On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FLUIDRA, GREENING, OHLA. El Ibex sigue de fiesta El buen tono se mantuvo en Europa con avances generalizados en las principales plazas bursátiles y donde el Ibex 35 registró nuevos máximos y encadenó nueve sesiones seguidas al alza. En el STOXX 600, Autos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a Utilities y Ocio que fueron los que más cayeron. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona las ventas al por menor de octubre repuntaron más ...
NEWS SUMMARY: FLUIDRA, GREENING, OHLA. IBEX party continues The solid performance continued in Europe, with widespread gains on the main stock markets and where the IBEX 35 hit a new high, making it now nine straight sessions with gains. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Industrials were the best performers, with Utilities and Leisure the sectors falling the most. On the macro side, in the euro zone October’s retail sales rose more than expected. In Germany, the coalition Govt. is facing a vote on th...
3Q’25 vs. 3Q’24: Sales: € 882 M (-5.1% vs. 2.2% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 29 M (-1.0% vs. 4.3% BS(e)); EBIT: € 6 M (-57.8% vs. -8.8% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -16 M (-33.8% vs. -41.0% BS(e)); 9M’25 vs. 9M’24: Sales: € 2.571 Bn (-3.0% vs. -0.4% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 113 M (30.3% vs. 32.1% BS(e)); EBIT: € 52 M (56.3% vs. 77.0% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -46 M (-21.8% vs. -24.7% BS(e)).
Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 882 M euros (-5,1% vs 2,2% BS(e)); EBITDA: 29 M euros (-1,0% vs 4,3% BS(e)); EBIT: 6 M euros (-57,8% vs -8,8% BS(e)); BDI: -16 M euros (-33,8% vs -41,0% BS(e)); Rdos. 9M'25 vs 9M'24: Ventas: 2.571 M euros (-3,0% vs -0,4% BS(e)); EBITDA: 113 M euros (30,3% vs 32,1% BS(e)); EBIT: 52 M euros (56,3% vs 77,0% BS(e)); BDI: -46 M euros (-21,8% vs -24,7% BS(e)).
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Stability for now In the absence of references from the US due to Thanksgiving, European stock markets traded within a narrow sideways range. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Financial Services were the best performers whereas Pharma, Technology and Basic Resources were the only sectors that ended with drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, October’s M3 remained at 2.8% YoY, in line with expectations, wherea...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Por el momento, estabilidad En una sesión sin referencias desde EE.UU., por la festividad de Acción de Gracias, las bolsas europeas se movieron en un rango lateral estrecho. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Autos, S. Financieros e Inmobiliario. En el lado contrario, sólo Farma, Tecnología y R. Básicos terminaron con caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozo...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, NEINOR HOMES, REPSOL, UNICAJA. The Ibex near 16,500 points again European stock markets rallied in a risk-on session, with cyclical companies faring better. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Banks were the best performers whereas Autos and Food posted the biggest drop. On the macro side, in the UK chancellor R. Reeves presented a more restrictive budget than initially expected (£ 26 Bn of savings vs. £ 15 Bn consensus), which led the Office for Budget Res...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, NEINOR HOMES, REPSOL, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO, UNICAJA. El Ibex vuelve a acercarse a los 16.500 puntos Fuertes subidas en las bolsas de Europa en una sesión de risk-on y mejor comportamiento de los cíclicos. En el STOXX 600, lideraron las ganancias Tecnología y Bancos mientras que Autos y Alimentación sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en R. Unido la canciller R. Reeves presentó un presupuesto más restrictivo de lo inicialment...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Nvidia, un impulso a las bolsas que se desinfla Los resultados publicados por la tecnológica disipan de momento las dudas en torno a la IA y provocó rebotes en los índices europeos superiores al 1% pero que se fueron moderando hacia el cierre del mercado con un Ibex que se quedó al borde de los 16.000 puntos. En el STOXX 600, Energía e Industriales fueron los que mayores ganancias presentaron frente a Autos...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. Nvidia fuelled stock markets to later ease The results released by the technology group dispelled doubts surrounding AI for the time being, leading to the rally of European markets >1% that eased at the closing bell, with the Ibex near 16,000 points. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Industrial led gains vs. Autos and Media that posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, December’s consumer confidence was disappointing after remaining at th...
3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 995.0 M (+1.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e) and +1.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 831.0 M (+2.7% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +2.2% consensus); Net Profit: € -158.0 M (vs. € 278 M in 3Q’24); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 2.937 Bn (+1.2% vs. +1.1% BS(e) and +1.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.436 Bn (+2.1% vs. +1.9% BS(e) and +1.9% consensus); Net Profit: € -263.0 M (€ -148.0 M in 9M'24 vs);
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