With the Telefonica CMD around the corner (4 November), we revisit our 1&1 valuation and reassess potential synergies from German mobile consolidation. We estimate a transaction could value 1&1 equity at €6.7bn (€38/ share, +90% upside) assuming synergies are split equally, or potentially higher if Vodafone were also to bid.
NEWS SUMMARY: ECOENER, FERROVIAL, INDRA, MAPFRE, NATURGY, OHLA, SACYR, UNICAJA. Risk of snap election in France Most European stock markets fell, with the French CAC performing the worst due to the political instability of Macron’s Govt. In the STOXX 600, Energy (Brent rallied after OPEC+ “only” raised production by 137,000 b/d), Technology (boosted by the agreement between AMD and OpenAI) and Insurance led the gains, while Consumer Goods, Banks and Chemicals suffered the biggest drops. On the ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ECOENER, FERROVIAL, INDRA, MAPFRE, NATURGY, SACYR, OHLA, UNICAJA. Riesgo de elecciones anticipadas en Francia Recortes en la mayoría de bolsas de Europa y con peor comportamiento del CAC francés por la inestabilidad política del ejecutivo de E. Macron. En el STOXX 600 dirigieron las subidas Energía (el Brent rebotó después de que la OPEP+ incrementase sólo 137.000 b/d), Tecnología (impulsado por el acuerdo entre AMD y OpenAI) y Seguros mientras qu...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, SECTOR BANCARIO, TELEFONICA. EUROPA: SECTOR BANCARIO El Euro STOXX 50 rompe al alza sus máximos históricos del año 2000 Las bolsas europeas han continuado con las subidas y el Euro Stoxx 50 consigue marcar máximos desde el año 2000, pasando por alto el shutdown en EE.UU. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Farmacia, Tecnología y B. Consumo mientras que Energía (tras los recortes del crudo), Seguros y Viajes y Ocio terminaron c...
NEWS SUMMARY: INDRA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. Transitional session brings gains European stock markets rallied, spurred by optimism on the positives of AI and the expected greater economic dynamism. In the STOXX 600, the gains were led by Autos and Consumer Goods, whereas defensive sectors like Pharma and Food suffered the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone the preliminary manufacturing PMI for September fell into a zone compatible with falling activity levels (49.5), while the servi...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. Ganancias en una sesión de transición Rebote en las bolsas europeas aupadas por el optimismo sobre las bondades de la IA y el esperado mayor dinamismo económico. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las subidas Autos y B. Consumo mientras que defensivos como Farma y Alimentación sufrieron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona el PMI manufacturero preliminar de septiembre retrocedió a terreno compatible con caí...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, CAF, FCC, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. The Fed spurs the markets Following the expected rate cut by the Fed, European stock markets reacted with sharp rises of more than +1.5%. The IBEX lagged behind and closed with slight losses due to the lack of technology stocks. In the STOXX 600, Technology was once again the big winner, with Utilities and Basic Materials falling the most. On the macro side, in the US the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index rose sharply in August. Weekly jobl...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, CAF, FCC, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ESSILORLUXOTTICA. La Fed anima las bolsas Tras la esperada bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed, las bolsas europeas reaccionaron con fuertes avances por encima del +1,5%. El Ibex se quedó rezagado y cerró con tímidas pérdidas por la ausencia de representación tecnológica. Así, en el STOXX 600 Tecnología volvió a liderar con fuerza los avances frente a Utilities y R. Básicos que fueron los que más cayero...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, ROVI, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO ESPAÑA. Las bolsas continúan al alza La semana en Europa terminó con ganancias, dirigidas por un Ibex 35 que se mantiene cerca de los 15.300 puntos gracias a los valores financieros y a Inditex. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Bancos e Industria mientras que defensivos como Alimentación y Telecomunicaciones presentaron las mayores cesiones de la semana. Por el lado macro, en R. Unido la producción industrial ...
NEWS SUMMARY: ELECTRICITY SECTOR, IAG, ROVI. Stock markets continued to rally European stock markets ended with gains last week, with the Ibex35 remaining near 15,300 pints thanks to financial groups and Inditex. In the STOXX 600, Banks and Industrials were the best performers whereas defensive sectors such as Food and Telecoms posted the biggest drops last week. On the macro side, in the UK, the monthly GDP stagnated unexpectedly in July. In Spain, S&P upgraded the country’s credit rating by o...
A director at International Consolidated Airlines Group SA sold 80,000 shares at 395p and the significance rating of the trade was 78/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over th...
IAG was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 500m 5Y unsecured bond priced at MS+103bps (i.e. a yield of 3.4%), which is at the lower end of the price guidance (MS+103-107bps) and tighter than the IPT (MS+135bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes, including funding the tender offer launched in parallel to redeem any or all of its outstanding 2027 and 2029 bond. The impact from the transaction on the company’s net leverage is neu...
IAG was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 500m 5Y unsecured bond priced at MS+103bps (i.e. a yield of 3.4%), which is at the lower end of the price guidance (MS+103-107bps) and tighter than the IPT (MS+135bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes, including funding the tender offer launched in parallel to redeem any or all of its outstanding 2027 and 2029 bond. The impact from the transaction on the company’s net leverage is neu...
NEWS SUMMARY: CHANGES IBEX, FERROVIAL, TELEFÓNICA. Stock markets erase Friday’s losses European stock markets rallied, offsetting the losses from Friday and driven by the expectations of rate cuts by the Fed. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Retail and Construction, whereas defensive sectors like Pharma and Food fell the most. On the macro side, in Germany industrial output rose more than expected in July. However, the trade surplus in July was reduced unexpectedly in view of ...
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