What you need to know: • Precious metal prices were up substantially in October, rebounding from two months of consolidation, significantly outperforming broader markets which were down during the month. Other commodities and battery metals held in relatively flat. • The price of uranium continued to perform well over the last month and resulted in significant equity financings. • Deteriorating economic data leads us to believe we are approaching a long-awaited pivot after both the BoC and the...
What you need to know: • The precious metals markets were down slightly in the month of June, however, we view this as a healthy consolidation period following significant price increases since November 2022. • M&A slowed in June primarily due to the new uncertainty regarding interest rates following strong economic data and the BoC raising 25bps. • Safe-haven assets like gold and silver continue to look highly attractive with inflation remaining sticky and rates likely to decline by 2024. Sent...
What you need to know: • The precious metals and base metals markets were down in the month of May, however, we view this as a healthy pull-back following two strong months in March and April. • M&A remained elevated in the month following what appears to be the peaking of rates and inflation, and persistent elevated metals prices. • With inflation remaining sticky, we believe investors have begun turning to safe-haven assets like gold and silver. Sentiment Update Following two very strong mont...
Silver (Ag) is half store of value and half industrial metal. A hawkish Federal Reserve and spiking bond yields will create significant headwinds for the Ag price 2H22E. Any expectations for global recession, leading to an industrial cycle downturn will also push the silver price down. In 2H22E we assess that both weakening industrial activity (>50% of global silver demand) and monetary policy trends will exert downward pressure on silver’s price. Beyond YE22E the physical silver supply deficit...
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