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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Continue to Ride the Trend Higher Our outlook remains bullish and the significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October is in full swing; continue to ride the trend higher. Our election day Compass report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and last week's Compass (11/19/24) was similarly titled "Buy the Pullback Again" considering our expectation for support at the 20-day MAs on the Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) with small- and mid-caps likely...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 05 10

nVent Electric plc (NVT) has been rolling up the protected enclosure business to become a key vendor to the “electrification of everything” trend related to the modernization of American corporate infrastructure. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is missing nVent's improving competitive position and its massive upcoming tailwinds, indicating equity upside. nVent is looking to become a one-stop shop for all types of enclosures, fastenings, and thermal management solutions for electr...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

WH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 05 06

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) currently trades near corporate but below historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 22.6x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to improve to 112%, accompanied by 7% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to expand to 132% in 2023, accompanied by 4% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $58, representing a...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Risk Appetites Improving While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites. Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors; the fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not just Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls. Risk-On Signals. We are seei...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

WYNDHAM HOTELS RESORTS sees an upgrade to Slightly Positive due to a b...

The general evaluation of WYNDHAM HOTELS RESORTS (US), a company active in the Hotels industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date August 27, 2021, the closing price was U...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2021 01 26

Current market expectations for EBAY are excessively pessimistic. Markets expect UAFRS-based (Uniform) ROA (ROA') to decline significantly going forward, even though ROA' has been remarkably stable since the company spun off the PayPal business in 2015. However, EBAY has robust economic moats in its core marketplace and successfully monetized its StubHub business at the optimal time and its classifieds businesses. It is the market leader with strong competitive advantages, which give reasons for...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

WH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 01 22

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 32.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about room opening recovery, the Wyndham rewards loyalty program, and La Quinta performance Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to drive higher ROI for hotel owners, maximize the value they provide for franchisees, and sus...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2020 10 06

TMUS currently trades at historical highs relative to Uniform earnings, with a 59.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand from 5% in 2019 to 9% in 2024, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth going forward. Meanwhile, analysts have bearish expectations, projecting Uniform ROA to fall to 4% in 2021, accompanied by 1% Uniform asset growth. Furthermore, management appears concerned about the Sprint integration, their mobile phone business and...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

WH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 10 02

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 29.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident about cost savings, La Quinta brand, and hotel opening activity Specifically, management is confident EBITDA declines were mitigated by cost reductions, mobile business bookings have been improving, and that opening activity is picking up international...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

Key Points: The Transportation Sector has several airlines reflecting good entry points for bottom-fishing candidates (ex. DAL and LUV) The Consumer Discretionary Sector continues to have several names emerging as leadership. (ex., FOSL, WYNN, MCRI, MGM, CZR, LVS, RCL, MAR, CHH, HLT, WH, PLAY, RRGB, BJRI, EAT, RUTH, CHUY, DIN, CAKE, CBRL, SHAK, DRI, TXRH, EXPE, and BKNG) The Media Communications Sector has a few names staging price and RS reversals. (ex. CNK, MCS, and LYV)

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

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