reports
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 30 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. Lower trade and geopolitical risks It was a week of gains on European stock markets, underpinned by the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and the expectations of a trade agreement with the US. Thus, in the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors on the week were Construction and Travel & Leisure, whereas Food and Energy ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone June’s economic confidence index worsened unexpectedly. In Spain, June’s prelim...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 30 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. EUROPA: KERING Menores riesgos comerciales y geopolíticosSemana de ganancias en los índices europeos, apoyados por el alto al fuego entre Israel e Irán y las expectativas de acuerdo comercial con EE.UU. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Construcción y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Alimentación y Energía terminaron con las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona el índice de confianza económica de ju...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 27 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. El mercado de divisas, nuevo foco de atención Jornada mixta en las bolsas europeas, que cotizaron divididas con la vista puesta en el dólar y el nuevo retroceso que sufrió ayer, cayendo a mínimos de 2022. En el STOXX 600 R. Básicos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a las mayores caídas de Hogar y B. de Consumo (sectores con bastante exposición a dólar). Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. el PIB 1...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 27 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. Spotlight now on the currency market It was a mixed session on European stock markets, which were a mixed bag with all eyes on the dollar and the drop it suffered yesterday, falling to a low since 2022. In the STOXX 600, Basic Materials and Industrials were the sectors rising the most, with Household Goods and Consumer Goods falling the most (sectors highly exposed to the USD). On the macro side, in the US the 1Q’25 GDP was lowered in its third rea...
Neinor secures €225mn with record €1.2bn demand to fund the AEDAS Tend...
Neinor secures €225mn with record €1.2bn demand to fund the AEDAS Tender Offer acquisition It has successfully executed an accelerated bookbuild (ABB) with over €1.2bn of demand and c.6x oversubscribed Neinor Homes sets a new benchmark in the equity capital markets pricing the ABB at a +10% premium to pre-tender offer announcement levels - raising capital at €15.25/share The capital raise was 100% allocated to top tier institutional investors, increasing Neinor’s free float to ~€600 million, a key milestone in enhancing trading depth, index relevance, and long-term investor alignment ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 25 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA/ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Stock markets looking to return to 2025 highs The ceasefire between Iran and Israel continued to fuel stock markets at both sides of the Atlantic, with the Ibex returning to 14,000 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600, all sectors except Energy (due to the drop in oil prices) saw gains, led by Travel&Leisure and Construction. On the macro side, in Germany the IFO index climbed slightly more than expected for the sixth consecutive ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 25 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Las bolsas con ganas de volver a los máximos del año El alto el fuego entre Irán e Israel siguió impulsando las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico, con el Ibex recuperando los 14.000 puntos. En el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos Energía (por la caída del precio del petróleo) subieron, liderados por Viajes&Ocio y Construcción. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO repuntó ligeramente más d...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 24 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS. Stock markets welcome the possible truce between Iran and Israel, as opposed to crude oil The strikes on Iran nuclear sites had a limited impact on European stock markets, which ended with drops below -0.5%. US indices saw greater gains and crude oil fell sharply after Iran’s failed missile attack to the US base in Qatar, followed by a 12-hour truce between Iran and Israel announced by D. Trump. In the STOXX 600, Utilities and Technology were the best performers whereas B...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 24 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS. Las bolsas festejan la posible tregua Irán-Israel, el crudo no El bombardeo estadounidense a las plantas de desarrollo nuclear iraníes tuvo un impacto limitado entre las bolsas europeas, que cerraron con caídas inferiores al medio punto porcentual. Los índices estadounidenses acentuaron las ganancias y el petróleo registró fuertes caídas tras el ataque fallido de Irán con misiles a bases americanas en Qatar, seguida de una tregua de 12 hor...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 23 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, IAG, INDRA, NEINOR, OHLA. US attacks Iran The risk of a military intervention by the US in Iran weighed on the market last week, and the 2-week deadline decided by D. Trump calmed stock markets. However, the movement of the military arsenal continued in the Middle East area, and in the end the US launched a weekend air attack on 3 Iranian nuclear targets. In the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Energy saw the biggest gains last week vs. Pharma and Retail that ended with the bigge...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 23 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, IAG, INDRA, NEINOR, OHLA. EUROPA: SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC. EE.UU. ataca Irán El riesgo de una intervención militar de EE.UU. en Irán sobrevoló sobre el mercado durante la semana pasada y el plazo de dos semanas que se había dado D. Trump alivió a las bolsas. Sin embargo, el movimiento de arsenal militar seguía llegando a la zona de O. Medio y finalmente EE.UU. ha lanzado durante el fin de semana un ataque aéreo sobre 3 objetivos nucleares. Irán h...
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Ignacio Romero
NEINOR HOMES / AEDAS HOMES: OPA SOBRE AEDAS Y CAMBIO DE RECOMENDACIÓN ...
Revisamos al alza de P.O. y recomendación de Neinor tras anuncio de OPA sobre AEDAS. Neinor ha alcanzado un acuerdo con Castlelake para comprar su participación del 79% en AEDAS a un precio en metálico de 24,48 euros (21,33 euros post dividendo de 3,15 euros, un descuento del -30% sobre NAV y del -9% sobre cierre). Para financiar la operación, que implica OPA sobre el 100% de AEDAS, Neinor asume deuda (750 M euros al 7,25%) y realiza una ampliación de capital (asegurada por sus principales acci...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 17 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, AMADEUS, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. The market recovers European stock markets rallied, driven by the possibility of a de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East. In this regard, Iran would be trying to stop the hostilities through the US in exchange for resuming talks on the nuclear agreement. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Travel & Leisure and Banks, whereas defensive sectors like Pharma and Food suffered the biggest drops. On the macro side...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 17 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, AMADEUS, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. EUROPA: AXA, KERING. El mercado se recupera Rebote en las bolsas europeas, impulsadas por la posibilidad de ver cierta desescalada en la situación de Oriente Medio. En este sentido, Irán estaría intentando detener las hostilidades a través de EE.UU. a cambio de reanudar las conversaciones sobre el pacto nuclear. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Viajes&Ocio y Bancos, mientras que defensivos como Fa...
Neinor launches €1,070mn Tender Offer for AEDAS, redefining the reside...
Neinor launches €1,070mn Tender Offer for AEDAS, redefining the residential real estate landscape Castlelake, owner of a 79% stake in AEDAS, has signed an irrevocable agreement to sell its stake to Neinor for €24.485/sh (€21.335/sh post div.) Acquisition of a premium portfolio with c.€2bn GAV (c.20,200#) at a c.30% NAV discount Conservative underwriting targeting a +20% IRR and 1.8x MOIC, implying significant de-risking and acceleration of Neinor’s Strategic Plan 2023-27: Highly accretive transaction, driving €150mn Earnings uplift over 2025-27 (+40% vs Strategic Plan target and c.+2...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 16 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, CAIXABANK, CHANGES IBEX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East halt stock market gains The trade agreement between the US and China, and the solid inflation data in the US, were overshadowed by the increased geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors and the only ones in positive territory were Energy, Utilities and Pharma, with Financial Services and Telecoms falling th...
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