AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ New Zealand Energy (NZ CN)C: Financial update – New Zealand has received short term loans totalling C$0.48 mm from Charlestown Energy Partners and a company controlled by New Zealand’s Chairman. The loans, which were issued with an original issuance discount of 10%. are unsecured and non-convertible, with interest payable at 15% per annum and repayment is due on August 27, 2025, The company now intends to complete a private placement. ...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Focus on the shallow gas prospects – ADX has initiated the farm-out process for the GOLD cluster of shallow gas prospects in ADX-AT-II. This cluster includes the GOLD (A&C), GOLD (B), GRAB, and ZAUN prospects, with a combined P50 prospective resource estimate of 12.1 bcf (13.3 bcf on a mean basis). GOLD accounts for 7.5 bcf, while ZAUN and GRAB hold 2.7 bcf and 1.9 bcf, respective...

Condor Energies Inc. (TSX: CDR): First LNG on track for 2Q26. Uzbekist...

• 2Q25 to date production in Uzbekistan was 10,332 boe/d as production rates have been partially restricted due to unplanned downstream infrastructure maintenance at non operated facilities. • Downstream facilities are now fully operational, with June production rising to 11,179 boe/d (close to our 2Q25 forecast of 11,673 boe/d). • Fabrication of the first LNG modular facility (48,000 gallons / 80 t per day) remains on track for 4Q25 completion, with first LNG production anticipated in 2Q26. T...

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Focus on the shallow gas prospects

• ADX has varied its acreage position to maximise exposure to a proven shallow gas play. A total of seven drill-ready shallow gas play prospects exist within the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas have been matured for drilling. A further four gas prospects are being matured within its newly varied acreage areas. • ADX has commenced planning and permitting a multi well drilling campaign. Successful discoveries can be developed in clusters to optimise utilisation of facilities and maximise pro...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 13/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Energy (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Share buyback programme – Arrow has announced a share buyback programme for up to £2.7 mm worth of shares, representing 5% of the company’s public float. This highlights the strength of the business and the cashflow. Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Licence extension in Vietnam – The exploration period on Blocks 125 & 126 has been extended by two ye...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/06/2025

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: On track for first gas in 1Q26 – 1Q25 production of 988 boe/d had been previously reported. Criterium held ~C$1.6 mm in cash at the end of 1Q25. The company has reduced its accounts payable by ~C$3.5 mm while inventory + amounts receivable were flat vs. YE24. Operations are expected to commence at North MGH in June. Four wells were shut-in in 2014 due to high GOR. Criterium is looking to re-open some of the wells in the area. No resou...

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): On track for first gas in 1Q26

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox Resources boost following inter...

• The analysis of the well test result at well 36-2R suggests recoverable resources of 0.84-1.24 mmboe for the 4,000 feet lateral. The reservoir characteristics are consistent across the length of the lateral with consistent contribution from the reservoir matrix to the flow rate. Extrapolating these results across a longer lateral of 10,000 to 15,000 feet suggests recoverable volumes per well of 9 bcf to 37.5 bcf with a condensate yield of 20-60 bbl/mmcf. The base case is 15-17 bcf (plus conden...

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Gearing-up for acquisitions?

• 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. • 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increased opex. • In order to address the increased water production, remove the oil production bot...

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Potential reserves additions following appr...

• Valeura has completed an 8 well drilling programme on Block B5/27. • Two wells at Jasmine C encountered more oil pay than expected. • Two development wells at Ban Yen A are now on production and appraised new reservoirs, adding drilling locations and will likely contribute to reserves when next evaluated at year-end. One of the wells (BYA-35ST1) encountered an oil pay 100% larger than expected. The third well was an appraisal well. It encountered an oil-water contact deeper than expected but t...

Southern Energy Corp. (SOUC LN/SOU CN): 1Q25 production in line. First...

• 1Q25 production of 2,135 boe/d was broadly in line with our expectations. • The company’s gas production was sold a US$0.49/mcf premium to Henry Hub (+13%). • Field operations are scheduled to commence on the 13‐13 #2 Lower Selma Chalk horizontal well in the next few weeks, and Southern with production due to commence in June. This is an important well that will boost production and potentially derisk further locations. There are 45 additional drilling locations in the Lower Selma Chalk. This...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas prospects to start drilling by YE25 – ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhanc...

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Another very good well result. Triton on...

• From January to April 2025, production averaged 26.5 mboe/d. This is consistent with 1Q25 production of 27.6 mboe/d, which benefited from one month of output from Triton. • Repairs at Triton have been completed, and production remains on track to restart in June. The FY25 production guidance of 33–37 mboe/d, with US$220–250 mm in capex, has been reaffirmed. Assuming 2Q25 production of 25 mboe/d (excluding Triton), this implies 2H25 production of 41–47 mboe/d. • The BE01 well (SQZ: 100% WI) has...

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Potential resources addition in EG, redu...

• 1Q25 production of ~12 mbbl/d and net debt at the end of March had been previously disclosed. • The company has reaffirmed its FY25 production guidance of 11–13 mbbl/d but has raised its expected capex for 2025 from US$35 mm to US$40 mm. This increase reflects additional spending to appraise the Bourdon discovery. • Panoro has initiated an audit of 112 mmboe WI 2C resources on Block EG-23, offshore Equatorial Guinea, in 50–100 metres of water depth. Some of these resources, estimated by the M...

Vaalco Energy (NYSE: EGY): The road to 50 mboe/d by 2030

• During the capital markets day last week, Vaalco outlined a production growth profile reaching >45 mboe/d in 2029 and 50 mboe/d in 2030 – surpassing the peak production of ~40 mboe/d that we had anticipated. • Production is expected to reach ~30 mboe/d by mid-2026 , driven by the 2025/2026 drilling program in Gabon and the restart of production at Baobab in Côte d’Ivoire (CI). • The next major increase is forecasted for 3Q28, with the start-up of Venus in EG, adding +20 mbbl/d gross productio...

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas pr...

• ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. • The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhancing confidence in their potential. Four of these prospects, with a best-case recoverable resource estimate of 16.1 bcf, are drill-ready. ADX holds a 100% interest and is currently in discussions w...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): High impact drilling in Vietnam in 4Q25...

• Production from January to April 2025 was 5,757 boe/d, comprising 4,216 boe/d from Vietnam and 1,541 bbl/d from Egypt. This is consistent with the FY25 production guidance of 5.0-6.2 mboe/d, which has been reaffirmed. • In Egypt, receivables increased from US$29.5 million at year-end 2024 to US$31.7 mm by the end of April. However, the company has received US$4.9 mm from EGPC over the same period. Pharos held US$22 mm in cash at the end of April, in line with our expectations. • The FY25 capex...

Condor Energies Inc. (TSX: CDR): Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhst...

• 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). • Condor held ~C$33 mm in cash at the end of March, supported by a C$10.7 mm positive working capital movement in 1Q25. The accounts receivable balance decreased by C$9.4 mm since YE24, demonstrating consistent payments in Uzbekistan. • The highlight of the press release is the progress achieved at the first LNG plant in Kazakhstan. • In May, Condor purchased a 80,000 t per day modular LNG facility for the Saryozek ...