CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...
CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...
>Western Europe: RevPAR growth of ~15% y-o-y in July/August - Based on the RevPAR figures in western Europe for August (+17.3% y-o-y according to STR with price growth of +15.3%), growth over July/August stands at +15% on average. This very positive trend was driven very largely by prices, with occupancy rates up 1%. The performance, which is exceptional in the context, was underpinned by strong leisure demand in Europe but also, importantly, by France (RevPAR at 9.2%...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR, ROVI. EUROPA: SECTOR BANCARIO, SEGUROS Y ENERGÍA ITALIA, UNICREDIT. A pesar de la Fed, semana plana en el STOXX La buena acogida a la decisión de bajar -50 p.b. tipos se vio compensada por los miedos a la demanda china. Con todo lo anterior, el STOXX 600 terminó cerrando con ligeras caídas, con Retail y Viajes&Ocio presentando las mayores subidas semanales mientras que defensivos como Alimentación y Farma acabaron con las mayores ventas. Por el...
NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, ROVI. Flat week on the STOXX, despite the Fed The Fed’s well-received decision to cut interest rates by -50bps was offset by the fears surrounding Chinese demand. With this in mind, the STOXX 600 ended with slight losses, with Retail and Travel & Leisure posting the biggest weekly gains, whereas defensive sectors like Food and Pharma ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the UK August’s retail sales were in line with expectations. In the euro zone, consu...
>Europe de l’Ouest : RevPAR en croissance de ~15% yoy sur juillet/août - Avec les chiffres d’évolution des RevPAR en Europe de l’Ouest pour le mois d’août (+17.3% en yoy selon STR dont +15.3% de hausse de prix), la progression sur les mois de juillet/août ressort en moyenne à 15%. Cette évolution très positive est tirée exclusivement par les prix, les taux d’occupation progressant de 1%. Cette performance, exceptionnelle dans le contexte, s’explique par la forte deman...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, MINOR HOTELS, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: MERCEDES BENZ GROUP, VOLKSWAGEN El mercado, y sobre todo los cíclicos, celebran la decisión de la Fed Las bolsas europeas subieron con fuerza el jueves a pesar de la apreciación del euro, con la confianza de que la Fed logrará un aterrizaje “suave” de la economía estadounidense. En el STOXX 600 los mejores fueron cíclicos muy castigados recientemente como Tecnología y R. Básicos mientras que Utilities y Telec...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, MINOR HOTELS, VISCOFAN. The market and mainly cyclical stocks welcome the Fed’s decision European stock markets climbed significantly yesterday despite the appreciation of the euro, remaining confident that the Fed will enable a soft landing of the US economy. Thus, in the STOXX 600 cyclical stocks severely and recently hit such as Technology and Basic Resources were the best performers whereas Utilities and Telecoms posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the UK...
NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. The Fed cut rates by 50bps in the end It was a transition session with slight corrections for European stock markets that put an end to the Ibex’s rally that led it to return to 2015 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Automobiles and Energy were the only sector avoiding drops, which were led by Media, Food and Consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final monthly inflation was cut by one tenth to 0.1% (with the YoY data unchanged at 2.2%). ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, INDITEX, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: BMW, UNICREDIT. Continua la volatilidad Jornada de más a menos en las bolsas europeas, que sin un catalizador claro fueron perdiendo altura hasta terminar con números rojos. Así, la mayoría de sectores del STOXX 600 cerró con pérdidas, lideradas por Autos y Energía (caídas del brent del 4,5%) frente a los defensivos Inmobiliario y Utilities que presentaron el mejor comportamiento. Por el lado macro, en...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, INDITEX, SANTANDER, TALGO. Volatility continues It was a session of decreasing performance on European markets which, lacking a clear driver, fell into the red by the end of the day. In the STOXX 600, most sectors ended with losses, led by Autos and Energy (Brent fell -4.5%), compared to defensive sectors like Real Estate and Utilities, which were the best performers. On the macro side, in Spain July’s industrial output fell unexpectedly. In the UK, quarterly wage gro...
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
>Recap of the announcement made by Votalia on 20 August - On 20 August, Voltalia announced that the Brazilian transmission network operator was imposing a sizeable curtailment on some parts of the network which will impact group 2024 EBITDA to the tune of € 40m, if these measures to reduce inflow continue over the next few months and if the group is not compensated financially. The curtailment on production volumes for Voltalia in the northeast portion of the network ...
>Rappel des faits annoncés par Voltalia le 20 août dernier - Le 20 août dernier, Voltalia a annoncé que l’opérateur du réseau de transmission brésilien impose actuellement des écrêtements prononcés dans certaines parties du réseau qui impacterait l’EBITDA 2024 du groupe à hauteur de 40 M€, si ces mesures de réduction d’injection se prolongeaient au cours des prochains mois et si le groupe n’était pas compensé financièrement. Le volume d’écrêtement de la production de ...
NEWS SUMMARY: SANTANDER, TALGO. A transition session It was a typical late-summer session, with slight gains on stock markets and little macroeconomic references. In the STOXX 600, Household and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Consumer Goods (Luxury) and Real Estate posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, the final 2Q’24 GDP confirmed the -0.1% QoQ, whereas September’s GfK consumer confidence dropped unexpectedly. From the ECB, K. Knot (Netherlands) admitted that interest rat...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: PERNOD RICARD. Sesión de transición Jornada típica de finales de verano, con ligeras subidas en bolsa y pocas novedades desde el frente macro. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Hogar y Viajes&Ocio mientras que B. Consumo (por la parte del lujo) e Inmobiliario sufrieron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el PIB final del 2T’24 confirmó el -0,1% trimestral mientras que la confianza del consumid...
A director at Endesa S.A. bought 97,500 shares at 17.875EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
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