reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
NUE NUCOR CORPORATION
CNHI CNH INDUSTRIAL NV
WDAY WORKDAY INC. CLASS A
VALE.N VALE S.A. ADS
UEC URANIUM ENERGY CORP
TX. TERNIUM S.A. SPONSORED ADR
TWI TITAN INTERNATIONAL INC.
SYY SYSCO CORPORATION
RGEN REPLIGEN CORPORATION
POOL POOL CORPORATION
LEA LEAR CORPORATION
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
HSIC HENRY SCHEIN INC.
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
EXAS EXACT SCIENCES CORPORATION
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
BAX BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC.
CF. CANACCORD GENUITY GROUP
MG/CN MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC.
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
AMWD AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
CMCO COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPORATION
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
DRI DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
SSD SIMPSON MANUFACTURING CO. INC.
YUMC YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC.
MT ARCELORMITTAL
ASGN ASGN INC
ADNT ADIENT PLC
PTAL PETROTAL
GNMSY GENMAB A/S
ORIC ORIC PHARMACEUTICALS
IMCR IMMUNOCORE HOLDINGS ADS
OI O-I GLASS INC
ENOV ENOVIS CORPORATION
WMC WESTMOUNT MINERALS CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
WTM WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTD
TGL. TECNOGLASS INC.
RPD RAPID7 INC.
RLI RLI CORP.
PCRX PACIRA BIOSCIENCES INC.
M MACY'S INC
LVS LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP.
IRDM IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS INC.
IPAR INTER PARFUMS INC.
HCI HCI GROUP INC.
FIX COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC.
CBAY CYMABAY THERAPEUTICS INC.
BMI BADGER METER INC.
ADUS ADDUS HOMECARE
MMC MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INC.
AXXDF ALDERON IRON ORE CORP
BLDP BALLARD POWER SYSTEMS INC.
FPC. FALCO RESOURCES
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
WSO WATSCO INC.
CCF CHASE CORP.
WINA WINMARK CORP.
PLSE PULSE BIOSCIENCES
ELF E.L.F. BEAUTY INC.
SCWX SECUREWORKS
SGU SINO GERMAN UNITED AG
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
KIDS ORTHOPEDIATRICS CORP
DFH DREAM FINDERS HOMES
FDMT 4D MOLECULAR THERAPEUTICS
BMEA BIOMEA FUSION INC
VECT VECTIVBIO HLDG AG
RPHM RENEO PHARMACEUTICALS INC
ACLX ARCELLX INC
BRBR BELLRING BRANDS INC
SYM SYMBOTIC INC
RVPH REVIVA PHARMACEUTICALS HLDGS INC
ATLX ATLAS LITHIUM CORPORATION
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive) AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive) PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral) PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive) RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive) R...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022
AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral) AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive) AT: Oester...
OMV OMV AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
LKOH OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO.
SNGS SURGUTNEFTEGAS PJSC
TCS TCS GROUP HOLDING PLC SPONSORED GDR CLASS A REGS
HT-R-A HRVATSKI TELEKOM DD
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ENRU ENEL RUSSIA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
ATGR-R-A ATLANTIC GRUPA
SNP PETROM S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADRS2-R-A ADRIS GRUPA D.D. PFD.
ERNT-R-A ERICSSON NIKOLA TESLA D.D.
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
- Anna Kurbatova
- Olesya Vorobyeva
Segezha Group: Reports solid 4Q21 results, indicates positive price an...
Segezha Group (SGZH RX: U/R) reported 4Q21 revenue growth of 28% y/y (-6% q/q), while OIBDA declined by 10% y/y on one-off factors. Prices remained at record highs despite a seasonal cooling down of demand in the construction industry. In 1Q22, Segezha expects positive trends in market pricing driven by an increase in demand for sack paper, industrial packaging, sawn timber, plywood and glulam. In our view, Segezha’s business profile remains solid, as potential negative developments in Wester...
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 11, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW MARKET CLOSED FOR TWO WEEKS WHILE GOVERNMENT MULLS ASSET SEIZURESMoscow trading has now been closed for an unprecedented two weeks. MSCI has removed Russia from the MSCI EM and VTB from the MSCI Russia, among other minor events. STORIES> MSCI to remove VTB, add other new restrictions> How the government plans to deal with companies halting production in Russia> Russia's current account surplus reaches $39.2 bln over 2m22> Russia bans exports of some raw wood materials and...
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 11 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - МОСКОВСКАЯ БИРЖА ЗАКРЫТА УЖЕ ДВЕ НЕДЕЛИ, А ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВО РФ РАССМАТРИВАЕТ ВОПРОС НАЦИОНАЛИЗАЦИИ АКТИВОВМосковская биржа не проводит торги уже две недели. MSCI исключила Россию из расчета индекса MSCI EM, а ВТБ - из MSCI Russia. НОВОСТИ> Планы правительства в отношении компаний, которые остановили производство в России> Положительное сальдо счета текущих операций по итогам 2М22 достигло $39,2 млрд> Цены на нефть снизились после выхода данных по инфляции в США> Россия запре...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Fedor Kornachev
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 9, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS HALTED WHILE EYES REMAIN ON UKRAINERussian stocks continued to see only slight trading through Russia's long weekend. That will not change today, with the CBR having decided yesterday not to allow Moscow equity trading, continuing the halt since February 25 for a sixth business day.STORIES> How the crisis is evolving> US and UK seeking to embargo Russian oil and gas imports> Gazprom's export flows remain very strong> Rostelecom posts neutral 4Q21 IFRS resu...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Fedor Kornachev
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 9 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСША и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России, экспортные доходы Газпрома растут, Ростелеком, HeadHunter, Магнит и М. Видео представили отчетность.НОВОСТИ> Как развивается кризис> США и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России> Экспортные доходы Газпрома растут> Ростелеком представил нейтральные результаты за 4К21 по МСФО> Вопрос о погашении облигаций Яндекса и Ozon> HeadHunter: результаты за 4К21 несколько ниже прогнозов, выкуп а...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Fedor Kornachev
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 4, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIAN MARKETS REMAIN CLOSED, RUSSIA-UKRAINE TALKS CONTINUERussian securities markets remained closed yesterday, while the London Stock Exchange finally suspended trading in Russian GDRs. The RSX ETF fell another 19%. The ruble was quite volatile, plunging to USD/RUB 118 at the beginning of yesterday's trading, and then strengthening to 106 toward the end of the session in the lead-up to the second round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. STORIES> MTS posts neutral 4Q2...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Anton Chernyshev
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Fedor Kornachev
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 4 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗВчера котировки Брент вплотную приблизились к $120/барр., но затем начали снижаться и достигли внутридневного минимума $109,4/барр. на фоне сообщений о том, что Иран, возможно, вскоре подпишет соглашение по ядерной программе. МТС, VK и Global Ports опубликовали результаты за 4К21. Яндекс представил информацию по последним событиям. Segezha Group объявила, что намерена придерживаться дивидендной политики.НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть стабилизировались на фоне перспектив ядерной сдел...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 18, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 18 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...
Gazprom Neft Q4 21 - WC release pushed Q4 21 FCF above expectations
EBITDA and net income were in line with projections We estimate final DPS for 2021 at RUB 15.4 Free cash flow exceeded estimates thanks to a positive WC effect of USD 0.85 bn Q4 21 results are considered as slightly positive for the stock
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Fedor Kornachev
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 16, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - LIMITED TROOP RECALLS, CONSTRUCTIVE POLITICAL REMARKS DRIVE RALLYThe RTS soared 5% yesterday to 1,498, and morning indicators imply another sharp gain early today. A bullish global backdrop has helped, but Russia is outperforming on apparent investor hopes that limited troop recalls and constructive remarks from President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signal an end for now to rising political risk perceptions for the market. Novatek's results and a NATO defens...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Fedor Kornachev
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 16 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - БЛАГОПРИЯТНЫЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ НОВОСТИ И ЗАЯВЛЕНИЯ ВЫЗВАЛИ РАЛЛИ НА РЫНКЕВчера индекс РТС вырос на 5% до 1 498 пунктов. Позитивное влияние оказал оптимизм на глобальных рынках, однако российский рынок вырвался вперед, очевидно, на надеждах инвесторов, что отвод российских воинских частей от границы с Украиной и заявления президента России Владимира Путина и канцлера Германии Олафа Шольца могут сигнализировать о снижении, по крайней мере временном, политических рисков для рынк...
Gazprom Neft Q4 21 Earnings Preview - Final DPS for 2021e might reach ...
Higher qoq oil prices and production to maintain Q4 21e revenue and EBITDA We estimate final 2021e DPS at RUB 15.5 under payout ratio of 50% of IFRS net income Q4 21e FCF should be pressed by spike qoq in capex The company is to report Q4 2021e results next week on February 17
- Andrey Gromadin
- Konstantin Samarin
Oil and Gas - Strong 4Q21 Results Expected, 1Q22 Outlook Even Brighter
The 4Q21 earnings season is about to kick off starting with Rosneft on Friday, followed by Novatek (February 16) and Gazprom Neft (February 17) next week. Lukoil, Tatneft and Gazprom will report 4Q21 financials in March-April. We expect sector EBITDA to rise again, particularly in the gas segment amid record high European gas prices. Dividend distributions should rise across the sector as well. Based on our estimates for 4Q21, most of the companies should see their full-year financials bounce ba...
LKOH OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC
SIBN NOVATEK JSC
GAZP GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
ROSN GAZPROM PJSC
NVTK ROSNEFT OIL CO.
LKODN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
OGZD NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
TATNP OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
GZPFY GAZPROM (GDR)
TATNEFT (PREF A)
GAZPROM NEFT (GDR)
GAZPROM NEFT loses on its star level and is downgraded to Slightly Pos...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of GAZPROM NEFT (RU), active in the Integrated Oil & Gas industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 2 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis date February 8, ...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 02.02.2022
AT: Atrium - Announcement of the amount and payment dates of dividends based on adj. FFO (neutral) AT: Palfinger - Contract of CFO Strohbichler extended until the end of 2027 (neutral) AT: Raiffeisen Bank International - Q4 2021 consolidated net profit of EUR 317 mn 24% ahead of consensus / FY 22 guidance announced and proposed EUR 1.15 DPS from 2021 HU: MOL - January model refinery and petchem margins lower mom mainly due to higher gas prices (negative) PL: AmRest - Development agree...
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
ARHOF AMREST HOLDING
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
PAL PALFINGER AG
CCC CCC SA
LNTA LENTA INTERNATIONAL PJSC
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
GAZP GAZPROM PJSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO.
SNGS SURGUTNEFTEGAS PJSC
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
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