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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 03 JULY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, SANTANDER. Lagarde admits progress made in inflation European stock markets saw profit taking, where J. Powell’s still cautious comments from Sintra but more confident in the disinflation process moderated losses. In the STOXX 600 among the sectors that rose (8/20 sectors), Energy stood out (thanks to the good performance of Brent crude) vs. Banks, Insurance and Autos that were the worst performers, falling >-1.0%. On the macro side, in the euro zone June’s inflation m...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 03 JULIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: SANOFI. Lagarde reconoce los progresos de la inflación Toma de beneficios en el mercado bursátil europeo donde los comentarios de J. Powell desde Sintra sonando todavía cauto, pero más confiado sobre el proceso de desinflación ayudaron a moderar las pérdidas. En el STOXX 600 entre los sectores que presentaron subidas (8/20 sectores) destacó Energía (gracias al buen desempeño del Brent) frente a Bancos, Seguros y Autos q...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT Picks & Pans/July 2024 update

In this note we again highlight what we identify as attractive opportunities in the TMT credit space. Our picks and pans for TMT are largely unchanged since our update of 9 February, although the first half of 2024 has been quite eventful - especially for SES, but also for Equinix. SES has announced an agreement to acquire Intelsat, while Equinix has faced allegations of misreporting. Despite the upgrade to IG and some tightening of its notes YTD, we continue to like Cellnex. The combination of ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 28 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, INDRA, OHLA, REDEIA. El Ibex pierde los 11.000 puntos A excepción del DAX que terminó subiendo, jornada de caídas superiores al -0,7% para los antiguos (España-Italia) y nuevos periféricos (Francia) en la Eurozona. Así, en el STOXX 600 Inmobiliario y Media presentaron las mayores ganancias frente a Retail y Autos que fueron los que más cayeron. Por el lado macro, en España las ventas al por menor de mayo moderaron su ritmo de avance más de ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, INDRA, OHLA, REDEIA. The Ibex falls below 11,000 points With the exception of the DAX that rose in the end, in the euro zone the old (Spain, Italy) an new (France) peripheral countries fell >-0.7%. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Real Estate and Media saw the biggest gains vs. Retail and Automobiles that were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the euro zone, July’s economic confidence index fell unexpectedly. In the US, the final 1Q’24 GDP was raised slightly to 1.4% Q/...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT hybrid yields still attractive/Buying opportunity on market softne...

In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have outperformed. Nevertheless, we still like this hybrid space as it offers a good yield. From a spread perspective, we continue to think the tightening potential over senior is more limited, although the small recent widening makes hybrids a bit more attractive.

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 06/27/2024

As momentum has become less adverse than over the past five years, interest rates have started to fall and valuations have (historically low), this should have prodded small and mid cap companies back to their old outperformance. The European elections in France and the ensuing decision to dissolve the French National Assembly have changed risk perceptions and erased YTD gains. In our new ODDO BHF European mid cap list for H2 2024, France is underweighted with a mix of defensive and s...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 27/06/2024

Le momentum devenu moins défavorable qu’au cours des 5 derniers exercices, l’amorce de baisse des taux, et les valorisations (historiquement basses) auraient dû aider les small&Midcaps à retrouver leur surperformance. Les Elections européennes suivies de la dissolution de l’Assemblée nationale en France ont changé la perception du risque et gommé les gains YTD. Notre nouvelle liste ODDO BHF European Midcaps pour le S2 2024 se trouve sous-pondérée sur la France et propose un mix entre ...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Ericsson downgrades its global traffic outlook

>Unprecedented revision of 25% - Ericsson yesterday published its annual Ericsson Mobility report, an industry benchmark for mobile network traffic forecasts. Traffic forecasts are crucial in terms of the investment outlook for the telecoms sector.What is surprising is that Ericsson cut its global mobile traffic forecast by close to 25% for 2029 (from 403 EB/m to 313 EB/m, or from 56 to 42 GB/m per smartphone user). Ericsson does not communicate much on this revi...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Ericsson abaisse ses prévisions de trafic mondial

>Une révision inédite de 25% - Ericsson a publié hier son rapport annuel « Ericsson Mobility report», une référence de l’industrie pour les prévisions de trafic sur réseau mobile. Les prévisions de trafic sont déterminantes pour les prévisions d’investissements dans les télécoms.La surprise est qu’Ericsson coupe de près de 25% à la baisse ses prévisions de trafic mobile mondial pour 2029 (de 403 ExaBytes/mois à 313 EB/mois, soit de 56 à 42 GB/mois par utilisateur...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 27 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, OHL. Corrections continue in Europe, with the Ibex falling below 11,100 points Yesterday’s session saw a decreasing performance in Europe, unable to keep the initial gains, partially hit by a new rise in sovereign yield at both sides of the Atlantic. Thus, in the STOXX 600 all sectors with the exception of Technology saw losses, led by Travel&Leisure and Real Estate. On the macro side, in Germany, July’s consumer confidence index fell unexpectedly after rising for four ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 27 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, OHLA. Continúan las caídas en Europa y el Ibex pierde los 11.100 puntos Jornada de más a menos en Europa que no pudo retener las subidas de las primeras horas de cotización, en parte perjudicado por una nueva subida de las rentabilidades soberanas a ambos lados del Atlántico. Así, en el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos Tecnología presentaron caídas, lideradas por Viajes&Ocio e Inmobiliario. Por el lado macro, en Alemania la confianza del...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENAGÁS, ROVI, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: VOLKSWAGEN. El Ibex resiste en los 11.100 puntos Volvió la cautela a los mercados tras las subidas del lunes y sin catalizadores macro relevantes en europa. Así, en el STOXX 600 Farma y Viajes&Ocio presentaron las mayores ganancias frente al peor comportamiento relativo de Industriales y Servicios Financieros. Por el lado macro, en España el PIB final del 1T’24 se revisó una décima ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, ENAGÁS, ROVI, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. The Ibex remains above 11,100 points Following Monday’s gains and in the absence of relevant macroeconomic drivers in Europe , caution prevailed in stock markets. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Pharma and Travel&Leisure were the best performers vs. the worse relative performance of Industrials and Financial Services. On the macro side, in Spain, the final 1Q’24 GDP was raised one tenth to 2.5% YoY. On the political front, in S...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+5)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 06/24/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+5)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 24/06/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : L’hôtellerie européenne progresse toujours, l’Espagne surperfor...

>Les RevPAR en Europe de l’Ouest progressent de 7.5% en mai - En mai, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.5% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), contre +6.6% en avril et +7.7% en mars, portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.7% contre +5.3% en avril et +6.2% en mars) et par ldes taux d’occupation (TO à +0.5 pt). Ainsi, la variation cumulée des RevPAR sur les 5 premiers mois de l’année ressort à +7.1% (+1.2pt sur les TO et +5.0% sur les prix)....

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : European hotel sector still growing, Spain continues to outperf...

>RevPAR in western Europe was up 7.5% in May - In May, RevPAR growth was +7.5% y-o-y in western Europe (according to STR figures), vs +6.6% in April and +7.7% in March, driven by both price increases (+6.7% vs +5.3% in April and +6.2% in March) and a rise in occupancy rates (occupancy rate up +0.5 points). As such, the cumulative change in RevPAR in the first 5 months of the year was +7.1% (+1.2 points for occupancy rates and +5.0% for prices). Compared to 2019 levels...

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