Benelux Morning Notes

Aperam: In-line 1Q24 EBITDA, FCF marked by WC build, 2Q24 guidance below consensus. Ayvens: Taking the brakes off. BAM: Not the best start to the year. bpost: 1Q24 in line with consensus but beat vs INGF, no outlook yet. Brunel International: good set of 1Q24 results – 5% beat on EBIT, comforting trends. B&S Group: Preview - should be a non-event. DEME Group: Preview - should be a non-event. D'Ieteren: Febiac April registrations flat YoY, VW brands up 8.4%. GBL: NAV per share in ...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 02/05/2024

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ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/02/2024

We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...

Teleperformance : Reassuring Q1, more favourable comparison base for t...

>Q1 revenues beat expectations: +0.9% on a pro-forma basis vs consensus at -0.8% (-0.2% ODDO BHF)) - Téléperformance reported Q1 revenues a shade above expectations. Revenues were up 26.7% to € 2,542m, compared consensus forecast at € 2,512m (a difference of +1.1%). We were expecting € 2,555m. Most of the difference is due to pro forma growth at constant currency of 0.9%, which is a good performance, as we were expecting -0.2% (consensus -0.8%). For the record, the c...

adidas: The best sunny terrace in sporting goods currently...

During the conference call, management tried to maintain a subtle equilibrium between presenting stronger-than-expected Q1 results and tempering somewhat analysts' optimism for FY24, as evidenced by a CSS estimate (EUR1.02bn) already standing well above ADS' revised guidance of "around EUR700m". We

Téléperformance : Un premier trimestre rassurant et une base de compar...

>Un CA T1 supérieur aux attentes : +0.9% pro forma vs css à -0.8% (-0.2% ODDO BHF) - Au titre de son T1, Téléperformance publie un chiffre d’affaires légèrement supérieur aux attentes. Celui-ci s’apprécie de 26.7% à 2542 M€ alors que le consensus s’attendait à 2512 M€ (différence +1.1%), nous retenions 2555 M€. L’essentiel de l’écart repose sur une croissance pro forma à changes constants de 0.9% ce qui est une bonne performance puisque nous retenions -0.2% (consensus...

Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2024 : Adding Fugro, Removing Arcadis

In this May edition of our Dynamic Top Pick List we replace Arcadis by Fugro. Arcadis continues to deliver consistently on its promises and is working hard to realise its 2026 margin targets via cross selling, leveraging its global engineering platform and numerous self-help measures. In spite of this we remove Arcadis from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent & strong share price performance leaves little room for further short term triggers As a service provider to the energy industry, Fu...

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Bjorn Gulden Must Be Dancing The "Samba" As Brand Heat Continues To Bu...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Morning Notes : ARCAD NA, DIE BB, FUR NA, TESB BB, TINC BB, UCB BB

: ARCAD NA, DIE BB, FUR NA, TESB BB, TINC BB, UCB BB

Adidas : Final Q1 in line with prelims, outlook confirmed

>Europe strong, North America still down - Today, adidas gave final Q1 2024 numbers after the pre-release mid-April. Q1 sales grew 8% excluding FX with 5% underlying growth and 3% from Yeezy. Regions: North America improved sequentially but was still down 4% on lower sell-in to wholesale. Europe was very strong with +14% and China with +8% did OK supported by wholesale and e-com. Segments: footwear grew 13% thanks to lifestyle (terrace was mentioned) and football whil...

D'Ieteren The engine that keeps on running

D'Ieteren's engine keeps on running, with the adj. PBT (gs) up 28.1% in 2023, driven by a strong performance at Belron, Auto, and the full consolidation of PHE. Going forward, we expect the adj. PBT (gs) to grow 9% in 2024, and to accelerate to +15.7% in 2025 driven by the completion of the transformation programme at Belron. With D'Ieteren trading at only 13.9x the adj. fwd P/E, we believe investors are not giving D'Ieteren enough credit for its excellent track record and growth prospects. In a...

INFORME DIARIO 30 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, SANTANDER. EUROPA: ADIDAS, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex se aleja de máximos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron la semana de la Fed (miércoles) con ligeras pérdidas y caídas de las re...

Yard response and dry bulk qualms

Our trip to South Korea and China revealed Chinese shipbuilders are seeking growth to take on Korea’s established yards who are facing constraints. An eagerness to add capacity is one of our takeaways, as well as a gloomy outlook for Chinese real estate, which in our view should inevitably weigh on dry bulk demand.