reports
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 07 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ENAGÁS, IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TALGO. La guerra Israel/Irán no da tregua y se suma la campaña de resultados El temor a una escalada de la tensión en Oriente Medio llevó a un fuerte repunte del petróleo y caídas en las principales bolsas europeas que no pudieron ser totalmente revertidas a pesar de los buenos datos macro en EE.UU. Dentro de los sectoriales del STOXX 600, Energía destacó como el mejor sector seguido por Recursos Básicos mientras que Au...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 07 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ENAGÁS, IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TALGO. The Israel-Iran war intensifies and joins the results season The fear of escalating tensions in the Middle East led to drops on the main European stock markets that were not fully reversed despite the good macroeconomic data released in the US and a sharp rise in oil prices. Within the STOXX 600 sectors, Energy stood out as the best performer, followed by Basic Materials, whereas Autos, Luxury and Travel & Leisure (dragged down by the geopoliti...
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FER FERROVIAL SA
- Juan Ros-Padilla
EO FAURECIA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
NEX NEXANS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
FYB FORMYCON AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
WAGA WAGA ENERGY SA
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
- Juan Ros-Padilla
EO FAURECIA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
NEX NEXANS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
FYB FORMYCON AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
WAGA WAGA ENERGY SA
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
ODDO : Feedback Innotrans: demand is here to stay
>UNIFE sees 3% growth p.a. between 2022 and 2028 - As we did two years ago, we attended Innotrans in Berlin last week. The rail show brought together 2,940 exhibitors (more than 2022) and close to 140,000 visitors. At the event, UNIFE presented its growth forecasts with 3% expected per year between the period 2021-2023 and 2027-2029 (after 2.7% seen in 2021-2023). In practice, sector groups see stronger growth than the 3% anticipated by UNIFE.Insight...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
ODDO : Feedback Innotrans : la demande est là pour durer
>Unife prévoit 3% de croissance annuelle par an entre 2022 et 2028 - Comme il y a 2 ans, nous avons assisté la semaine dernière au Salon Innotrans à Berlin. Ce salon ferroviaire a rassemblé 2 940 exposants (> à 2022) et près de 140 000 visiteurs. Lors de ce salon, Unife a présenté ses prévisions de croissance avec 3% attendus par an entre les périodes 2021-2023 et 2027-2029 (après 2.7% réalisés sur la période 2021-2023). En pratique, les groupes du secteur prévoi...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 27 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, LVMH. China sigue animando los mercados Nueva jornada de rebote tras las caídas del día anterior y con los estímulos de China como principal protagonista. El Ibex por su parte superó los 11.900 puntos marcando máximos de 2010. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y R. Básicos frente a Energía que fue el peor con caídas superiores al -3,0%. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la M...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 27 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. China continues to spur the markets Another rally following the previous day’s drops, and with stimulus measures in China in the spotlight, where in addition to those already known, there could be capital injections in the country’s main banks over the coming days. The IBEX rose above 11,900 points, hitting a high since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Basic Materials vs. Energy, which was the worst pe...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int'l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. In late-July (7/25/24 Int'l Compass) we discussed expectations for a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and we believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from our selected 7/17/24 starting point, until the market decides which way this...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : A gradual weaning
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : More than ever the sector benchmark… but everything comes ...
Iberdrola is the strategic benchmark in the universe of integrated utilities. Since 2001, the group has pursued a resilient strategy of profitable growth (renewables and networks), geographic expansion and attractive shareholder returns (TSR average annual of 17.9%). But based on the strong share's performance and the low residual upside on our target price of € 15.30, we have lowered our rating to Neutral vs Outperform. - >Upside limited to around 10% - Iberdrola’s c...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : Plus que jamais la référence sectorielle… mais tout à un p...
Iberdrola est la référence stratégique dans le secteur des utilities intégrées. Depuis 2001, le groupe poursuit une stratégie résiliente de croissance rentable (renouvelable et réseaux), d’expansion géographique et de rémunération attractive des actionnaires (TSR annuel moyen 17.9%). Toutefois, la forte performance du titre et le faible potentiel résiduel à notre objectif de cours de 15.3 €, nous amènent à abaisser l’opinion à Neutre vs Surperformance. - >Un potentiel de r...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 25 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: DHL, PROSUS, SAP. China anima a parte del mercado Los sectores cíclicos de Europa reaccionaron con fuertes subidas al anuncio de estímulos por parte de la Autoridad Monetaria china (PBoC). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y B. Consumo (lujo) frente a Inmobiliario y S. Financieros que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO de septiembre descendió algo más d...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 25 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. China spurs section of market Cyclical sectors in Europe reacted with sharp gains to the announcement of stimulus measures from the PBoC. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Consumer Goods (Luxury), with Real Estate and Financial Services falling the most. On the macro side, in Germany September’s IFO fell slightly more than expected, suggesting a slight contraction in the 3Q’24 GDP. From the ECB, K. Knot (President...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 17 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, UNICREDIT. El BCE se muestra más cauto y el Ibex bate un nuevo máximo del año Las bolsas europeas cerraron a la baja acompañadas de comentarios más cautos desde el BCE. En el STOXX 600 los mayores avances fueron en Retail y Hogar mientras que Tecnología y Autos terminaron con las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona los costes laborales y los salarios del 2T’24 se moderaron hasta el 4,7% y 4,5%...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 17 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. The ECB is more cautious European stock markets ended with corrections, with more cautious comments from the ECB. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Household led gains, whereas Technology and Autos posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 labour costs and wages moderated to 4.7% and 4.5%, respectively (from 5.0% and 5.2% previously). From the ECB, the chief economist P. Lane was in favour of gradually easing the monetary restric...
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