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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/20/2024

Grifols: the board considers that Brookfield’s indicative price undervalues the company Teva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: Results recovered in 2023-24, exceeding expectations. Debt reduction is making headway as planned.Tereos: Sharp decline in EBITDA in Q2 24/25. The financial position is stable thanks to the generation of FCF.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 20/11/2024

Grifols : le conseil d’administration estime que le prix indicatif proposé par Brookfield sous-évalue la sociétéTeva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: les résultats se sont redressés 2023/24, dépassant les attentes. Le désendettement progresse comme prévu.Tereos : fort repli de l'EBITDA au T2 24/25. La situation financière est stable grâce à la génération de FCF.>...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, TALGO. Russia shakes markets The threat of using nuclear weapons by Russia after Ukraine used its long-range missiles on Russian territory led to corrections in European stock markets that eased throughout the session after the Foreign Minister S. Lavrov stressed that Russia does not wish nor expect a nuclear war. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Pharma were the only sectors ending with gains vs. Banks and Automobiles that ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

CaixaBank : The medium-term strategic update underpins our positive ca...

>Outperform rating confirmed – Target price adjusted to € 7.0 (vs € 7.2) - The medium-term strategic update (CMD held yesterday) from CaixaBank confirms our positive approach to the stock and its place among our sector Top Picks. Unsurprisingly, the group intends to capitalise/strengthen solid achievements (top-line diversification, operating efficiency, healthy asset quality, etc.) while emphasising the notable potential for activity growth (which is a change from th...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

CaixaBank : L’update stratégique MT conforte notre call positif

>Opinion Surperformance confirmée – OC ramené à 7.0 € (vs 7.2 €) - L’update stratégique MT (CMD tenu hier) réalisé par CaixaBank vient confirmer notre approche positive sur le titre et sa place parmi nos top picks au sein du secteur. Sans surprise le groupe compte capitaliser/renforcer de solides acquis (diversification topline, efficience opérationnelle, qualité d’actifs saine…) tout en insistant sur le potentiel notable de croissance de l’activité (ce qui change vs ...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

CAIXABANK: OBJETIVOS AMBICIOSOS PARA TIPOS BAJOS; CAMBIO DE RECOMENDAC...

Plan estratégico ambicioso para un escenario de tipos conservador. Cambio de recomendación a INFRAPONDERAR. CABK aspira a ROTE medio 25-27 >15% (14,1% BS(e) y 14,5% consenso) y >16% en 2027 (implicaría en media un BDI +15% por encima de lo esperado). Prevé compensar EURIBOR bajo (2,19% en 2025, 1,8% en 2026 y 2% en 2027( vs 2,5% nosotros)) con más volumen de crédito y coberturas ALCO. Mantiene política de dividendo en cash (50%- 60% payout/ ~7-8% yield). Distribuirá el exceso de capital >12,5% C...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, SOLARIA. Awaiting drivers European stock markets managed to recover ground at the end of the session, ending mixed, with the Ibex and FTSE MIB being the best relative performers. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Telecoms were the best relative performers vs. the bigger drops of Real Estate and Retail. From the ECB, De Guindos insisted that concerns about inflation have now shifted to growth. On the macro side, in the US November’s NAHB r...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, SOLARIA. A la espera de catalizadores Las bolsas europeas lograron recuperarse hacia el final de la sesión y cerraron con signo mixtos donde destacó el buen comportamiento relativo del Ibex y el del FTSE MIB en negativo. Así, dentro del STOXX 600, Recursos Básicos y Telecos mostraron el mejor comportamiento relativo, frente a las mayores caídas de Inmobiliario y Retail. Desde el BCE, De Guindos insistió en que la preocup...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report– a surplus and easing of geopolitical tensions pushi...

>Slowdown in demand confirmed for 2025 - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has marginally lifted its demand growth estimates by 60 kb/d to +920 kb/d for 2024 but maintains unchanged its 2025 estimate at +1 Mb/d. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d on average over 2000-2019 and a record of +2 Mb/d in 2023. This slowdown can be explained by the economic slowdown and the deployment of renewable energies. Chinese demand has slowed sharply for th...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB’s target nearly met The Euro STOXX 50 had its best day since late September, while the ECB’s meeting minutes suggested the 2% inflation target will be met earlier than expected, thus cementing t...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE –Surplus et accalmie géopolitique pèsent sur les pr...

>Le ralentissement de la demande se confirme en 2025 - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise légèrement à la hausse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 60 kb/j à +920 kb/j pour 2024 mais les maintient inchangées à +1 Mb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j en moyenne en 2000-2019 et un record de +2 Mb/j en 2023. Ce ralentissement s’explique par le ralentissement économique et le déploiement des énergies renouvelables. La demande ...

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