>October exports down -2.2%, luxury subsegment up 1.7% - Overall exports showing a low single-digit decline for October (YTD score now at -2.6%) cannot be perceived as a real improvement, coming after a low double-digit fall in September (-12.1%) as the number of working days was higher y-o-y last month. The luxury category has remained a visible outperformer, up 1.7%, while the three other lower-end categories have continued to suffer markedly with y-o-y falls for Oc...
>October exports down -2.2%, luxury subsegment up 1.7% - Overall exports showing a low single-digit decline for October (YTD score now at -2.6%) cannot be perceived as a real improvement, coming after a low double-digit fall in September (-12.1%) as the number of working days was higher y-o-y last month. The luxury category has remained a visible outperformer, up 1.7%, while the three other lower-end categories have continued to suffer markedly with y-o-y falls for Oc...
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
>Topic of the week: margin risk quantified - Growth momentum is definitely what makes luxury stocks tick. Alas, the near-term growth outlook for the industry remains hard to decipher: the normalisation in the West is well advanced but the reacceleration might look slow going for a while, at the same time China’s demand has abruptly stopped, is poised to recover but remains hostage of overall macro conditions. It is no longer a secret by now that the sector’s growth fo...
>Topic of the week: margin risk quantified - Growth momentum is definitely what makes luxury stocks tick. Alas, the near-term growth outlook for the industry remains hard to decipher: the normalisation in the West is well advanced but the reacceleration might look slow going for a while, at the same time China’s demand has abruptly stopped, is poised to recover but remains hostage of overall macro conditions. It is no longer a secret by now that the sector’s growth fo...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.953 Bn (+17.0% vs. +15.5% BS(e) and +15.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 522.0 M (+6.3% vs. +11.3% BS(e) and +27.6% consensus); EBIT: € 272.0 M (-11.4% vs. -8.7% BS(e) and -0.4% consensus); Net Profit: € 189.0 M (-1.0% vs. -82.3% BS(e) and -16.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 29.702 Bn (+12.5% vs. +12.0% BS(e) and +11.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.679 Bn (+17.8% vs. +19.5% BS(e) and +25.2% consensus); EBIT: € 1.079 Bn (+11.0% vs. +11.9% BS(e) and +14.5% co...
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