Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
U.S. Dollar (DXY) Violating YTD Uptrend Signs continue to point to the formation of a new uptrend on the S&P 500, something we have discussed as our expectation on a weekly basis since late-April (4/30/24 Compass). Shorterterm, both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 are trading/consolidating within 1.5-2 week bull flag patterns, and we are on the lookout for upside breakouts due to ongoing healthy market dynamics. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. • S&P 500, Russell 2000...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just awarded an improved star rating to SHOE CARNIVAL (US), active in the Apparel Retailers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title receives an improved star rating and now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. With regard to its market behaviour, it remains unchanged and can be qualified as moderately risky. theScreener considers that these elements allow slightly upgrading its rating to Neutral. As of the analysis date March 18, 2022, ...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Shifting To Growth As 10-Yr Yield Breaks Key Support We are beginning to see some mild deterioration in market dynamics, including a break below the key 1.45% support level on the 10-year Treasury yield which is coupled with underperformance from small-caps and value Sectors. Still, other indicators remain largely positive. As a result, we continue to see a mixed, but overall constructive market. Sector Relative Strength Rankings & Weighting Recommendations. We are shifting toward favoring gro...
Downgrading Consumer Staples To Underweight Market dynamics remain largely bullish and we continue to see signs of improving risk appetites. As a result, we are on the verge of shifting to an outright bullish stance. High Yield Spreads, Defensive Areas. High yield spreads hit new 2021 narrows on Friday as they moved to 14-year lows. Additionally, defensive areas including Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU), and Gold (GLD) are breaking to new 2021 RS lows, and we are downgrading Consumer Staples to...
Upgrading Staples To Market Weight Market dynamics have deteriorated and are now much more mixed overall. Deteriorating signals include RS improvement for defensive Sectors, RS deterioration for small-caps, and the US dollar breaking above 92. Despite this mild deterioration in market dynamics, there are plenty of indicators that remain positive. This tells us any weakness should be treated as a buying opportunity and our outlook remains constructive for the months ahead. · Sector Rela...
S&P 500, Russell 2000 Testing Short-Term Support Ongoing market dynamics remain largely positive and there continues to be an absence of major breakdowns across all Sectors and the major averages. As a result, we expect higher prices ahead and recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. · S&P 500, Russell 2000. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM) have pulled back to short-term support at their prior downtrends -- 3880-3890 on SPX and $222-223 on the IWM. If this level fails to hold on the S...
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