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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Depth, breadth, and a cash windfall

• Serica is acquiring Prax Upstream from administrators for ~US$26 mm, adding 8–10 mboe/d net production in 2026 and 11 mmboe of 2P reserves, diversifying exposure to a key growth basin. • Prax holds a 100% WI in Lancaster with 2.6 mmbbl 2P oil reserves, 3-4 mbbl/d production forecast in 2026 (given COP in 3Q26). • Prax has also executed two SPAs (closing in 1Q26). Serica will acquire from TotalEnergies a 40% WI in the Greater Laggan Area (GLA), a gas producing hub (4.6 mmboe 2P reserves and 5....

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR): Stable high concentration of helium ...

• Laboratory analysis has validated a consistent helium content of 7–8% at Jetstream #1 over extended flow periods of 12–18 h. Initial gas samples from Jetstream #2 indicate similar helium concentrations. • Jetstream #1 achieved significantly higher gross gas flow rates during the recent test relative to the 2024 campaign. However, the average helium concentration of 7–8% is comparable with the 2024 test range (7.9%–14.5%, with an average of 9.9%). • This is important as these results suggest th...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing operations to resume – The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau. The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations. ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welch...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Corcel plc (AIM: CRCL): Insiders and large shareholders exercise warra...

• Charlestown Energy Partners, certain of the company's directors, and other private investors have exercised 50 million warrants at an exercise price of 0.50 pence per share, representing a ~40% premium to the share price prior to the announcement. • These warrants formed part of a 125 million warrant transfer from SNPC (Shandong New Powder COSMO) to the participating shareholders. SNPC has retained 41.5 million warrants. • In exchange, the expiry date of the unexercised 116.5 million warrants...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Largest Vietnam drilling programme sinc...

• 1H25 production of 5,642 boe/d and net cash of US$22.6 mm at the end of June had been reported previously. • 1H25 operating cashflow was US$16.1 mm, exceeding our forecast of US$13.4 mm, driven by stable output at TGT—Pharos’ most profitable asset. • The FY25 production guidance range has been narrowed from 5.0-6.2 mboe/d to 5.2-6.0 mboe/d. We forecast ~5.6 mboe/d. • Egyptian receivables currently stand just above US$30 mm, down from US$33.5 mm at end-June, following a US$5.6 mm payment recei...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing ...

• The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau. The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations. • ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welchau-1 site during the winter drilling window, spanning 1 October to 31 March. • Fluid sampling of the Reifling formation is scheduled for late 4Q25. This interval was previously perfor...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Better terms for Egypt licences

• Pharos and IPR have received approval from EGPC's Executive Board for the consolidation of the El Fayum and NBS concession agreements. Pharos retains its 45%. • The new consolidated concession carries a term of up to 20 years—comprising an initial 15-year period and a five-year extension—valid through 2045 (previously 2034 for El Fayum and 2043 for NBS). • The agreement includes three newly awarded exploration areas. Development leases awarded from these areas will have up to a 30-year term th...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Minor production deferral. FY25 production ...

• 3Q25 production to 15 September averaged 18,805 bbl/d, comprising 479 bbl/d at Los Angeles and the balance at Bretana. • PetroTal has identified tubing leaks in six wells, impairing artificial lift efficiency. Four wells have been temporarily shut-in pending tubing replacement. Consequently, early September production averaged just 16,750 bbl/d, down from a peak of over 21 mbbl/d in mid-July. • The service rig is scheduled to mobilize to Bretana at the end of October, following completion of t...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Deep dive into Italy – ADX has released further details on its C.R 150.AU permit; located in shallow waters offshore western Sicily, ~50 km from a potential onshore tie-in to the TransMed pipeline, which transports Algerian gas to Europe. While initial efforts centred on the Nilde oil field, ADX has shifted its strategic focus toward gas, reflecting the evidence of high quality ga...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Deep dive into Italy

• ADX has released further details on its C.R 150.AU permit; located in shallow waters offshore western Sicily, ~50 km from a potential onshore tie-in to the TransMed pipeline, which transports Algerian gas to Europe. • While initial efforts centred on the Nilde oil field, ADX has shifted its strategic focus toward gas, reflecting the evidence of high quality gas from historic oil exploration in the permit, Europe’s growing demand for domestic supply and the recent offshore development of near...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria – ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has del...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Condor Energies Inc. (TSX: CDR): Up to twelve 13-20 mmcf/d horizontal ...

• 3Q25 Uzbekistan production to date has averaged 10,284 boe/d; which is consistent with 10,258 boe/d reported in 2Q25. • Drilling of the first vertical well in Uzbekistan is underway, with results expected in October. The well is targeting the producing carbonate reservoir, as well as deeper clastic formations and fractured basement intervals. A successful outcome in the deeper zones could unlock material reserves additions. • Data from this first well will also be used to optimize subsequent ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Temporary blip at Triton

• Production at the Triton FPSO is currently running at a reduced rate due to a vibration issue within the compression trains, requiring bearing replacement. Normal output is expected to resume by end-September. Triton achieved net production of over 25,000 boe/d in August using only one compressor. The restart of the second unit could push volumes above this level. • In parallel, subsea intervention work on a pipeline at the Bittern field, originally scheduled for 2026, has been scheduled for N...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Potential reserves addition in the...

• Current production exceeds 4,800 boe/d, marking an increase of approximately 600 boe/d since the last reported figure on 28 August. • This uplift reflects the contribution of two new wells brought online. CN HZ13 is producing ~1,000 bbl/d gross (~500 bbl/d net) from the Ubaque reservoir, with a water cut of 32%. AB-3, a vertical well, has been recompleted in the C7 formation and is currently producing 840 bbl/d gross (420 bbl/d net) with a water cut of 73%. The well is still in clean-up phase....

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria

• ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. • Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has delineated 24 drillable prospects across five distinct plays, with P50 prospective resources of ~247 bcf and 31 mmbbl (~72 mmboe). The proportion of gas in the explor...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Pulsar Helium (PLSR LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.95 per share: Very high flow rate at Jetstream #1. £3.7 mm equity raise to drill up to 10 wells – Jetstream #1 recorded a peak flow rate exceeding 1.3 mmcf/d of raw gas during a compression-assisted test, with no formation water encountered. This represents a ~2.5-fold increase over the flow rate achieved without compression, and is approximately 60–65% higher than the rate recorded durin...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR): Very high flow rate at Jetstream #1....

• Jetstream #1 recorded a peak flow rate exceeding 1.3 mmcf/d of raw gas during a compression-assisted test, with no formation water encountered. This represents a ~2.5-fold increase over the flow rate achieved without compression, and is approximately 60–65% higher than the rate recorded during the April 2024 test under comparable conditions. • Jetstream #1 delivered a net helium peak flow rate of ~0.19 mmcf/d—among the highest reported by junior helium E&Ps in North America. This materially en...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High impact exploration drilling i...

• 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. • Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal. For example, recent horizontal wells have delivered initial rates exceeding 1,000 bbl/d, decli...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Flow rate of up to 8 mmcf/d at Sout...

• The SEM-01 well at South East MGH flowed 7–8 mmcf/d on test on 40/54” and 48/64” choke sizes. Further choke expansion was constrained by surface facility limitations. This follows the MGH-20 well at North MGH, which flowed at 2.8 mmcf/d on test. • The successful re-entry of SEM-01 de-risks the entire project and confirms the phased development across both fields, with initial production of 5–7 mmcf/d expected in 1Q26, rising to 7–10 mmcf/d in 2Q26. Criterium is projected to generate positive f...

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