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Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 28.1.2019 - 1.2.2019

Telekom Slovenije: On 31 January 2019 Telekom Slovenije concluded the sale of its 100% stake in Blicnet, Banja Luka. Telekom will announce the total value of the purchase fee after determining the adjustment figures, while it is known that the purchase fee significantly exceeds the book value of the investment. Remember, Telekom Slovenije and Telekomunikacije Republike Srpske, Banja Luka, signed the agreement on the sale of the 100% stake in Blicnet on 2 October 2018. The sale of Blicnet is in ...

Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 21.1.2019 - 25.1.2019

Luka Koper: According to the President of the Management Board of Luka Koper, Dimitrij Zadel, the company needs a second tier between Divača and Koper, and in addition, a lot of investments have already begun so that they can follow the growth of cargo. This week the government confirmed the investment program for the second tier, the construction of which is estimated at EUR 1.2bn. The project is supposed to be paid by user charges. Namely, since January, the state has already started to c...

Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 7.1.2019 - 11.1.2019

Luka Koper:Luka Koper published the information about the maritime throughput and revenues in 2018. In 4Q18 Luka Koper handled 6.4 MT of cargo, a 12.7% YoY increase. Bulk and break bulk cargos increased by 22.3%, liquid cargos by 17.2%, container freight by 8.1% and general cargos by 6.9%. Number of TEUs increased by 9.7% YoY in 4Q and reached 988.5k for the entire year. So far, trade wars and slowing global economy had no impact on TEU handling. The only weak spot in 4Q was vehicles handlings w...

Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 31.12.2018 - 4.1.2019

Trading in 2018:The value of the LJSE index increased for the third year in a row and exceeded 900 points for the first time in 8 years. The SBITOP index ended the year valued at 805.06 points. The month with the most trades was May due to the acquisition of Gorenje. A fall increase in interest for Slovenian shares was due to the first listing of a new share after more than 10 years. Those were shares of Nova Ljubljanska banka. In 2018 the most traded shares were shares of Krka, with which 25.6%...

Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 17.12.2018 - 21.12.2018

This week was marked by publications of the business plans for 2019 and estimatedbusiness performance for 2018. Among them were Luka Koper, Zavarovalnica, Triglav,Mercator, Unior and Salus. More details on page 2.Luka Koper:Results for 2018 will be mainly in line with our expectations, while 2019 projectionsare below our estimates. EBITDA is therefore 5% below our plans, EBIT 7% and netincome 10% below our plans. Margins in 2019 will therefore fall to 5-year low. Afterattaining all the necessary...

Tina Orzan
  • Tina Orzan

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 10.12.2018 - 14.12.2018

Cinkarna Celje published the summary of business plan for 2019 and preliminary business results for 2018. For 2019 the company is expecting to generate EUR 167.7m of sales (+1% vs. 2018), EUR 25.5m of EBITDA and EUR 11.1m of net profit (-63% YoY). CAPEX is expected to reach EUR 11.2m vs. EUR 21.5m in 2018. The decline in net profit is a direct consequence of the significant drop in sales prices of pigment titanium dioxide. TiO2 prices reached their peak in the first quarter 2018 and are under pr...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Luka Koper 9M18: Strong results, even adjusted for positive one-off. O...

Luka Koper reported stagnation of maritime growth for 9M18 with 3Q18 maritime data showing a 1.4% YoY decrease and mixed data between different segments. Nevertheless, and more importantly, revenue growth was higher, namely 6% YoY for 9M18 and amounted to EUR 168.2m. EBITDA of EUR 78.8m showed 22% YoY growth, however EBITDA is higher also due to some one-offs in the amount of EUR 9.3m. But this still leads to 7% YoY growth in EBITDA for 9M18 vs 9M17, a solid growth indeed. Same goes for net prof...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 29.10.2018 - 2.11.2018

NLB IPOA reminder, key documents can be fount at: /public-offering-of-sharesNo key news or rumor leaked out from our last Weekly Report. DATALAB:Datalab Group (IT; software) reported sales revenues of EUR 9.6m in 2018 (business year does not match calendar year and ended on 30th June 2018), up by hefty 20.1% YoY. Total revenues amounted to EUR 11.3m. Number of users is now at 54,892 (+10%).EBITDA is consequently up by 22.3% YoY to EUR 3.7m while EBIT was effectively doubled to EUR 1.7m. Net pro...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 22.10.2018 - 26.10.2018 + NLB IPO

Due to state holidays in a week of 29th October to 2nd November (on 31st October and 1st November to be exact) news flow will likely be very light and consequently next Weekly is scheduled to include news from first full week of November, consequently on 9th or 12th November. NLB (pending IPO):Equity at EUR 1,797m on 30th June 2018, however EUR 271m of dividends were paid out in the meantime so adjusted equity would be at EUR 1,527m or at EUR 76.3 per share. CET 1 ratio (before dividend payment...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Telekom Slovenije 9M18: Overall results have not changed much, T2 sett...

Telekom Slovenije revenues decreased by 0.7% YoY in 9M18, but this is also due to e-tolling project revenue boost recorded in 9M17. Nevertheless, mobile and wholesale segment revenues are also down, while revenues from fixed broadband segment and new sources are up. Consequently, we have lowered our top line expectations (derived from wholesale segment). EBITDA is also down 0.9%, despite lower labour cost expenditures. All in all, a slight disappointment from quarter to quarter demanded some adj...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 08.10.2018 - 12.10.2018

ECONOMY:IMF has raised Slovenian GDP growth forecast for 2018, namely from previous 4.0% to 4.5%. At the same time they have raised 2019 GDP growth forecast by 0.2 p.p. to 3.4%. Consequently they see slower growth in 2019 vs 2018, same as other forecasting institutions, domestic and foreign. True, while IMF has raised its forecasts, domestic IMAD just recently lowered it to 4.4% for 2018, thereby now IMF is slightly more optimistic than IMAD. Please also note that unemployment rate should decrea...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 01.10.2017 - 05.10.2017

TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Telekom Slovenije has signed a purchase and sale agreement with Telekomunikacije Republike Srpske joint stock company on the sale of 100% share in Blicnet, d.o.o. The transaction is supposed to be completed by 2018 yearend, after all suspensory conditions are filled. No detail data regarding the transaction has been disclosed. However the facts are: that Blicnet d.o.o. was a key Telekom Slovenije company in Bosnia and Herzegovina;that Blicnet generated EUR 18.1m of net revenues...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 24.9.2017 - 28.9.2017

ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV:Triglav Skladi, a Triglav Group member and its asset management arm, bought 100% stake in ALTA Skladi, a Slovene asset management company with almost 10% market share. ALTA Skladi manages 22 mutual funds with over EUR 270m of AuM. Jointly Triglav will now have roughly 36% market share on the Slovene mutual fund market and a billion of AuM. Triglav reported that the purchase price excluding adjustment for net debt is EUR 21.7m, a part of which is contingent on future payment...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 17.9.2017 - 21.9.2017

TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Further development regarding a rumor supervisory board is discussing a settlement deal with T2 is still pending. The only new variable is that the settlement could include receivables due from T2, which would lower the effective net payment by Telekom to roughly EUR 30m. In the meantime share price did not react much as most are waiting for more speculation or are of opinion shares have already adjusted enough. ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV:NLB finally agreed to sell its 28.13% share...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 10.9.2017 - 14.9.2017

TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Newspapers released a rumor on Tuesday, 11th September, that Telekom Slovenije supervisory board will decide whether to settle a dispute with T2 for more than EUR 50m. This translates into at least EUR 7.7 per share. True, Telekom Slovenije had provisions in the amount of EUR 34.3m for lawsuits, albeit not all provisioning is tied to this case (likely majority of it). In addition, nothing is confirmed yet while Telekom Slovenije released a statement that it will not comment any...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Luka Koper 1H18: Great quarter, even adjusted for positive one-off. On...

Luka Koper maritime throughput results show stagnation on the surface, but in reality results are mixed between segments. General cargoes are up 1.5%, container 16.9% YoY, vehicles 13.8%. On the other hand liquid cargoes are down 8.5% YoY while bulk cargoes are down 1.3%. All in all revenues are up by 4.9% YoY to EUR 113.3m. Cost have gone up, but margins still improved. Reported EBITDA is at EUR 57.2m or up by 26.9% YoY, however when adjusted for one-off, EBITDA still increased by 6.7% YoY to E...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Report 23.7.2018-27.7.2018

Earnings season started with release schedule as stated below: Telekom 20.07.2018 Krka 26.07.2018 Zavarovalnica Triglav 17.08.2018      Petrol 23.08.2018     Intereuropa 30.08.2018        Luka Koper 31.08.2018          Pozavarovalnica Sava 31.08.2018      Unior 31.08.2018     Cinkarna Celje 12.09.2018    Please note that Cinkarna Celje and Petrol coverage is temporarily suspended while Gorenje (extensive) coverage has ceased with sell rating as Hisense takeover attempt succeeded ...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Telekom Slovenije 1H18: No big surprises with high dividend payment no...

Sales revenues decreased by 2.0% while margins somewhat contracted. Namely EBITDA margin lowered by 1.1% vs 1H17 as EBITDA amounted to EUR 100.9m. There is no specific culprit, but overall most of the segments experienced a pressure on revenues, while cost of goods surge balanced out a decrease in other cost items. Consequently, Telekom Slovenije is about EUR 4.5m behind our estimates in terms of EBITDA, mostly deriving from lower revenues. Nevertheless, we have not adjusted our estimates, espec...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Report 9.7.2018-13.7.2018

LUKA KOPER: 2Q18 and 1H18 throughput data was released. Total throughput in tonnage grew by 0.3% YoY in 2Q18 with 6.0% TEU growth and 17.3% vehicle unit growth. Consequently sales revenues of parent company stood at EUR 111.6m or by 5.8% YoY. While throughput data is under the influence of some infrastructure overhaul affecting it, the good news is that vehicles and container growth is strong, as well as pricing. Also this top-line growth is above our initial expectations.  POLITICS: President ...

Sašo Stanovnik
  • Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Report 25.6.2018-6.7.2018

GORENJE:The Securities Market Agency declared Hisenses‘s takeover bid as successful.Hisense Luxembourg Home Appliance Holding informed that 5,165 shareholders accepted the takeover bid between May 29 and June 26, 2018. They conseqeuntly acquired combined total of 15,254,871 GRVG shares, which represents 62.46% of all Gorenje shares. Complete with the shares acquired before the announcement of the takeover bid (32.96% of GRVG shares), the company Hisense Luxembourg Home Appliance Holding now owns...

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