ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 25/11/2024

Lar España : Q3 2024: wait and see

LAR ESPAÑA: RDOS. 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ingresos comparables recurrentes: 74 M euros (+4%); BDI recurrente: 56,8 M euros (+17%). Publicó un escueto Trading Update de los 9meses’24 donde muestra unas cifras de ingresos comparables recurrentes y BDI totalmente alineados con lo que esperamos para todo el ejercicio. Los ingresos comparables recurrentes crecieron un +4%, entendemos que por indexación, mejora de ocupación y subida de precios en las renovaciones. La ocupación al cierre de septiembre aumentó +8...

Telefonica Peru bond initiation: Speculative Buy on further parent sup...

Telefonica faces an interesting conundrum in Peru and will face an imminent decision that could help to unlock value – either for Telefonica’s parent company equity or for the Telefonica Peru bonds.

Credit Morning 11/14/2024

Banco BPM acquires 5% stake in Banca MPS>...

Morning Crédit 14/11/2024

Banco BPM achète une participation de 5% dans Banca MPS>...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality

In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.

Telefonica (Neutral, €4.5, +7%) Q3 24 – Revenue, EBITDA and FCF beat

Telefonica’s Q3 results are solid, being marginally ahead of consensus across the board. In particular, strong KPIs in Spain and high organic growth in Brazil stands out, and with all guidance reiterated, we believe there could be some upside to consensus estimates.

TELEFÓNICA: MENSAJES DE LA CONFERENCE CALL RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

De la conference call de Rdos. 3T’24 destacamos los siguientes mensajes:  España: A pesar de un entorno de mayor competencia en el segmento de bajo costo,

TELEFÓNICA: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.023 Bn (-2.9% vs. -3.7% BS(e) and -3.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.946 Bn (-11.5% vs. -2.2% BS(e) and -3.2% consensus); EBIT: € 740.0 M (-30.0% vs. -9.3% BS(e) and -2.6% consensus); Net Profit: € 10.0 M (-98.0% vs. -50.2% BS(e) and -34.5% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 30.418 Bn (-0.3% vs. -0.6% BS(e) and -0.4% consensus); EBITDA: € 9.37 Bn (-2.3% vs. +0.9% BS(e) and +0.5% consensus); EBIT: € 2.803 Bn (-5.8% vs. +1.6% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Net...

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items

>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...

Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items

>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...

TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 10.023 M euros (-2,9% vs -3,7% BS(e) y -3,3% consenso); EBITDA: 2.946 M euros (-11,5% vs -2,2% BS(e) y -3,2% consenso); EBIT: 740,0 M euros (-30,0% vs -9,3% BS(e) y -2,6% consenso); BDI: 10,0 M euros (-98,0% vs -50,2% BS(e) y -34,5% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 30.418 M euros (-0,3% vs -0,6% BS(e) y -0,4% consenso); EBITDA: 9.370 M euros (-2,3% vs +0,9% BS(e) y +0,5% consenso); EBIT: 2.803 M euros (-5,8% vs +1,6% BS(e) y +3,9% consenso); BDI: 989...

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Enel, Engie, Verbund, SES, Telefonica, BT

Utilities - Enel: 9M24 robust results support our positive view. Engie: 9M24 results disappoint but YE24 guidance maintained. Verbund: poor 9M24 results as expected