T4/annuels 2023 venant conforter l’évolution plutôt solide sur les plans opérationnel et bilanciel, Mapfre a présenté son nouveau plan stratégique MT à ses actionnaires lors de l’AGM tenue le 15 mars dernier. Si le nouvel opus stratégique n’apporte pas de réelle surprise/nouveauté, il a pour le moins le mérite d’assurer une continuité bienvenue et de rassurer su...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
Objetivos a 2026. Yield atractiva. Potencial de revisión al alza. En La JGA del pasado viernes MAP anunció los ejes de su plan y objetivos financieros para estos 3 próximos en los que estiman una TACC’23-26 de primas del +6% (vs +9,8% en 2023 y +3,6% consenso en 2023-2025e). ROE promedio de entre el 10 y 11%, con la meta de llegar al 11% en 2026 (vs 10% en 2023 y promedio 2023-2025e de 10,3% de consenso con un BDI’25 de c.900 M euros). De acuerdo a nuestras estimaciones, alcanzar un ROE’26 del 1...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, CAF, MAPFRE. The Ibex above 10,600 points It was a new week of gains for European stock markets despite the disappointing US inflation data although with the market betting on the beginning of rate cuts in June by the ECB. In the STOXX 600, Retail (after Inditex’s rally following its results) and Banks were the best-performing sectors whereas Real Estate and Technology ended with the biggest drops in view of the rally of sovereign debt curves. On the macro side, G. Makhlou...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, CAF, MAPFRE. EUROPA: VINCI. El Ibex rompe los 10.600 puntos Nueva semana de subidas en las bolsas Europeas a pesar de las decepciones en los datos de inflación americanos pero con el mercado apostando por el inicio de recortes de tipos en junio por parte del BCE. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Retail (euforia en Inditex tras los resultados) y Bancos mientras que Inmobiliario y Tecnología terminaron con las may...
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