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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Foundries: Strong set-up for TSMC into 2026. Downside ris...

Today, we are publishing the Foundry section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. TSMC increased its 2025 growth outlook to 35%, as we anticipated. For other foundries, expectations were revised down 1pt to 9% growth in 2025, which implies a reasonable 2% sequential growth in 4Q. For ne...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 242 pages of detailed analysis on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value15-Dec-2539,119€924.66€36,171,70016-Dec-2539,480€916.19€36,170,99617-Dec-2539,876€907.10€36,171,63518-Dec-2540,835€885.80€36,171,64319-Dec-2540,548€892.14€36,174,310 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and detai...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Gen AI Big Idea Series – The Broadcom Platform – ​Hock Tan, CEO

We hosted another session of the 5th annual BCG × NSR Gen-AI Big Idea Series this week. We will host a slate of exceptional speakers through Feb-26 (full line-up here). This session was a conversation with Hock Tan, CEO of Broadcom, along with Kirsten Spears, CFO, and Charlie Kawwas, President of the Semiconductor Solutions Group. Please see the link below for our takes.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value08-Dec-25 37,576 €962.62 €36,171,308 09-Dec-25 37,838 €955.96 €36,171,562 10-Dec-25 37,860 €955.40 €36,171,421 11-Dec-25 38,288 €944.71 €36,170,938 12-Dec-25 38,329 €943.72 €36,171,668 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced ...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value01-Dec-25 39,527 €915.08 €36,170,185 02-Dec-25 38,518 €939.05 €36,170,216 03-Dec-25 37,709 €959.19 €36,169,986 04-Dec-25 37,502 €964.47 €36,169,723 05-Dec-25 37,625 €961.33 €36,170,019 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 Nove...

ASML Holding N.V.: 1 director

A director at ASML Holding N.V. sold 700 shares at 975.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Semicap: Cautious on 2026; not the right AI play.

Today, we are publishing the Semicap Equipment section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Foundry. 3Q25 semicap revenues were flat QoQ, with China up...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25. After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate...

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