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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 04 AUGUST (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Trump and the job market lead to another market selloff The tariff rise approved by D. Trump to dozens of countries instead of lower tariffs as part of the negotiations under way and the slowdown signs of the US economy led to losses >-2.5% in European stock markets. Thus, in the STOXX 600 last week was marked by the earnings calendar and by Friday’s sell-off where energy was the only sector not ending in negative territory, whereas A...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 04 AGOSTO + RDOS. EUROPA 2T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANC...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, SECTOR BANCARIO, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump y el mercado laboral provocan otro sell-off en el mercado El incremento arancelario aprobado por D. Trump a decenas de países en lugar de reduc...

T-Mobile US Inc: 1 director

A director at T-Mobile US Inc sold 12,300 shares at 240.800USD and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: 2Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 8.953 Bn (-12.7% vs. -13.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.905 Bn (-9.8% vs. -9.5% consensus); EBIT: € 1.034 Bn (+1.3% vs. -0.7% consensus); Net Profit: € -51.0 M (€ 447.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € 104.0 M consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 18.013 Bn (-11.7% vs. -11.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 5.895 Bn (-8.2% vs. -7.7% consensus); EBIT: € 2.109 Bn (+2.2% vs. +1.3% consensus); Net Profit: € -1.355.0 M (€ 979.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € -1.200.0 M consensus);

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Telefonica (Neutral, €4.4, -2%) Q2 25 – Solid quarter ahead of strate...

The main event for Telefonica shareholders in H2 will be the strategic review outcome, rather than the Q2 or Q3 results, but nonetheless these are a solid set of results with all guidance reiterated. On one hand, we see upside from consensus FCF for 2025 being too low, but on the other hand, we worry that the outcome of the strategic review might not be as shareholder-friendly in the near-term as some might like.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/30/2025

Nexans: Strong set of results and resignation of its CFO|OPmobility prices its new 2031 bonds|Altarea: recovery momentum in housing firmed up in H1 2025|Worldline: confirmation of major operating challenges in H1 2025|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/07/2025

Nexans: Strong set of results and resignation of its CFO|OPmobility price ses nouvelles obligations 2031|Altarea : la dynamique de reprise sur le logement se confirme au S1 2025|Worldline : confirmation d’importantes difficultés au S1 2025|

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 2T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: Ventas: 8.953 M euros (-12,7% vs -13,0% consenso); EBITDA: 2.921 M euros (-9,8% vs -9,5% consenso); EBIT: 1.034 M euros (+1,3% y -0,7% consenso); BDI: -51,0 M euros (417,0 M euros en 2T'24 vs y 104,0 M euros consenso); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: Ventas: 18.013 M euros (-11,7% vs -11,0% consenso); EBITDA: 5.895 M euros (-8,2% vs -7,7% consenso); EBIT: 2.109 M euros (+2,2% vs +1,3% consenso); BDI: -1.355,0 M euros (950,0 M euros en 1S'24 vs -1.200,0 M euros consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 30 JULIO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 2T’25. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ADIDAS, DANONE, KERING, L’ORÉAL, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados toman el relevo Recuperación marcada por el...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 30 JULY + 2Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results take centre stage Recovery in Europe in a session marked by the results calendar and news on the trade negotiations of the US with China and the EU. In the STOXX 600, the ral...

Philip Burnett
  • Philip Burnett

AMT Model Update

This note covers changes to the model. We increased revenue, EBITDA and AFFO on updated guidance. We expect consensus to increase revenue and EBITDA but for AFFO estimates to remain where they were.

Philip Burnett
  • Philip Burnett

AMT: Quick thoughts following the 2Q25 call

This brief note covers thoughts on the drivers of the modestly lowered outlook for US organic growth this year, a further unpacking of the drivers of the changes to consolidated guidance, and updated thoughts on the impact of the USM-TMUS consolidation as well as risks from a potential EchoStar bankruptcy.

Philip Burnett
  • Philip Burnett

AMT 2Q25 Quick Take: Site rental revenue in-line; services strong

Site rental revenues were in-line with consensus, while services and data center revenues were strong. Revenue benefited from higher straight-line impacts and a lower drag from FX. Site rental EBITDA was weak on underperformance in Latam, but consolidated EBITDA was ahead on strength in services and data centers. AFFO missed on higher maintenance capex and a larger adjustment for unconsolidated affiliates. The company increased guidance primarily on benefits from FX.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/28/2025

15% tariffs on EU: exposure of the high-yield names in the luxury goods, retail and consumer sectors|Forvia: solid operating results in H1 and further savings to come|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 28/07/2025

Droits de douane à 15% sur l’Europe : valeurs high yield du secteur luxe/retail/consumer exposées|Forvia : un résultat opérationnel solide au S1 et davantage d’économies à venir|

Research Department
  • Research Department
CS AXA
IBE IBERDROLA SA ... (+4)

INFORME DIARIO 28 JULIO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 2T’25. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANCO SANTANDER, IBERDROLA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AXA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Acuerdo comercial entre Europa y EE.UU. Semana de poco movimiento en Europa, donde finalmente se anunció el acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y la...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 JULY + 2Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS...

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trade agreement between Europe and the US It was a week of little movement in Europe, where the trade agreement between the EU and the US was announced in the end with a general 15% tariff (vs. the threats of 30%) that will ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

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