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William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Technology: Is Robotics to be Part of the Current Semiconductor Bo...

News that Fanuc (6954 JT) is integrating Nvidia’s (NVDA US) robotic tools into its own software solutions is a reminder that, for all the focus on where large language models like ChatGPT can take us, these solutions remain very much in the virtual realm. The next big breakthrough in AI would come when such models can deliver fully spatially aware, autonomous mobile products, be these self-drive cars or industrial robots, and to do so at a price and quality that is commercially viable. Analysts ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 3Q25 Results: Near Term Margin Impact Due to Rev Mix Shift Towards...

What’s new: TME’s reported 3Q25 revs that were above consensus and our expectations. While OMS could remain resilient partly driven by both subs and non-subscription segments, margins could be impacted in the near-term due to unfavorable rev mix shift towards concerts and artist merchandise. We lower our PT from USD28 to USD22 on lowered margin outlook. Our updated PT of USD22 implies 23.2x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): 3Q25: Solid Earnings Beat...

TME delivered strong 3Q25 results with both the top-line and bottom line beating our expectations. Revenue grew 20.6% yoy to Rmb8.5b, 3% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit jumped 25.2% yoy to Rmb3b, with operating margins edging up 1ppt yoy to 36%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 27.7% yoy to Rmb2.5b, beating consensus expectation by 7%, with net margins expanding 2ppt yoy to 29%. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$105.00 (US$27.00).

Greater China Research Team ... (+3)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Thursday, November 13, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$84.65/Target: HK$105.00) TME delivered strong 3Q25 results with both the top-line and bottom line beating our expectations. Revenue grew 20.6% yoy to Rmb8.5b, 3% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit jumped 25.2% yoy to Rmb3b, with operating margins edging up 1ppt yoy to 36%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 27.7% yoy to Rmb2.5b, beating consensus expectation by 7%, with net margins expanding 2ppt yoy to 2...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 2Q25 Results: Core Music Segment Remains Resilient

What’s new: TME’s reported 2Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. OMS could remain resilient as monthly ARPPU could see further upside from stable competition and increasing contribution from SVIP members. GM could be adversely impacted in 3Q partly due to higher rev mix from lower margin offline concerts related revs. We up our PT from USD17 to USD28 on resiliency of the online music segment. Our updated PT of USD28 implies 28.5x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Ana...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): 2Q25: Solid earnings beat...

TME’s 2Q25 delivered strong 2Q25 results with both the top-line and bottom line beating our expectations. Revenue grew 17.9% yoy to Rmb8.4b, 6% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 31.4% yoy to Rmb3.2b, with operating margins edging up 4ppt yoy to 38%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 33% yoy to Rmb2.6b, beating consensus expectations by 16%, with net margins expanding 4ppt yoy to 31%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$105.00 (US$27.00).

Ejann Hiew ... (+6)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 13, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$40.18/Target: HK$45.00) Galaxy’s 2Q25 normalised EBITDA rose 7% qoq. In 2Q25, the lower hold rate led to a modest mass market share gain. However, the hold rate has been normalising qtd. With Capella’s opening, management expects reinvestments efficiency to be optimised further amid intense market competition. The company declared an interim dividend of HK$0.70, implying a payout ratio of 58%, and management expects the payout rat...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls

In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- July Conviction Calls

June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME: 1Q25 Results: Further Upside in Online Music ARPU

What’s new: TME’s reported 1Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. OMS could remain resilient driven by both subscription and non-subscription segments, while margins could continue to inch up amid continued cost controls and better efficiency. We maintain our PT at USD17. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Page 8 (1698 HK): 1Q25: Solid earnin...

TME’s 1Q25 earnings were better than expectations. Revenue grew 8.7% yoy to Rmb7.4b, largely in line with our and the street’s estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 44%, in line with our expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 18% yoy to Rmb2.7b, with operating margin edging up 3ppt yoy to 37%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 23% yoy to Rmb2.2b, exceeding consensus expectation by 12%, with net margin expanding 3ppt yoy to 30%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$68.00 (US$15.50).

Greater China Research Team ... (+4)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, May 14, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00) JD’s 1Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 16% yoy to Rmb301b, 3-4% above our and consensus estimates, in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 31% yoy to Rmb11.7b, translating to a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 3.9%. Non-GAAP net profit grew 43% yoy to Rmb12.8b. Adjusted net margin jumped 1ppt yoy to 4%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$1...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): World’s largest music pla...

TME is the world’s largest online music platform by MAU, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00).

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) TME is the world’s largest online music platform by MAU, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00). Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK): World’s largest music pla...

Tencent Music Entertainment Group is the world’s largest online music platform by monthly average users, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00).  Music is one of the least competitive verticals in online entertainment. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) operates in a l...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 4Q24 Results: OMS Remain Resilient in FY25

What’s new: TME’s reported 4Q24 results that were above consensus and our expectations. Online music revs could remain resilient partly driven by subscription and ads. Margins could see further upside in FY25 partly driven by better rev mix and continued cost controls. We up our PT from USD14 to USD17 on resiliency of the online music segment. Our updated PT of USD17 implies 20.5x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Electronic Equipment / Instruments: Keyence (6861 JT) – In-depth A...

Tags: Nidec (6594 JT), Makino Milling (6135 JT), Fanuc (6954 JT), Harmonic Drive (6324 JT), Honeywell (HON US), Apple (AAPL US), Alphabet (GOOGL US), Microsoft (MSFT US), Omron (6645 JT), Azbil (6845 JT), Yokogawa Electric (6841 JT), Hioki EE (6866 JT), Sysmex (6869 JT), Accenture (ACN US), Sewtec Automation (pvt), Ebay (EBAY US), GTRIC (pvt), Murata (6981 JT), Internet Initiative Japan (3774 JT), Recruit (6098 JT), Monotaro (3064 JT) Despite high valuations and a dull share price performance o...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook

Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.

LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

TME 3Q24 Results: Further Upside in Margin in FY25

What’s new: TME’s reported 3Q24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Subscription revs could remain resilient partly driven by stable quarterly net adds and higher monthly ARPPU. Margins could see further upside in 4Q24 and into FY25 partly driven by better rev mix and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at USD14. Analysts: Jin Yoon

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