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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs & Semicap equipment: the baseline & what’s next.

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. As we strengthen our understanding of the tech supply chain, we follow-up on our initial analysis to evaluate the impact on semicap equipment with more precision. This follows our recent deep dives on the impact on Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD/Intel. Read also our broader notes on tariffs: our baseline thesis for an overall perspective, and our assessment of the macro risk.

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML discloses 2025 AGM results

ASML discloses 2025 AGM results ASML discloses 2025 AGM results Veldhoven, the Netherlands, April 23, 2025 –  ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) today announces the results of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) held on April 23, 2025. At the AGM, ASML’s statutory financial statements for the 2024 financial year were adopted. In addition, the following items were approved:  Proposal to adopt a final dividend payment of €1.84 per ordinary share, which, together with the two interim dividends paid through the 2024 financial year and the interim dividend paid in February 2025, each €1.52 per ordinary s...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

TSMC & ASML signals, Auto semi recovery, and more. The Tech Weekly Wra...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 14 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value14-Apr-25108,722€596.15€64,815,00115-Apr-25107,327€603.93€64,818,21016-Apr-25---17-Apr-2521,660€566.97€12,280,62018-Apr-25-*- - *Markets closed ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and details are available on o...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

PostNL/Model update/HOLD

We have updated our model post FY24 reporting and we included the restated segment reporting with Real Estate sales and results now included in Parcels versus in MailNL previously. Note that PostNL guided for an underlying EBIT for FY25F of c.€53m, ie, in line with FY24. We estimate €48m, which is a significant downgrade vs the pre-FY24 results estimate of €98m. We feel that the outlook for FY25 is not without downside risk as (a) much will depend on a strong 4Q as we expect a rather soft start ...

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo
Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

ASML HOLDING NV: RDOS. 1T’25 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. A LA BAJA (ANÁLISIS BANC...

Rdos. 1T'25 vs 1T'24: Ventas: 7.742 M euros (+46,4% vs +49,2% BS(e) y +46,7% consenso); EBIT: 2.738 M euros (+96,8% vs +95,1% BS(e) y +90,8% consenso); BDI: 2.355 M euros (+92,4% vs +90,1% BS(e) y +83,0% consenso).

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Amprion, ASML

Utilities - Amprion: Moody's changes the issuer's outlook to negative

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Another Delen Private Bank acquisition in the Netherlands. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons FY24/25 results. ASML: 1Q25 results; already weaker ahead of the tariffs. Barco: Calm before the storm. Heineken: In the hold. Melexis: Partial move to China. Staffing sector: Hays' 3Q24/25 trading update; in line. Vopak: New industrial terminal or energy transition facility? WDP: €60m investment with KDL

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

ASML Weaker order intake, disappointing 2Q25 outlook, strong GPm

ASML 1Q25 revenues were in line with expectation and EPS was better than expected. However, the order intake and 2Q25 outlook are below CSS. The EPS outperformance in 1Q25 was driven by the strong GPm. ASML sold more expensive EUV tools at a richer configuration and due to the fact that they met customer-specific performance targets. The outlook for 2025 remains unchanged. If uncertainties continue ASML sees FY25 revenues at the low end of the guided € 30-35bn range. AI demand could drive the hi...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
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