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Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: 2Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 8.953 Bn (-12.7% vs. -13.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.905 Bn (-9.8% vs. -9.5% consensus); EBIT: € 1.034 Bn (+1.3% vs. -0.7% consensus); Net Profit: € -51.0 M (€ 447.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € 104.0 M consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 18.013 Bn (-11.7% vs. -11.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 5.895 Bn (-8.2% vs. -7.7% consensus); EBIT: € 2.109 Bn (+2.2% vs. +1.3% consensus); Net Profit: € -1.355.0 M (€ 979.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € -1.200.0 M consensus);

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Telefonica (Neutral, €4.4, -2%) Q2 25 – Solid quarter ahead of strate...

The main event for Telefonica shareholders in H2 will be the strategic review outcome, rather than the Q2 or Q3 results, but nonetheless these are a solid set of results with all guidance reiterated. On one hand, we see upside from consensus FCF for 2025 being too low, but on the other hand, we worry that the outcome of the strategic review might not be as shareholder-friendly in the near-term as some might like.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 2T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: Ventas: 8.953 M euros (-12,7% vs -13,0% consenso); EBITDA: 2.921 M euros (-9,8% vs -9,5% consenso); EBIT: 1.034 M euros (+1,3% y -0,7% consenso); BDI: -51,0 M euros (417,0 M euros en 2T'24 vs y 104,0 M euros consenso); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: Ventas: 18.013 M euros (-11,7% vs -11,0% consenso); EBITDA: 5.895 M euros (-8,2% vs -7,7% consenso); EBIT: 2.109 M euros (+2,2% vs +1,3% consenso); BDI: -1.355,0 M euros (950,0 M euros en 1S'24 vs -1.200,0 M euros consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 30 JULIO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 2T’25. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ADIDAS, DANONE, KERING, L’ORÉAL, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados toman el relevo Recuperación marcada por el...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 30 JULY + 2Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results take centre stage Recovery in Europe in a session marked by the results calendar and news on the trade negotiations of the US with China and the EU. In the STOXX 600, the ral...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €14.9, +14%) Q2 25: EBITDA guidance lifted thanks to...

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco EBITDA c+0.3% ahead of consensus, and has lifted Group EBITDAaL guidance thanks to AME. French KPIs are solid, but French retail SR growth has turned negative y/y. There are some encouraging signs on French front-book low-end mobile pricing in July (HERE), but clearly overall conditions remain difficult (albeit Orange is doing a good job of off-setting those difficulties at the EBITDAaL level in France).

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/28/2025

15% tariffs on EU: exposure of the high-yield names in the luxury goods, retail and consumer sectors|Forvia: solid operating results in H1 and further savings to come|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 28/07/2025

Droits de douane à 15% sur l’Europe : valeurs high yield du secteur luxe/retail/consumer exposées|Forvia : un résultat opérationnel solide au S1 et davantage d’économies à venir|

Research Department
  • Research Department
AXA AXA
IBE IBERDROLA SA ... (+4)

INFORME DIARIO 28 JULIO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 2T’25. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANCO SANTANDER, IBERDROLA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AXA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Acuerdo comercial entre Europa y EE.UU. Semana de poco movimiento en Europa, donde finalmente se anunció el acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y la...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 JULY + 2Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS...

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trade agreement between Europe and the US It was a week of little movement in Europe, where the trade agreement between the EU and the US was announced in the end with a general 15% tariff (vs. the threats of 30%) that will ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 24 JULIO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 2T’25. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, BANKINTER, CAF, COLONIAL, IBERDROLA, INDRA, REPSOL, ROVI, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, NOKIA, PERNOD RICARD, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Mayores esperanzas en las negociaciones comerciales ...

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU Telecoms: Half-time 2025 Review Sector has outperformed: More sele...

The European Telecoms continues to outperform: up 17% YTD vs. the market up 10%. While this is great to see, adding to the 12pp outperformance in 2024 and supporting our investment thesis of improving regulation, it does mean the equity upside story from here is becoming more selective.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice International (Equal Weight) Sale process Hot-ting up in Israe...

Bezeq has confirmed that its subsidiary, Pelephone, has made an offer for Altice International’s Israeli business, Hot Mobile, HERE, for NIS2bn (c€500m). In addition, it seems that Cellcom and Hot have sold their stakes in IBC, HERE. Cellcom has sold its 23% stake for NIS520m (c€130m), and we would assume that Altice has sold its 23% stake for the same amount. In this report we look at the implications of the sales for ATCI lenders.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Overweight) Iliad (Equal Weight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €55...

There have been several recent articles about French M&A. The latest article from TMT finance yesterday has some fairly specific details, and most importantly, seems to suggest that the price demanded for SFR is now approaching what we would see as fair value.

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