A director at Incyte Corp sold 12,352 shares at 72.690USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
Feature article: 2022 Pharma Statistics - 8.7% growth – but worrying signs An efficient reporting system has seen all the listed multinational pharmaceutical companies announcing results for 2022, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database. This report provides the first snapshot of the global and US rankings of the top 20 drug companies for 2022. 2022 was characterised by 8.7% underlying growth, offset by a large forex impact (-12%), due to USD stren...
Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), as each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure in preparation for new lows ahead... see charts below. U.S. Dollar, 10-Yr Treasury Yiel...
Signs of Disinflation? A bear market bounce is underway after the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week. Still, until the S&P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure. Signs of Disinflation? We are starting to see early signs that inflation is peaking, as commodity prices have pulled...
10-Year Treasury Yield Testing 40-Year Resistance; Upgrading Health Care to Overweight Whether or not the lows for this correction have already been established remains to be seen, but evidence is mounting that suggests a test of the lows, and possibly a break to new lows, is increasingly likely. Regardless, continue to stick with the commodity and defensive Sectors, all of which hit new price and RS highs in recent days. 10-Year Treasury Yield. We have discussed our expectations for rising ra...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of INCYTE (US), active in the Biotechnology industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title confirms its rating of 3 out of 4 stars while its market behaviour remains unchanged and can be qualified as defensive. However, a marginally less favourable environment forces theScreener to downgrade slightly the title, which now shows an overall rating of Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date April...
Qualcomm (QCOM) is rapidly diversifying from its legacy smartphone business into the high growth IoT market. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is missing this, pricing in a reversal of recent profitability trends and slowing growth, indicating equity upside. With the smartphone market near full saturation, Qualcomm has intelligently pivoted its focus to high growth areas within the IoT market including the connected automotive market and radio frequency components. As Qualcomm conti...
Incyte Corporation (INCY) currently trades below corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 12.4x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fade to 5%, accompanied by 9% Uniform asset growth. However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 13%, accompanied by 13% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $196, representing significant potential equity ...
Not Out Of The Woods In last week's Compass we noted that on Monday Jan. 24, the % of stocks in the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 above their 50-day moving averages hit 19.8% and 10.7%, respectively, and that these levels have historically been consistent with a bullish short-term reversal. The short-term bullish reversal is officially underway now that the S&P 500 has reclaimed its 200-day MA, but we are not yet out of the woods; in today's report we discuss what we are watching to determine whethe...
Constellation Brands (STZ) has transformed its profitability profile through its massive expansion in the beer market and move to premiumization over the last seven years. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is pricing in a reversal of recent profitability expansion and below-average growth, but management is confident about executing on their strategy and is aligned to continue to do so, signaling the potential for equity upside as the company continues executing. Constellation...
Incyte Corporation (INCY) currently trades well below corporate averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 7.0x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fade to 6%, accompanied by 9% Uniform asset growth. However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 21% in 2022, accompanied by 23% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $397, representing significant potential equity ups...
Current market expectations for IIVI don't comprehend the company's macro tailwinds. The company supplies the technology that allows big macro trends around 5G, the Internet of Things, and autonomous vehicles to bloom. Its tailwinds from these markets continue to take off, and in the case of autonomous vehicles, it is essential to any success at all. As booming demand accelerates in these end markets, the company is likely to see strong fundamental momentum the market isn't pricing in, both...
Incyte Corporation (INCY:USA) currently trades well below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 7.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, but management is excited about dermatologist prescription trends and confident about in-person oncologist meetings and increasing patient demand. Specifically, management generated an excitement marker when saying dermatologists overwhelmingly prescribe for drugs like RUX cr...
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