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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

X5 Retail Group N.V.: 1 director

A director at X5 Retail Group N.V. sold 20,000 shares at 21.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 86/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 24.05.2022

CZ: CEZ - CEZ not to bid for RWE's storage assets in Czechia, press (neutral) PL: PKO BP - 9% wage hike offered to half of staff (neutral) RU: Polyus - New shareholder may add its representative to the board (neutral) RU: Tatneft - Proposed final DPS revealed weaker than expected payout for 2021 (negative)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive)  AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive)  PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral)  PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive)  RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive)  R...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral)  AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive)  AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive)  AT: Oester...

Anton Stroutchenevski ... (+6)
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 18, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - SOME BOND HOLDERS RECEIVE COUPONS WHILE EQUITIES STILL FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS IN PLACEThe ruble gained 4.5% in Moscow Exchange trading and fell 4.9% in offshore trading to be quoted around USD/RUB 102-103, reaching the narrowest spread in weeks. Reuters reported that some bond holders had successfully received dollar coupon payments that were due on Russian sovereigns. STORIES> Russia's budget surplus reaches R156 bln in February> X5 Group's 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above our estimate

Anton Chernyshev ... (+7)
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 18 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ДЕРЖАТЕЛИ ЕВРООБЛИГАЦИЙ РФ ПОЛУЧИЛИ КУПОННЫЕ ВЫПЛАТЫ, РОССИЙСКИЕ АКЦИИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНЫ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ ИЗ-ЗА ОГРАНИЧЕНИЙ НА ВЫВОЗ КАПИТАЛАРубль вчера укрепился на 4,5% на Московской бирже, но на внешнем рынке просел на 4,9% до 102-103 руб. за доллар, и разница между курсами на внешнем и внутреннем рынках стала наименьшей за последние недели. Агентство Reuters сообщило, что держатели российских суверенных еврооблигаций благополучно получили купонные платежи в долла...

Evgeniy Kipnis ... (+2)
  • Evgeniy Kipnis
  • Olesya Vorobyeva

X5 Retail Group: 4Q21 IFRS results

X5 (FIVE LI / FIVE RX: U/R) reported its 4Q21 financials, which came in line with our expectations both on revenue and EBITDA. The 2021 EBITDA margin of 7.3% came in line with recent guidance and the company’s strategic commitment to maintain >7% EBITDA margin. The company decided not to distribute the final 2021 dividend amid the current market condition. Looking into 2022, the demand side looks secured for food retailers, and the ongoing stockpiling is likely to support X5’s and Magnit’s Lf...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 16, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+11)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 16 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Pulse: Closures of European subsidiaries of Russian banks may lea...

Closures of European bank subsidiaries of Russian banks may result in payout events for European Deposit Guarantee Schemes. As these schemes are accrued by local banks, payout events are likely to lead to higher costs for banks in the country

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Flash – Russian coverage universe: under review

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...

Andrew Keeley ... (+2)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Arthur Cherkesov

VTB - Suspension of Coverage

Due to the introduction of blocking sanctions, we are suspending coverage of VTB and withdrawing our estimates, target price and recommendation.

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 28, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 28 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...

A double requalification allows JSC VTB BANK to improve to Slightly Po...

JSC VTB BANK (RU), a company active in the Money Center Banks industry, has received a double requalification by the independent financial analyst theScreener. Its fundamental valuation is now 1 out of 4 stars while its market behaviour can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that the gain of a star(s) and an improvement in the market risk perception allows upgrading the general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date February 25, 2022, the closing price was USD 1.0...

Andrew Keeley ... (+14)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Sidorova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Igor Rapokhin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - February 24, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - MILITARY CONFLICT WITH UKRAINE ERUPTS; RUBLE AND FUTURES DOWN MORE THAN 9%Russia entered a military conflict with Ukraine overnight. Prior to the Moscow Exchange halting trading, RTS futures were down more than 9%, with the median stock having fallen 19%. The ruble has declined more than 9% in interbank trading to its weakest level since 1998. The European Council and G7 are to hold emergency summits today, and US President Joe Biden has promised "severe sanctions." STORIES> Rus...

Andrew Keeley ... (+13)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - 24 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ВОЕННЫЙ КОНФЛИКТ В ДОНБАССЕ; КУРС РУБЛЯ И КОТИРОВКИ ФЬЮЧЕРСОВ ТЕРЯЮТ БОЛЕЕ 9%Россия начала специальную военную операцию в Донбассе. До приостановки торгов на Московской бирже индекс РТС успел потерять более 9%, а медианная цена акций опустилась на 19%. Курс рубля снизился более чем на 9%. Европейский совет и страны "большой семерки" проведут сегодня экстренные саммиты, а президент США Джо Байден пообещал "жесткие санкции". НОВОСТИ> На прошлой неделе потребительские цены в...

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