reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q25
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 243 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
MBLY MOBILEYE NV
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
0084207D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
ME 23ANDME HLDG CO
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Foundries: TSMC outperforming on all fronts. We see further upside. To...
Today, we are publishing the Foundry section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. TSMC is dominating, with revenues reported and guided up 26/38% YoY vs. 6/12% for the rest of the industry. Capex plans signal expectations for sustained growth ahead, driven by AI.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value23-Mar-2621,354€1,158.03€24,728,59024-Mar-2621,289€1,187.10€25,272,22525-Mar-2620,631€1,211.90€25,002,78726-Mar-2621,335€1,171.66€24,997,34327-Mar-2621,829€1,145.28€25,000,356 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 28 January 2026, ...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- ING Helpdesk
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value16-Mar-2620,926€1,194.73€25,000,94717-Mar-2620,958€1,192.83€24,999,40018-Mar-2620,808€1,201.49€25,000,59819-Mar-2621,525€1,161.45€25,000,23920-Mar-2621,422€1,166.92€24,997,816 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 28 January 2026, ...
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
MRN MERSEN SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
HDF HYDROGENE DE FRANCE
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
SPG SPRINGER NATURE AG & CO. KGAA
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
YOUNI YOUNITED FINANCIAL S.A.
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
AC ACCOR SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
BAYN BAYER AG
ENEL ENEL SPA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RAA RATIONAL AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
GALD GALDERMA GROUP AG
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
MRN MERSEN SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
HDF HYDROGENE DE FRANCE
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
SPG SPRINGER NATURE AG & CO. KGAA
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
YOUNI YOUNITED FINANCIAL S.A.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
AC ACCOR SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
BAYN BAYER AG
ENEL ENEL SPA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RAA RATIONAL AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
GALD GALDERMA GROUP AG
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value09-Mar-2622,115€1,111.23€24,574,84310-Mar-26250€1,197.40€299,35011-Mar-2642,565€1,190.74€50,683,91212-Mar-2620,652€1,183.61€24,443,89713-Mar-2621,102€1,184.65€24,998,583 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 28 January 2026, and de...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Grasping the AI Infra buildout (XI): Can cloud revenues triple in 4 ye...
The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today we look at how rising AI infrastructure capex translates into sustained cloud revenues growth, and who will consume how much cloud services by the end of the decade.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Hybrid bonding heats up, with takeover interest emerging for Besi and ...
Reuters reported this morning that Besi has been fielding takeover interest from multiple U.S. chip-equipment makers. Besi has since then refuted these claims. Separately, ASML is reportedly entering the hybrid bonding market. Please see below for our take.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Grasping the AI Infra buildout (X): “Internal AI” returns? lower than ...
The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today, we look at what returns hyperscalers generate on AI investments today and how these could improve over time once the "tail effect" kicks in.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Grasping the AI infra buildout (IX): How does the “tail effect” boost ...
The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today, we look at how the "tail effect" boosts ROIC for AI infrastructure and traditional compute deployments.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Grasping the AI Infra buildout (VIII): “Tail effect” materially boost ...
The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today, we look at what we call the tail effect: How ROIC underestimates the actual return on AI infrastructure over the full useful life of chips.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Grasping the AI infra buildout (VII): What returns to expect?
The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today, we compare the returns of AI cloud and frontier-model businesses with those of traditional cloud and core hyperscalers.
- Baptiste Salaville
- Julian Dobrovolschi
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
IPS IPSOS
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
ENX EURONEXT NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BN DANONE SA
RNO RENAULT SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
LISN CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT & SPRUENGLI AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
FHZN FLUGHAFEN ZURICH AG
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
EOAN E.ON SE
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
ENEL ENEL SPA
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ERG ERG S.P.A.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
PGHN PARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
SAX STROEER SE & CO. KGAA
SSO SCATEC ASA
MELE MELEXIS NV
ENG ENAGAS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
RENE REDES ENERGETICAS NACIONAIS SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VLTSA VOLTALIA
FNTN FREENET AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
BFSA BEFESA SA
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
PHNX PHOENIX GROUP HOLDINGS PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
NA9 NAGARRO
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
EXENS EXOSENS
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
ALHG LOUIS HACHETTE GROUP
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