What’s New: As we enter the 6th year into the launch (and more than 2 years into the introduction of feed ads) of Video Accounts (VA), we are now at an inflection point where revenues are no longer just dependent on advertising alone. We see a clear runway for Tencent to be a formidable competitor in e-commerce, driving not only material multiples expansion but also upside to OP. Introductions of new ad formats could be a key driver for advertising revenues in the near term, while we see continu...
The US market has been good to Japanese game developers, so far, in 2025. Pelham Smithers updates us on what is performing well in the charts and what implications it has for the upcoming earnings season. Several companies have seen their shares rise April-to-date, so the FY25 outlook will be closely watched.
A director at Tencent Holdings Limited sold after exercising options/sold 10,000 shares at 439.200HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's d...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME:ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, INDRA. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, AXA. La Fed mantiene los tipos y Powell se muestra tranquiloLos índices europeos lograron cerrar con ganancias, aunque pendientes de la Fed y de las conversaciones de paz sobre la guerra de Ucrania. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Retail y Energía mientras queTelecomunicaciones y Químicas mostraron el peor comportamiento del día. Por el lado macro en EE.UU., la Fed mantuvo los tipos inalterados (aunque ...
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 4Q24 results that were above consensus and our expectations. Tencent plans to step up investments in AI where capex could reach low-teens percentage of revs in 2025. We up our PT from HKD530 to HKD600 on multiples rerating related to AI. Our updated PT of HKD600 implies a 22.1x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent’s 4Q24 results are largely within expectations. Revenue grew 11% yoy to Rmb172.4b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 52.6%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 21% yoy to Rmb59.5b, while non-IFRS operating margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 34.5% on a positive shift in the revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 33% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$645.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...
Tencent (c. 25% de PRX y 82% de nuestro P.O.) acaba de publicar Rdos. 4T’24 mejores en ventas, que crecen a trimestre estanco un +11,1% (vs +8,7% consenso), y están por encima en todas las líneas de negocio. Por la parte operativa, el margen bruto mejora c.+2,6 p.p. vs 4T’23 hasta el 52,6% (vs 53,3% consenso). Por divisiones, Marketing Services (20% ventas) presenta nuevamente el mejor comportamiento, y los ingresos crecen un +17% (vs +14% esperado). Por su parte, en Fintech (33% ventas) el crec...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ALMIRALL, ENCE. EUROPA: AIRBUS, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El CDU/CSU gana las elecciones en Alemania Tras las caídas del jueves en EE.UU. las bolsas europeas mantuvieron la cautela el viernes y cerraron una semana...
Weixin has launched a new AI search function integrated with DeepSeek. We believe AI adoption will serve as a growth multiplier in innovative gameplay, AI agent development, advertising data analytics, and ad monetisation within Mini Programs and Mini Shops. Tencent’s 4Q24 results will be released on 19 Mar 25. We forecast a 4Q24 revenue growth of 11% yoy, driven by resilient game grossing and online ad revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$608.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
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