On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, INDRA, NATURGY. The FED cut rates, as expected With the Ibex remaining near highs, the lack of definition continued for European stock markets, awaiting the Fed’s decision. In the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Banks led the gains whereas Autos and Construction (after an equity research firm cut Vinci’s recommendation) were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the US, as expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bps to 3.5%-3.75% (with 1 member in favour of cutting -5...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, INDRA, NATURGY. EUROPA: MUNICH RE. La FED cumple con el recorte de tipos Con el Ibex manteniéndose cerca de sus máximos las bolsas europeas continuaron una jornada más con cierta indefinición a la espera de catalizadores. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y Bancos mientras que Autos y Construcción (afectado por la rebaja de recomendación a Vinci por parte de una casa de análisis) fueron los que más cayeron. Por el lado m...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FLUIDRA, GREENING, OHLA. El Ibex sigue de fiesta El buen tono se mantuvo en Europa con avances generalizados en las principales plazas bursátiles y donde el Ibex 35 registró nuevos máximos y encadenó nueve sesiones seguidas al alza. En el STOXX 600, Autos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a Utilities y Ocio que fueron los que más cayeron. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona las ventas al por menor de octubre repuntaron más ...
NEWS SUMMARY: FLUIDRA, GREENING, OHLA. IBEX party continues The solid performance continued in Europe, with widespread gains on the main stock markets and where the IBEX 35 hit a new high, making it now nine straight sessions with gains. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Industrials were the best performers, with Utilities and Leisure the sectors falling the most. On the macro side, in the euro zone October’s retail sales rose more than expected. In Germany, the coalition Govt. is facing a vote on th...
3Q’25 vs. 3Q’24: Sales: € 882 M (-5.1% vs. 2.2% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 29 M (-1.0% vs. 4.3% BS(e)); EBIT: € 6 M (-57.8% vs. -8.8% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -16 M (-33.8% vs. -41.0% BS(e)); 9M’25 vs. 9M’24: Sales: € 2.571 Bn (-3.0% vs. -0.4% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 113 M (30.3% vs. 32.1% BS(e)); EBIT: € 52 M (56.3% vs. 77.0% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -46 M (-21.8% vs. -24.7% BS(e)).
Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 882 M euros (-5,1% vs 2,2% BS(e)); EBITDA: 29 M euros (-1,0% vs 4,3% BS(e)); EBIT: 6 M euros (-57,8% vs -8,8% BS(e)); BDI: -16 M euros (-33,8% vs -41,0% BS(e)); Rdos. 9M'25 vs 9M'24: Ventas: 2.571 M euros (-3,0% vs -0,4% BS(e)); EBITDA: 113 M euros (30,3% vs 32,1% BS(e)); EBIT: 52 M euros (56,3% vs 77,0% BS(e)); BDI: -46 M euros (-21,8% vs -24,7% BS(e)).
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Stability for now In the absence of references from the US due to Thanksgiving, European stock markets traded within a narrow sideways range. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Financial Services were the best performers whereas Pharma, Technology and Basic Resources were the only sectors that ended with drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, October’s M3 remained at 2.8% YoY, in line with expectations, wherea...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Por el momento, estabilidad En una sesión sin referencias desde EE.UU., por la festividad de Acción de Gracias, las bolsas europeas se movieron en un rango lateral estrecho. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Autos, S. Financieros e Inmobiliario. En el lado contrario, sólo Farma, Tecnología y R. Básicos terminaron con caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozo...
3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 986.0 M (+17.7% vs. +10.0% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); EBIT: € 47.0 M (+34.3% vs. +37.7% BS(e) and +42.9% consensus); Net Profit: € 27.0 M (+200.0% vs. +173.3% BS(e) and +211.1% consensus); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 3.165 Bn (+8.5% vs. +6.3% BS(e) and +7.0% consensus); EBIT: € 161.0 M (+17.5% vs. +18.4% BS(e) and +19.7% consensus); Net Profit: € 100.0 M (+63.9% vs. +60.0% BS(e) and +65.6% consensus);
3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 995.0 M (+1.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e) and +1.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 831.0 M (+2.7% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +2.2% consensus); Net Profit: € -158.0 M (vs. € 278 M in 3Q’24); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 2.937 Bn (+1.2% vs. +1.1% BS(e) and +1.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.436 Bn (+2.1% vs. +1.9% BS(e) and +1.9% consensus); Net Profit: € -263.0 M (€ -148.0 M in 9M'24 vs);
Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 995,0 M euros (+1,3% vs +1,2% BS(e) y +1,3% consenso); EBITDA: 831,0 M euros (+2,7% vs +2,2% BS(e) y +2,2% consenso); BDI: -158,0 M euros (vs 278 M euros en 3T’24); Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 2.937 M euros (+1,2% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +1,2% consenso); EBITDA: 2.436 M euros (+2,1% vs +1,9% BS(e) y +1,9% consenso); BDI: -263,0 M euros (-148,0 M euros en 9meses'24).
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Doubts persist With the results campaign entering the final stretch, the main European indices closed with losses, with the IBEX standing out as the best performer, remaining at around 16,100. In the STOXX 600, Basic Mate...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Se mantienen las dudas Con la campaña de resultados entrando en su recta final, los principales índices europeos cerraron con pérdidas, destacando...
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