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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex vs. Telefonica Cellnex (Buy, €34, +32%) Telefonica (Reduce, ...

On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

Cellnex (Buy, €34, +34%) Inwit (Buy, €11.8, +56%) Both upgraded to BU...

Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: 3Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 995.0 M (+1.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e) and +1.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 831.0 M (+2.7% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +2.2% consensus); Net Profit: € -158.0 M (vs. € 278 M in 3Q’24); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 2.937 Bn (+1.2% vs. +1.1% BS(e) and +1.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.436 Bn (+2.1% vs. +1.9% BS(e) and +1.9% consensus); Net Profit: € -263.0 M (€ -148.0 M in 9M'24 vs);

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: RDOS. 9MESES’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 995,0 M euros (+1,3% vs +1,2% BS(e) y +1,3% consenso); EBITDA: 831,0 M euros (+2,7% vs +2,2% BS(e) y +2,2% consenso); BDI: -158,0 M euros (vs 278 M euros en 3T’24); Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 2.937 M euros (+1,2% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +1,2% consenso); EBITDA: 2.436 M euros (+2,1% vs +1,9% BS(e) y +1,9% consenso); BDI: -263,0 M euros (-148,0 M euros en 9meses'24).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 07 NOVEMBER + 3Q'25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Doubts persist With the results campaign entering the final stretch, the main European indices closed with losses, with the IBEX standing out as the best performer, remaining at around 16,100. In the STOXX 600, Basic Mate...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 07 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’25. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Se mantienen las dudas Con la campaña de resultados entrando en su recta final, los principales índices europeos cerraron con pérdidas, destacando...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex (Neutral, €29, +5%) Upgrade to Neutral

Cellnex has underperformed this year by 25pp vs. the EU operators and with the stock now trading below our target price, we upgrade from Reduce to Neutral.

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Enagas/Lower results but strong credit metrics

Enagás's financial results for the first nine months disappointed the equity market. The Spanish utility's EBITDA was down 12% but Enagás reiterated its year-end 2025 financial guidance. On the credit side, the company's credit ratios remained robust. Capital expenditure will increase substantially over the period 2025-30F, driven by hydrogen projects, in particular. At the same time, cash flow generation is expected to climb significantly as well. We changed our stance on Enagás from negative t...

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

MELIÁ HOTELS: 3Q’25 RESULTS AND T.P. INCREASE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL...

3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 616.6 M (+5.6% vs. +4.5% BS(e) and +4.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 192.2 M (+2.1% vs. +2.7% BS(e) and +3.0% consensus); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 1.603 Bn (+3.8% vs. +3.4% BS(e) and +3.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 435.8 M (+1.7% vs. +2.0% BS(e) and +2.1% consensus);

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

MELIÁ HOTELS: RDOS. 3T’25 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. AL ALZA (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 616,6 M euros (+5,6% vs +4,5% BS(e) y +4,2% consenso); EBITDA: 192,2 M euros (+2,1% vs +2,7% BS(e) y +3,0% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 1.603 M euros (+3,8% vs +3,4% BS(e) y +3,3% consenso); EBITDA: 435,8 M euros (+1,7% vs +2,0% BS(e) y +2,1% consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 31 OCTOBER + 3Q’25 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, MELIÁ, PUIG BRANDS, SANTANDER, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Profit taking after Central Bank meetings European stock markets slid amid 3Q’25 results and the Central Banks meetings. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Travel&Leisure were th...

Research Department
  • Research Department
AXA AXA
BAYN BAYER AG ... (+7)

INFORME DIARIO 31 OCTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, MELIÁ, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO, PUIG BRANDS, UNICAJA. EUROPA: AXA, BAYER, SECTOR BANCARIO, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Toma de beneficios post Bancos Centrales Las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico se decant...

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