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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME: 1Q25 Results: Further Upside in Online Music ARPU

What’s new: TME’s reported 1Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. OMS could remain resilient driven by both subscription and non-subscription segments, while margins could continue to inch up amid continued cost controls and better efficiency. We maintain our PT at USD17. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Page 8 (1698 HK): 1Q25: Solid earnin...

TME’s 1Q25 earnings were better than expectations. Revenue grew 8.7% yoy to Rmb7.4b, largely in line with our and the street’s estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 44%, in line with our expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 18% yoy to Rmb2.7b, with operating margin edging up 3ppt yoy to 37%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 23% yoy to Rmb2.2b, exceeding consensus expectation by 12%, with net margin expanding 3ppt yoy to 30%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$68.00 (US$15.50).

Greater China Research Team ... (+4)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, May 14, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00) JD’s 1Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 16% yoy to Rmb301b, 3-4% above our and consensus estimates, in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 31% yoy to Rmb11.7b, translating to a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 3.9%. Non-GAAP net profit grew 43% yoy to Rmb12.8b. Adjusted net margin jumped 1ppt yoy to 4%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$1...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): World’s largest music pla...

TME is the world’s largest online music platform by MAU, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00).

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) TME is the world’s largest online music platform by MAU, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00). Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): World’s largest music pla...

Tencent Music Entertainment Group is the world’s largest online music platform by monthly average users, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00).  Music is one of the least competitive verticals in online entertainment. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) operates in a l...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 4Q24 Results: OMS Remain Resilient in FY25

What’s new: TME’s reported 4Q24 results that were above consensus and our expectations. Online music revs could remain resilient partly driven by subscription and ads. Margins could see further upside in FY25 partly driven by better rev mix and continued cost controls. We up our PT from USD14 to USD17 on resiliency of the online music segment. Our updated PT of USD17 implies 20.5x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Electronic Equipment / Instruments: Keyence (6861 JT) – In-depth A...

Tags: Nidec (6594 JT), Makino Milling (6135 JT), Fanuc (6954 JT), Harmonic Drive (6324 JT), Honeywell (HON US), Apple (AAPL US), Alphabet (GOOGL US), Microsoft (MSFT US), Omron (6645 JT), Azbil (6845 JT), Yokogawa Electric (6841 JT), Hioki EE (6866 JT), Sysmex (6869 JT), Accenture (ACN US), Sewtec Automation (pvt), Ebay (EBAY US), GTRIC (pvt), Murata (6981 JT), Internet Initiative Japan (3774 JT), Recruit (6098 JT), Monotaro (3064 JT) Despite high valuations and a dull share price performance o...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook

Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.

LOGN LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 3Q24 Results: Further Upside in Margin in FY25

What’s new: TME’s reported 3Q24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Subscription revs could remain resilient partly driven by stable quarterly net adds and higher monthly ARPPU. Margins could see further upside in 4Q24 and into FY25 partly driven by better rev mix and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at USD14. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly 2024 Q4

When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...

4676 FUJI MEDIA HOLDINGS INC.
6754 ANRITSU CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
3107 DAIWABO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6988 NITTO DENKO CORP.
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
3064 MONOTARO CO. LTD.
5801 FURUKAWA ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
5715 FURUKAWA CO. LTD.
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
9107 KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA LTD.
6971 KYOCERA CORPORATION
8316 SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
5632 MITSUBISHI STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6966 MITSUI HIGH-TEC INC.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
5802 SUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
6762 TDK CORPORATION
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
6315 TOWA CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
4208 UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
8698 MONEX GROUP INC.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
3445 RS TECHNOLOGIES CO. LTD.
6269 MODEC INC
3769 GMO PAYMENT
68900 FERROTEC CORPORATION
9519 RENOVA
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
3626 JT TIS INC
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
7071 AMVIS HOLDINGS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
4443 JT SANSAN (4443 JT)
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4480 MEDLEY
RRRP3 3R PETROLEUM OLEO E GAS
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
3697 JT SHIFT INCORPORATED (3697 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
9552 M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
9552 JT M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE (9552 JT)
6544 JT JAPAN ELEVATOR SERVICES HOLDINGS (6544 JT)
6200 JT INSOURCE (6200 JT)
2154 JT OPEN UP GROUP (2154 JT)
Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

PROSUS: RDOS. 2T’24 DE TENCENT (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Tencent (c. 25% de PRX y 82% de nuestro P.O.) acaba de publicar Rdos 2T’24 en línea en ventas, que crecen a trimestre estanco un +8,0% (vs +8,1% consenso) lo que supone una aceleración frente al 1T’24 (+6,3%).

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 2Q24 Results: Focus Shift Towards ARPU

What’s new: TME’s reported 2Q24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. TME is taking a proactive approach to focus on ARPU to drive subscription revs going forward. While mid-term paying subscriber target remains intact, the pace of net adds could be slower than our initial expectations. We lower our PT from USD17 to USD14 on lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD14 implies a 18.2x FY25 P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 1Q24 Results: Improving Margin Outlook

What’s new: TME’s 1Q24 results were above consensus and our expectations. Margins could see further upside in FY24 partly driven by better rev mix and continued cost controls. We up our PT from USD13 to USD17 on an improving margin outlook. Our revised PT of USD17 implies a 21.3x FY25 P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Tian Hou
  • Tian Hou

TME: Increase In Paying Users Drive Solid Online Music Service Perform...

TME will report 2Q23 results on August 15th before the markets open with an 8am ET conference call. We are positive on TME’s performance in 2Q23 and outlook for 2023. The long-awaited economic stimulus policies have started to come out since late July 2023. On June 25th, the State Think Tank CMF released its paper “Solidifying Foundation for Recovery, China’s Macroeconomy in 2023”. The paper not only pointed out 5 main issues but also emphasized that these issues cannot be resolved by themselves...

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT): Sudden Cost & Pricing Impro...

Good pricing, high order backlogs and rising US shale oil / gas demand to support FY23 earnings. Our estimates are above consensus.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: Japan Perspective for 2023

At the beginning of every year we publish our PSA Perspective, a report intended as a long shelf-life look at the year ahead. This year Pelham Smithers discusses Japan's economy, the outlook for the stock market, and some stand-out themes and developments for the year. These include the digital yen and the demise of live action entertainment in Japan. We also update our noted PSA Focus List of stocks. Table of Contents Overview 3 Background: 4 Japan’s Economic Outlook 5 Ja...

TENCENT MUSIC ENTER sees a downgrade to Negative on account of less fu...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of TENCENT MUSIC ENTER (US), active in the Broadcasting & Entertainment industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 2 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Negative. As of the analysis date January 21, 2022, the closing price was USD 6.39 a...

KEYENCE sees a downgrade to Slightly Negative on account of less funda...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of KEYENCE (JP), active in the Electronic Equipment industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered moderately risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, the closing price was JPY 63,500...

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