6550-6569 S&P 500 Support Holding For Now After 5.5-months, the S&P 500 (SPX) has now failed to break and stay below the its 20-day MA. However, 6569 has been our level that needs to break in order for us to have confidence that a pullback has begun; SPX made a low of 6551 on Friday (less than 20 points or 0.3% from our 6569 level), meaning it was not a decisive breakdown (in time or price). As a result, our near-term bullish outlook since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact, and it will stay t...
We have calculated the significant supply about to enter the biologics manufacturing space & analysed demand growth. Whilst the market assumes an improvement in utilisation from 2024, we forecast there will be significant overcapacity in the coming years resulting in even lower utilisation at an industry level. Our detailed bottom-up analysis shows that total mammalian cell supply is set to grow by 11% p.a. 2023-26 but demand is set to grow just 8% p.a. over the same period. However, much more c...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just awarded an improved star rating to AVANTOR (US), active in the Business Support Services industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title receives an improved star rating and now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. With regard to its market behaviour, it remains unchanged and can be qualified as moderately risky. theScreener considers that these elements allow slightly upgrading its rating to Neutral. As of the analysis date February 8, 20...
S&P 500 Testing Key Resistance As we have outlined in recent weeks, our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market is in a “wait-and-see†phase as it relates to states re-opening. The S&P 500 is again testing key resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 2934.49 and also the 2950-3000 level we previously identified. We continue to have concerns that lead us to believe the market is not yet out of the woods, however these concerns are counterbalanced ...
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