For Apr 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 0.4% mom on an equal-weighted basis, underperforming the STI slightly by 1.7ppt. It was a mixed performance from our portfolio with the top performers being MPM, BAL and CD while FRKN, LREIT and ST underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has outperformed the STI in three out of the past four months. For May 24, we add FEHT, MPACT, GENS; remove BAL, LREIT and CLAS.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
MTN Nigeria has reported a mixed set of results. Top line was quite strong, but EBITDA and the bottom line came in under pressure (as expected), driven mainly by the Naira devaluation in Q1. The company is cutting capex for this year.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24 : Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ/BUY/Rp1,895/Target: Rp2,100) : 4Q23: Core NPAT below expectations due to high tax rate. TRADERS’ CORNER Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ): Technical BUY Harum Energy (HRUM IJ): Technical BUY
Loans growth edged upwards to 5.8% in Feb 24 (Jan 24: 5.7%) on the recovery in both the HH and business segments and household loans. We anticipate a 5.5-6.0% system loans growth for 2024, implying a 1.18x loans to GDP growth multiple which is in line with its 10-year mean. We find the sector’s risk to reward well-balanced (mean valuation) in the absence of strong catalysts. The sector’s 2024 earnings growth is expected to lag the broader equity market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT with CIMB being our...
We hosted a small group zoom call with the IHS CFO, Steve Howden, and Head of IR, Colby Synesael yesterday. The company has had a torrid time over the last 2 years, but operationally has proven relatively resilient to intense pressure in our view. Our takeaway from the call was cautiously positive, though of course lots depends on Nigerian Macro.
We deep dive on African Telco’s Fintech valuations in this note which is a follow up of our higher-level note Show me the (Mobile) Money. African Telcos are becoming more active about unlocking value from Mobile Money (MoMo) with MTN’s recent deal with Mastercard and now rumours that AAF is looking to IPO its MoMo business. Global Fintech/Payments multiples have derated over the past couple of years, but we continue to see great value in the African Telco’s MoMo assets which remain one the key n...
18th March 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object...
Strong Revenue Growth Offset by Higher Costs In its recently released 2023 full year (FY) financial result, MTN Nigeria Communications Plc (MTNN) observed higher revenue figures on a Year- on-Year (YoY) basis, recording a 22.69% YoY growth to NGN2.47trn in 2023FY. Topline growth was underpinned by a robust growth in Data Revenue (+39.90% YoY to NGN1.07trn), followed by an increase in Other Revenue (+16.01% YoY to NGN445.14bn) which consists of ancillary income streams such as rental income, dig...
In our 2010 Japan Perspective, written close to the nadir of the bear market, we discussed what was wrong with Japan, but also what it was starting to do right. Fourteen years on, the Nikkei 225 - though not yet Topix - has hit a new all-time high. This report looks at how Japan built on those things that were going right, while also starting to address what else needed to be done, and looks at whether more is needed to be done if the market rally is to continue from here.
22st February 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj...
29th January 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obje...
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