reports
- Javier Esteban
CAIXABANK: OBJETIVOS AMBICIOSOS PARA TIPOS BAJOS; CAMBIO DE RECOMENDAC...
Plan estratégico ambicioso para un escenario de tipos conservador. Cambio de recomendación a INFRAPONDERAR. CABK aspira a ROTE medio 25-27 >15% (14,1% BS(e) y 14,5% consenso) y >16% en 2027 (implicaría en media un BDI +15% por encima de lo esperado). Prevé compensar EURIBOR bajo (2,19% en 2025, 1,8% en 2026 y 2% en 2027( vs 2,5% nosotros)) con más volumen de crédito y coberturas ALCO. Mantiene política de dividendo en cash (50%- 60% payout/ ~7-8% yield). Distribuirá el exceso de capital >12,5% C...
- Martial Descoutures
- Oussema Denguir
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DKSH DKSH HOLDING AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GREEN GREENYARD NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
EFIC1 EUROPEAN FINTECH IPO CO 1 BV
AELIS AELIS FARMA SA
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SPG SPRINGER NATURE AG & CO. KGAA
- Martial Descoutures
- Oussema Denguir
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DKSH DKSH HOLDING AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GREEN GREENYARD NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
EFIC1 EUROPEAN FINTECH IPO CO 1 BV
AELIS AELIS FARMA SA
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SPG SPRINGER NATURE AG & CO. KGAA
- Rafael Bonardell
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : 9M 2024 recurring income and guidance validated, leaving the...
>Outperform rating and target price of € 20.50 maintained - Following the publication of 9M 2024 results which on a reported basis came in a shade above our forecasts, but in line excluding capital gains from divestments, we confirm our Outperform rating and our target price of € 20.5 based on DCF (€ 16.5) and a sum-of-the-parts approach (€ 24.4). The group has confirmed its guidance for 2024 and 2025 EBITDA, likewise its target for 3 GW of operational capacity at th...
- Rafael Bonardell
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : 9M 24 récurrent et guidances validés, reste la trajectoire d...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC à 20.50 € maintenus - A l’issue de la publication des résultats du 9M 24, qui sont ressortis, en publié, un peu au-dessus de nos attentes, mais hors plus-value de cession, en ligne avec nos estimations, nous confirmons notre opinion Surperformance, et notre objectif de cours de 20.5 €, sur la base d’un DCF (16.5 €) et d’une somme des parties (24.4 €). Le groupe a confirmé ses guidances d’EBITDA 2024 et 2025, de même que l’attente de 3 GW ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 19 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, SOLARIA. Awaiting drivers European stock markets managed to recover ground at the end of the session, ending mixed, with the Ibex and FTSE MIB being the best relative performers. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Telecoms were the best relative performers vs. the bigger drops of Real Estate and Retail. From the ECB, De Guindos insisted that concerns about inflation have now shifted to growth. On the macro side, in the US November’s NAHB r...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 19 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, SOLARIA. A la espera de catalizadores Las bolsas europeas lograron recuperarse hacia el final de la sesión y cerraron con signo mixtos donde destacó el buen comportamiento relativo del Ibex y el del FTSE MIB en negativo. Así, dentro del STOXX 600, Recursos Básicos y Telecos mostraron el mejor comportamiento relativo, frente a las mayores caídas de Inmobiliario y Retail. Desde el BCE, De Guindos insistió en que la preocup...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 15 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB’s target nearly met The Euro STOXX 50 had its best day since late September, while the ECB’s meeting minutes suggested the 2% inflation target will be met earlier than expected, thus cementing t...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
CaixaBank : Medium-term strategic update: underpinning win/win profile...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully r...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
CaixaBank : Update stratégique MT : conforter le profil ‘win/win’ face...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 12 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTA...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, MINOR HOTELS, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO, SECTOR SEGUROS. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los mercados se estabilizan En una jornada de pocos catalizadores las bolsas europeas rebotaron, compensand...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 12 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, INSURANCE SECTOR, MINOR HOTELS, REAL ESTATE SECTOR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Markets stabilise In a session with few drivers, European stock markets rallied, offsetting part of the drop from the previous week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors in th...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Javier Esteban
CAIXABANK: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results NII: € 2.79 Bn (+2% vs. -1.2% BS(e) and +0.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.09 Bn (+1.9% vs. -0.3% BS(e) and +0.9% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.56 Bn (+0.6% vs. -2.3% BS(e) and -0.9% consensus); Net Profit pre AT1: € 1.57 Bn (+3.3% vs. +1% BS(e) and 0.7% consensus). 3Q'24 vs. 2Q'24 Results NII: € 2.79 Bn (+0.1% vs. -3% BS(e) and -1.3% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.09 Bn (-2.7% vs. -4.8% BS(e) and -3.6% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.56 Bn (-4.8% vs. -7.5% BS(...
- Javier Esteban
CAIXABANK: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: M. Intereses: 2.794 M euros (+2% vs -1,2% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.092 M euros (+1,9% vs -0,3% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); M. Neto: 2.557 M euros (+0,6% vs -2,3% BS(e) y -0,9% consenso); BDI pre AT1: 1.573 M euros (+3,3% vs +1% BS(e) y 0,7% consenso). Rdos. 3T'24 vs 2T'24: M. Intereses: 2.794 M euros (+0,1% vs -3% BS(e) y -1,3% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.092 M euros (-2,7% vs -4,8% BS(e) y -3,6% consenso); M. Neto: 2.557 M euros (-4,8% vs -7,5% BS(e) y -6,2% consenso);...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 31 OCTOBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING/ENERGY SECTOR, CAIXABANK, EBRO FOODS, FCC, FLUIDRA, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Inflation rises in October European stock markets fell, with October’s inflation data in Europe higher than expected. In the STOXX 600, all the sectors ended with drops, with Travel & Leisu...
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