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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/02/2024

BBVA proposes merging with Banco Sabadell to create a European leaderUnited Group: e& has considered a potential acquisition of United Group (Bloomberg)>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 02/05/2024

BBVA propose à Sabadell une fusion afin de créer un leader européenUnited Group : e& envisagerait une possible acquisition de United Group (Bloomberg)>...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: First sign of portfolio valuation stabilization. ArcelorMittal: Solid 1Q24 EBITDA beat, softer FCF reflects WC and CAPEX phasing. Belgian telcos: Peer Telenet 1Q24 results, still weak commercial performance. dsm-firmenich AG: Vita-still not-min. IBA: Contract to install a P1 system in Connecticut. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 1Q24 results confirm fixed losses, mobile weaker QoQ. Shell plc: Good start to the year

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2024 : Adding Fugro, Removing Arcadis

In this May edition of our Dynamic Top Pick List we replace Arcadis by Fugro. Arcadis continues to deliver consistently on its promises and is working hard to realise its 2026 margin targets via cross selling, leveraging its global engineering platform and numerous self-help measures. In spite of this we remove Arcadis from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent & strong share price performance leaves little room for further short term triggers As a service provider to the energy industry, Fu...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Proximus/1Q24 postview, model update/HOLD

We fine tune our estimates post 1Q24, raising our EPS forecasts by 4.9% in 2024F, 1.2% in 2025F and 1.6% in 2026F. We maintain our HOLD rating and keep our target price at €7.5. We are 1% above the FY24 EBITDAal guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South African Telcos South African Telcos - CY23 H2 review – Modest i...

H2 was a better semester for the SA Telcos. Service revenue and EBITDA trends improved and capex – while still above historic levels – was contained. However, improvements were modest as the environment remains difficult and growth remains limited.

Gamma Communications: 7 directors

Seven Directors at Gamma Communications sold after exercising options/sold 43,409 shares at 1,313p. The significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

EU Towers Review: A rising risk from land aggregators Cellnex (Neutra...

Cellnex and Inwit have recently pivoted towards buying more land. Why? In part because they still see a good opportunity to deploy capital attractively, but we believe this is also driven by a defensive angle against a gradually rising role of land aggregators in Europe

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/30/2024

Iliad Holding plans to issue new bonds to fund the investment in Tele2 and a tender on Iliad Holding 2026 notesIsabel Marant: well preserved liquidity but further deep fall in the wholesale order bookVerisure markets new bonds with two special covenants linked to a potential IPOBUT/Mobilux: new bond offering with the inclusion of Conforama into the scope>...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/04/2024

Isabel Marant : liquidité supérieure aux attentes mais nouvelle chute du carnet de commandesBUT/Mobilux : Nouvelle émission obligataire avec intégration de Conforama dans le périmètreIliad Holding compte émettre des de nouvelles obligations pour financer l’investissement dans Tele2 et un tender sur la souche Iliad Holding 2026Verisure commercialise des nouvelles obligations avec deux covenants spéciaux liés à une potentielle IPO>...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Whitbread : Full-year results in line but planned share buybacks and d...

>Full-year results in line with expectations. Disposal of 126 restaurants and share buyback programme - Whitbread just reported its FY 2023 results (to end-February 2024), which are good quality and broadly in line with expectations. Group revenues, at € 2.96bn (ODDO BHFe at £ 2.925bn, FactSet consensus at £ 2.988bn), came in 13% higher y-o-y, vs 17% in H1, or growth of 9% in H2, which reflects, as expected, tougher comps and a normalisation of growth in UK hotels. Gr...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Whitbread : Des résultats annuels en ligne mais les annonces de rachat...

>Des résultats annuels en ligne avec les attentes. Cession de 126 restaurants et programme de rachat d’actions - Whitbread vient de publier des résultats annuels 2023 (à fin février 2024), de bonne facture, globalement en ligne avec les attentes. Les revenus groupe, à 2960 Md£ (ODDO BHFe à 2925 Md£, css FactSet à 2988 Md£) sont en hausse de 13% yoy, contre 17% au S1, soit une croissance de 9% au S2, qui reflète, comme attendu, la base de comparaison plus difficile et ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

NFON AG : A year of transition in a German market that is still not ta...

>Downward adjustment to our revenue estimates - We update our estimates for NFON, lowering our expectations for revenues (by 9-20% for revenues) but raising those for margins, which partly offsets the EBITDA impact. We now look for growth of 4-5% per year in revenues, at the low end of the target range for 2024 (5-10%) and in line with current commercial momentum (growth of 3-4% in the customer base, i.e. 20,000-30,000 new users per year, and slight growth in ARPU). N...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

NFON AG : Une année de transition dans un marché allemand qui peine à ...

>Ajustement à la baisse de nos prévisions de CA - Nous mettons à jour nos prévisions pour NFON en abaissant nos attentes de CA (de 9-20%) mais en relevant toutefois celles de marges, ce qui compense en partie l’impact sur l’EBITDA. Nous prévoyons désormais une croissance de 4-5% par an du CA, dans le bas de l’objectif pour 2024 (5-10%) et conforme à la dynamique commerciale actuelle (croissance de 3-4% du parc client, soit 20-30 000 nouveaux utilisateurs par an, et lé...

 PRESS RELEASE

KPN reports on progress of € 200m share buyback

KPN reports on progress of € 200m share buyback KPN has repurchased 2,000,000 KPN ordinary shares in the period from 22 April to 26 April 2024. The shares were repurchased at an average price of € 3.39 per share for a total consideration of € 6.8m. These repurchases were made as part of the € 200m share buyback started on 1 February 2024, and are part of KPN's commitment to structurally return additional capital to its shareholders. The total number of ordinary shares repurchased to date is 50,006,611 for a total consideration of € 165.8m. Transaction details of the share buyback are avai...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 29 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: BBVA, CAF, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex hits new annual highs Friday’s gains, driven by the good earnings season on both sides of the Atlantic and some widening in sovereign yields led stock exchanges to end in positive territory, particul...

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