BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
>Outperform rating confirmed – target price lifted to € 13.3 (vs € 12.9) - BBVA posted a good operating performance in Q1 2024, confirming both its solid balance sheet and its prospects for improved profitability/return to shareholders. The group is confident in its 2024 guidance, with an improved outlook for net profit (double-digit growth), driven in particular by the better performance of NII in Spain and the continued good momentum for the core top line, coupled w...
>Opinion Surperformance confortée – OC porté à 13.3 € (vs 12.9 €) - BBVA a affiché une bonne performance opérationnelle au T1 2024 et conforte à la fois sa solidité bilancielle et ses perspectives d’amélioration en matière de rentabilité/retour à l’actionnaire. Le groupe délivre un message confiant dans ses guidances 2024 avec une amélioration de la perspective de RN (croissance ‘double digit’) drivée notamment par la meilleure tenue des NII en Espagne et le maintien ...
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results N.I.I.: € 6.512 Bn (+15.4% vs. +15.5% BS(e) and +12.4% consensus); Total Revenues: € 8.219 Bn (+18.1% vs. +13.2% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); Operating Profit: € 4.836 Bn (+22.7% vs. +16.3% BS(e) and +15.0% consensus); Net Profit: € 2.2 Bn (+19.2% vs. +8.3% BS(e) and +8.3% consensus); 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23 Results N.I.I.: € 6.512 Bn (+24.1% vs. +24.2% BS(e) and +20.9% consensus); Total Revenues: € 8.219 Bn (+10.5% vs. +5.9% BS(e) and +5.3% consensus); Operating Profit: € 4.836 ...
Atos : l’Etat souhaite acquérir les activités souveraines du groupe, les besoins de liquidités sont revus à 1,1 md EUR (vs. 0,6 md EUR)Picard : les discussions entre Moez Zouari et Lion Capital auraient reprisDeutsche Bank annonce une provision légale inattendue de 1.3 md EUR pour le T2>...
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 6.512 M euros (+15,4% vs +15,5% BS(e) y +12,4% consenso); M. Bruto: 8.219 M euros (+18,1% vs +13,2% BS(e) y +12,6% consenso); M. Neto: 4.836 M euros (+22,7% vs +16,3% BS(e) y +15,0% consenso); BDI: 2.200 M euros (+19,2% vs +8,3% BS(e) y +8,3% consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 6.512 M euros (+24,1% vs +24,2% BS(e) y +20,9% consenso); M. Bruto: 8.219 M euros (+10,5% vs +5,9% BS(e) y +5,3% consenso); M. Neto: 4.836 M euros (+10,7% vs +4,9% BS(e) y +3...
NEWS SUMMARY: BBVA, CAF, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex hits new annual highs Friday’s gains, driven by the good earnings season on both sides of the Atlantic and some widening in sovereign yields led stock exchanges to end in positive territory, particul...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BBVA, CAF, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: PHILIPS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex logra nuevos máximos de 2024 Los avances del viernes, impulsados por la buena campaña de resultados a ambos lados del Atlánti...
Upgrading Europe to Overweight Considering the fact that several 5% pullbacks and roughly one 10% pullback are to be expected in any given year, we continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market -- MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) has had a 5.5% pullback from its 2024 highs, while the EURO STOXX 50 pulled back 4.5%. We discussed last Thursday (4/18/24 Int'l Compass) how further downside may be limited with these two indexes already 4-5% off their highs, combined wi...
A director at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Sa sold 115,960 shares at 11.450USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...
NEWS SUMMARY: BBVA, MERLIN, SACYR, TELEFÓNICA. Stock markets continue to climb European stock exchanges saw new gains, underpinned by the statements made by several ECB members in favour of the commencement of the rate cut cycle. In the STOXX 600, Retail and Financials led gains, whereas cyclical sectors linked to raw materials such as Energy and Basic Resources saw the worst performance. On the macro side, in Spain, the final 4Q’23 GDP confirmed the preliminary 0.6%, ending 2013 with 2.3% gro...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BBVA, MERLIN PROPERTIES, SACYR, TELEFÓNICA. La bolsa no frena los ascensos Las bolsas de Europa volvieron a registrar avances, apoyadas en las declaraciones de varios miembros del BCE a favor del inicio del ciclo de recortes de tipos. En el STOXX 600, lideraron las subidas Retail y financieros como Bancos mientras que cíclicos relacionados con las materias primas como Energía y R. Básicos fueron los de peor comportamiento. Por el lado macro, en Es...
Continuará el rerating a base de delivery de Rdos. El rerating ya ha empezado y explica entre el 25-50% del performance reciente del sector y, aunque podremos ver momentos de consolidación/ toma parcial de beneficios, creemos que continuará la subida. La tasa de descuento implícita en las actuales cotizaciones todavía es excesivamente alta: 14,4% (c.300pbs por encima del 11-12% habitual). Nuestra tesis es que las subidas serán a base de delivery de Rdos. en un entorno normalizado de tipos entre ...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Les banques cochent toutes les cases de la configuration de marché actuelle : recherche de secteurs décotés, momentum cyclique, secteurs portés par des taux longs qui restent hauts, retour à l’actionnaire via un très haut dividend yield. L’analyse technique montre une forte conviction depuis début mars, qui devrait se poursuivre. Nous favorisons les banques du sud de l’Europe, à la macro plus avenante. Aux côtés de CaixaBank, que nous conservons dans notre liste de valeurs Large Caps ...
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