reports
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FER FERROVIAL SA
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 02 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY. Aumenta el riesgo geopolítico en Oriente Medio Nuevas caídas en las bolsas europeas, esta vez por la mayor aversión al riesgo generada por el ataque con misiles de Irán contra Israel y el castigo a financieros por una senda más baja de tipos de interés esperada por el mercado. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Energía (gracias al rebote del Brent por la inestabilidad geopolítica) e Inmobiliario frente a Banco...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 02 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY. Higher geopolitical risk in the Middle East European stock markets saw new corrections due to the higher risk aversion generated by Iran’s missile attack on Israel and the punishment to financial stocks due to the lower interest rate pattern expected by the market. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Energy (thanks to the rally of Brent crude due to the political instability) and Real Estate were the best-performing sectors whereas Banks and Consumer Goods dropped >-2.0%. On the macr...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 27 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, LVMH. China sigue animando los mercados Nueva jornada de rebote tras las caídas del día anterior y con los estímulos de China como principal protagonista. El Ibex por su parte superó los 11.900 puntos marcando máximos de 2010. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y R. Básicos frente a Energía que fue el peor con caídas superiores al -3,0%. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la M...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 27 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. China continues to spur the markets Another rally following the previous day’s drops, and with stimulus measures in China in the spotlight, where in addition to those already known, there could be capital injections in the country’s main banks over the coming days. The IBEX rose above 11,900 points, hitting a high since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Basic Materials vs. Energy, which was the worst pe...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int'l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. In late-July (7/25/24 Int'l Compass) we discussed expectations for a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and we believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from our selected 7/17/24 starting point, until the market decides which way this...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : A gradual weaning
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : More than ever the sector benchmark… but everything comes ...
Iberdrola is the strategic benchmark in the universe of integrated utilities. Since 2001, the group has pursued a resilient strategy of profitable growth (renewables and networks), geographic expansion and attractive shareholder returns (TSR average annual of 17.9%). But based on the strong share's performance and the low residual upside on our target price of € 15.30, we have lowered our rating to Neutral vs Outperform. - >Upside limited to around 10% - Iberdrola’s c...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : Plus que jamais la référence sectorielle… mais tout à un p...
Iberdrola est la référence stratégique dans le secteur des utilities intégrées. Depuis 2001, le groupe poursuit une stratégie résiliente de croissance rentable (renouvelable et réseaux), d’expansion géographique et de rémunération attractive des actionnaires (TSR annuel moyen 17.9%). Toutefois, la forte performance du titre et le faible potentiel résiduel à notre objectif de cours de 15.3 €, nous amènent à abaisser l’opinion à Neutre vs Surperformance. - >Un potentiel de r...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 18 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY, OHLA. El mercado se decanta por recortes de 50 puntos hoy para la Fed Nueva sesión de avances en Europa, después de que los últimos datos desde EE.UU. muestran que el gasto del consumidor está aguantando y la producción industrial intenta despertar. En el STOXX 600 destacaron las subidas de Retail y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Inmobiliario y Farma presentaron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el índice ZEW de septiembre...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 18 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY, OHLA. The market bets on 50bps cuts today by the Fed It was a new session of gains for European stock markets after the latest macro data released in the US showed that consumer spending is keeping up and industrial output is trying to recover. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Real Estate and Pharma posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, September’s ZEW index came in much worse than expected both in terms of expectation...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 17 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, UNICREDIT. El BCE se muestra más cauto y el Ibex bate un nuevo máximo del año Las bolsas europeas cerraron a la baja acompañadas de comentarios más cautos desde el BCE. En el STOXX 600 los mayores avances fueron en Retail y Hogar mientras que Tecnología y Autos terminaron con las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona los costes laborales y los salarios del 2T’24 se moderaron hasta el 4,7% y 4,5%...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 17 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. The ECB is more cautious European stock markets ended with corrections, with more cautious comments from the ECB. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Household led gains, whereas Technology and Autos posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 labour costs and wages moderated to 4.7% and 4.5%, respectively (from 5.0% and 5.2% previously). From the ECB, the chief economist P. Lane was in favour of gradually easing the monetary restric...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 16 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. Stock markets rallied last week Stock markets ended with gains on both sides of the Atlantic last week, recovering part of the latest corrections and trying to return to the highs hit thanks to cyclical and growth sectors. The Ibex35 led gains last week, hitting new annual highs above 11,500 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 most sectors closed with gains, led by Technology and Retail, with Autos and Consumer Goods being the only sectors ending in negative terr...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 16 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. EUROPA: ENI. Semana de rebote en las bolsas Las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana pasada con avances a ambos lados del Atlántico, recuperando parte de las últimas caídas y buscando volver a su zona de máximos de la mano de los cíclicos y el growth. El Ibex 35 lideró las subidas de la semana, marcando nuevos máximos anuales por encima de los 11.500 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 mayoría de ganancias en los sectores, lideradas ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 13 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CHANGES IBEX, IBERDROLA, OHLA. ECB follows the script Another session of gains in Europe that was largely unaffected by the ECB, which lowered rates as expected. The IBEX again led the advance, closing above 11,400 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors closed with gains, led by Basic Materials and Technology, with Utilities and Pharma being the worst performers with slight drops. On the macro side, the ECB lowered the deposit facility rate by -25bps and the margin...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 13 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, IBERDROLA, OHLA. EUROPA: VINCI. El BCE sigue su curso Nueva jornada de ganancias en Europa sin verse muy afectadas por un BCE que bajó los tipos como esperado. El Ibex lideró nuevamente los avances hasta cerrar al filo de los 11.400 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 casi todos los sectores cerraron con ganancias, lideradas por Recursos Básicos y Tecnología frente al peor comportamiento de Utilities y Farma que mostraron modestas caí...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
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